Recon finds a poorly defined center and not strong winds

#1 Postby **cycloneye** » Tue Sep 30, 2003 4:20 pm

http://www.tormenta.net/frame_page.asp? ... wt20us.htm

This is the 5:30 PM tropical weather outlook and it says that the front is not letting this system develop as otherwise it would do so already.

#2 Postby **cycloneye** » Tue Sep 30, 2003 4:21 pm

By the way no HPC here but TPC did the outlook as they always do.

lilbump3000 · #3 Postby **lilbump3000** » Tue Sep 30, 2003 4:30 pm

Well we will see, will this system developed later on tonight or will it wait til tomorrow.

#4 Postby **wxman57** » Tue Sep 30, 2003 4:35 pm

lilbump3000 wrote:Well we will see, will this system developed later on tonight or will it wait til tomorrow.

The strongest cold front yet hits the Gulf in 24 hrs. Look up north, the HIGHS today were in the low-mid 40s in southern Missouri and Kansas. That cold air is heading south toward the Gulf. Cold air advection should persist through Friday morning. Such an infusion of cold air won't help this thing become tropical.

#5 Postby **cycloneye** » Tue Sep 30, 2003 4:37 pm

IN other words it has a very small window to be tropical but that window is closing bigtime.

JetMaxx · #6 Postby **JetMaxx** » Tue Sep 30, 2003 4:51 pm

This system in the BOC has two chances of becoming a strong tropical storm or hurricane....slim and none, and none looks like a much better bet.

#7 Postby **wxman57** » Tue Sep 30, 2003 4:53 pm

JetMaxx wrote:This system in the BOC has two chances of becoming a strong tropical storm or hurricane....slim and none, and none looks like a much better bet.

That's what I'm thinking JetMaxx. Time to start looking elsewhere, but I'm not turning my back on this one yet. I still think it may try to screw up my weekend vacation....

Lindaloo · #8 Postby **Lindaloo** » Tue Sep 30, 2003 5:42 pm

Bring on the Coldfronts!!!

Recon finds a poorly defined center and not strong winds

Recon finds a poorly defined center and not strong winds

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