Tropical Wave in Eastern Caribbean
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- Ivanhater
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Re: Tropical Wave SW of CV Islands
Well.that is one of the most interesting runs I've seen in a while lol
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Michael
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Re: Tropical Wave SW of CV Islands
Ivanhater wrote:Well.that is one of the most interesting runs I've seen in a while lol
One of the most interesting of all time. Reminds of of that 00z Matthew run.
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Re: Tropical Wave SW of CV Islands
Agree BLP we need more runs..and at least a consensus of development from the models then we can hypothesis / debate future track. Right now even the GFS para is showing nada while it's brother blows up FL, entire Gulf coast and then floods central Texas. Awesome..
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Re: Tropical Wave SW of CV Islands
SFLcane wrote:Sadly I don't think this will be a ghost storm..
What is weird is all the others except the Navgem have shown it as well to some degree. So not exactly a textbook case of a phantom from the GFS.
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The following post is NOT an official forecast and should not be used as such. It is just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is NOT endorsed by any professional institution including storm2k.org For Official Information please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
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Re: Tropical Wave SW of CV Islands
That was about the most epic model run I've ever seen 

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#neversummer
Re: Tropical Wave SW of CV Islands
00z cmc seems to shred any development through high forward speed?
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Re: Tropical Wave SW of CV Islands
Yeah Brent..we wanted you to get back in the game so we hacked the GFS op just for you!! 

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Re: Tropical Wave SW of CV Islands
The most epic model runs I've ever seen were all Euro model runs. Thinking of some of the Fiona runs, Sandy, typhoon Muifa 2011...
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- weathaguyry
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Re: Tropical Wave SW of CV Islands
So I stayed up until 1AM to watch model support completely crumble for this GFS garbage ghost storm that decides to demolish FL, rival Katrina's storm surge on the Gulf Coast, and also flood central TX, all while being at already elevated tides due to the full moon on the 23rd, after the GFS is retired, they should play the model runs past 200hrs. in haunted houses 

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My posts are only my opinions and NOT official forecasts. For official forecasts, consult the National Hurricane Center or the National Weather Service.
Irene 11', Sandy 12', Fay 20’, Isaias 20’, Elsa 21’, Henri 21’, Ida 21’
Irene 11', Sandy 12', Fay 20’, Isaias 20’, Elsa 21’, Henri 21’, Ida 21’
Re: Tropical Wave SW of CV Islands
Haha. GFS model has been doing this with at least 10 storms (or non storms) per year for at least the last 20 years. If I`m bored by it, I can't even imagine how bemused the forecasters at NHC are. 

Last edited by sma10 on Mon Jul 10, 2017 12:07 am, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: Tropical Wave SW of CV Islands
If you're bored by model storms, do what I do, monitor the monsoon in the Subcontinent. Promising lots of really flooding rains! Or perhaps the MU is just needing a wholesale makeover...
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Re: Tropical Wave SW of CV Islands
ROCK, are you staying up for the Euro just this once??
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Sent from my iPhone 7 using Tapatalk
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- cycloneye
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Re: Tropical Wave SW of CV Islands
The most important thing to watch is the short term evolution of the wave as the Lesser Antilles, Puerto Rico and Hispanola may be in the crosshairs if GFS is right.For now to my fellow members in the islands,watch what is going on and start the preparatons just in case the wave intensifies to a Tropical Cyclone late this week.
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Visit the Caribbean-Central America Weather Thread where you can find at first post web cams,radars
and observations from Caribbean basin members Click Here
and observations from Caribbean basin members Click Here
- weathaguyry
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Re: Tropical Wave SW of CV Islands
I can't stay up for the Euro, it's not worth staying up an extra hour and a half so I can watch a Low-Resolution frail Tropical wave scrape the South American Coastline 

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My posts are only my opinions and NOT official forecasts. For official forecasts, consult the National Hurricane Center or the National Weather Service.
Irene 11', Sandy 12', Fay 20’, Isaias 20’, Elsa 21’, Henri 21’, Ida 21’
Irene 11', Sandy 12', Fay 20’, Isaias 20’, Elsa 21’, Henri 21’, Ida 21’
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Re: Tropical Wave SW of CV Islands
ROCK wrote:Yeah Brent..we wanted you to get back in the game so we hacked the GFS op just for you!!
I've been watching for a few days now but still want to see if it's worth my time...

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#neversummer
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Re: Tropical Wave SW of CV Islands
What I don't understand is how some of you stay up for these late night runs just to write them off. 

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Re: Tropical Wave SW of CV Islands
WeatherHoon wrote:What I don't understand is how some of you stay up for these late night runs just to write them off.
I'm always up late lol for me its not a big deal(work evenings)
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#neversummer
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Re: Tropical Wave SW of CV Islands
weathaguyry wrote:I can't stay up for the Euro, it's not worth staying up an extra hour and a half so I can watch a Low-Resolution frail Tropical wave scrape the South American Coastline
Who knows maybe it could change and show a cat5 hurricane slam into Miami. Maybe it gets a hint of what the gfs is seeing.
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Re: Tropical Wave SW of CV Islands
Where can I see the GFS run of this thing skirting the gulf coast?
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