ATL: FRANKLIN - Remnants - Discussion

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txwatcher91
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Re: ATL: FRANKLIN - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#961 Postby txwatcher91 » Wed Aug 09, 2017 6:58 am

Wonder why the strongest winds are so well remove NE of the center?
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Re: ATL: FRANKLIN - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#962 Postby tolakram » Wed Aug 09, 2017 7:01 am

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Re: ATL: FRANKLIN - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#963 Postby GCANE » Wed Aug 09, 2017 7:02 am

Blue circle will likely be the new center

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Re: ATL: FRANKLIN - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#964 Postby ColdMiser123 » Wed Aug 09, 2017 7:03 am

txwatcher91 wrote:Wonder why the strongest winds are so well remove NE of the center?


Still no robust inner core. Core is tightening though, as evidenced by the sharper pressure fall found by recon.
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Re: ATL: FRANKLIN - Recon

#965 Postby Chris_in_Tampa » Wed Aug 09, 2017 7:07 am

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Credit: NOAA-AOC
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Re: ATL: FRANKLIN - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#966 Postby GCANE » Wed Aug 09, 2017 7:11 am

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Re: ATL: FRANKLIN - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#967 Postby GCANE » Wed Aug 09, 2017 7:22 am

500mb closed off now.
Should get a classic eye development now instead of a bunch of hot-towers running amok creating pseudo eyes.

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Re: ATL: FRANKLIN - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#968 Postby Digital-TC-Chaser » Wed Aug 09, 2017 7:32 am

http://rammb-slider.cira.colostate.edu/ ... mmb-slider

Thinking the system has been sucking some mid-level dry-air.
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Re: ATL: FRANKLIN - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#969 Postby tolakram » Wed Aug 09, 2017 7:34 am

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Re: ATL: FRANKLIN - Recon

#970 Postby Chris_in_Tampa » Wed Aug 09, 2017 7:37 am

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Re: ATL: FRANKLIN - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#971 Postby Digital-TC-Chaser » Wed Aug 09, 2017 7:40 am

tolakram wrote:The SLIDER product seems to be having update issues.

Live GOES16 visible using the build your own product.

https://weather.msfc.nasa.gov/cgi-bin/get-abi?satellite=GOESEastconusband02&lat=21&lon=-95&width=1000&height=800&zoom=2&type=Animation&numframes=10&quality=92

CDO has expanded. Nice direct link thanks.
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Re: ATL: FRANKLIN - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#972 Postby NDG » Wed Aug 09, 2017 8:08 am

Beautiful storm.

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Re: ATL: FRANKLIN - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#973 Postby GCANE » Wed Aug 09, 2017 8:11 am

Too many towers to count.
All overshooting the CDO and building cirrus on top.
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Re: ATL: FRANKLIN - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#974 Postby Exalt » Wed Aug 09, 2017 8:18 am

T4.0/4.0, hurricane next advisory?
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Re: ATL: FRANKLIN - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#975 Postby Alyono » Wed Aug 09, 2017 8:22 am

Exalt wrote:T4.0/4.0, hurricane next advisory?


no, nothing from the aircraft suggests hurricane inensity
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Re: ATL: FRANKLIN - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#976 Postby NDG » Wed Aug 09, 2017 8:24 am

Alyono wrote:
Exalt wrote:T4.0/4.0, hurricane next advisory?


no, nothing from the aircraft suggests hurricane inensity


I agree, so far stronger flight level winds are not reaching the surface yet.
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Re: ATL: FRANKLIN - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#977 Postby Steve » Wed Aug 09, 2017 8:37 am

Looks good with luckily only limited time left out over water. System is intensifying and presenting itself nicely on this morning's visibles with towers firing off and no doubt swells being kicked up. I still think it will be a hurricane at landfall, and I'm pretty sure that unless the NHC inflates the numbers to scare the populace, the only Cat 2 winds will be offshore gusts which don't really count. Thoughts and prayers to everyone down in Estado de Veracruz.
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Re: ATL: FRANKLIN - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#978 Postby GCANE » Wed Aug 09, 2017 8:38 am

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Re: ATL: FRANKLIN - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#979 Postby GCANE » Wed Aug 09, 2017 8:42 am

Latest drop has about 90% RH in the boundary layer

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Re: ATL: FRANKLIN - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#980 Postby GCANE » Wed Aug 09, 2017 8:43 am

Product: NOAA Vortex Message (URNT12 KWBC)
Transmitted: 9th day of the month at 13:37Z
Agency: National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA)
Aircraft: Lockheed WP-3D Orion (Reg. Num. N42RF)
Storm Number & Year: 07 in 2017
Storm Name: Franklin (flight in the North Atlantic basin)
Mission Number: 4
Observation Number: 03 ( See all messages of this type for this mission. )
A. Time of Center Fix: 9th day of the month at 13:19:34Z
B. Center Fix Coordinates: 20°09'N 93°25'W (20.15N 93.4167W)
B. Center Fix Location: 153 statute miles (246 km) to the NNW (348°) from Villahermosa, Tabasco, Mexico.
C. Minimum Height at Standard Level: 3,005m (9,859ft) at 700mb
D. Estimated (by SFMR or visually) Maximum Surface Wind Inbound: 32kts (~ 36.8mph)
E. Location of the Estimated Maximum Surface Wind Inbound: 22 nautical miles (25 statute miles) to the W (264°) of center fix
F. Maximum Flight Level Wind Inbound: From 344° at 48kts (From the NNW at ~ 55.2mph)
G. Location of Maximum Flight Level Wind Inbound: 54 nautical miles (62 statute miles) to the WSW (251°) of center fix
H. Minimum Sea Level Pressure: 987mb (29.15 inHg)
I. Maximum Flight Level Temp & Pressure Altitude Outside Eye: 11°C (52°F) at a pressure alt. of 2,962m (9,718ft)
J. Maximum Flight Level Temp & Pressure Altitude Inside Eye: 15°C (59°F) at a pressure alt. of 3,019m (9,905ft)
K. Dewpoint Temp (collected at same location as temp inside eye): 12°C (54°F)
K. Sea Surface Temp (collected at same location as temp inside eye): Not Available
L. Eye Character: Not Available
M. Eye Shape: Not Available
N. Fix Determined By: Penetration, Radar, Wind, Pressure and Temperature
N. Fix Level: 700mb
O. Navigational Fix Accuracy: 0.1 nautical miles
O. Meteorological Accuracy: 1 nautical mile

Remarks Section:
Maximum Flight Level Outbound and Flight Level Wind: 63kts (~ 72.5mph) which was observed 24 nautical miles (28 statute miles) to the ENE (64°) from the flight level center at 13:25:07Z
Maximum Flight Level Temp: 15°C (59°F) which was observed 6 nautical miles to the ENE/E (79°) from the flight level center
Dropsonde Surface Wind at Center: From 278° at 18kts (From the W at 21mph)
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