WPAC: NANMADOL - Post-Tropical
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Re: WPAC: NANMADOL - Tropical Storm
Nanmadol might be headed directly over either Ishigakijima or Iriomotejima. Hopefully we can get some good obs from the two.
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Re: WPAC: NANMADOL - Tropical Storm
It's a good thing private industry does not have to follow JTWC and JMA in terms with the intensity
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Re: WPAC: NANMADOL - Tropical Storm
So the folks in Miyako and Yaeyama Islands preparing for just a minimal TS? When their agencies are underestimating it?
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Re: WPAC: NANMADOL - Tropical Storm
Digital-TC-Chaser wrote:With those radar presentations alone NANMADOL looks a Typhoon. The sat-pic's just
give more weight. What happened to the jma recon missions doe's anyone know?
I think I remember that those recon missions may start in August. Not sure, though. Here's an article on the topic, though it doesn't say when.
https://weather.com/news/weather/news/typhoon-observation-western-pacific-recon-aircraft
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Re: WPAC: NANMADOL - Tropical Storm
wxman57 wrote:Digital-TC-Chaser wrote:With those radar presentations alone NANMADOL looks a Typhoon. The sat-pic's just
give more weight. What happened to the jma recon missions doe's anyone know?
I think I remember that those recon missions may start in August. Not sure, though.
I believe they are synoptic surveillance, not eye penetrations
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Re: WPAC: NANMADOL - Tropical Storm
Those poor people have no clue what is in store for them after the facts.
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Re: WPAC: NANMADOL - Tropical Storm
FINALLY! We have a good ASCAT pass...
JMA and JTWC are currently on track in intensity, as that ASCAT pass @ 12:40z is showing winds near 40kts at most...
JMA and JTWC are currently on track in intensity, as that ASCAT pass @ 12:40z is showing winds near 40kts at most...
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Re: WPAC: NANMADOL - Tropical Storm
Imran_doomhaMwx wrote:FINALLY! We have a good ASCAT pass...
JMA and JTWC are currently on track in intensity, as that ASCAT pass @ 12:40z is showing winds near 40kts at most...
ASCAT doesn't go above 60 knots so it's low biased.
Last edited by euro6208 on Sun Jul 02, 2017 9:50 am, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: WPAC: NANMADOL - Tropical Storm
Imran_doomhaMwx wrote:FINALLY! We have a good ASCAT pass...
JMA and JTWC are currently on track in intensity, as that ASCAT pass @ 12:40z is showing winds near 40kts at most...
that is a 25 km resolution. The core is smaller than that. ASCAT CANNOT resolve this core
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Re: WPAC: NANMADOL - Tropical Storm
Imran_doomhaMwx wrote:FINALLY! We have a good ASCAT pass...
JMA and JTWC are currently on track in intensity, as that ASCAT pass @ 12:40z is showing winds near 40kts at most...
How many Atlantic storms do you see with that kind of presentation on ASCAT yet still above everything (recon)?
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Re: WPAC: NANMADOL - Tropical Storm
Alyono wrote:Imran_doomhaMwx wrote:FINALLY! We have a good ASCAT pass...
JMA and JTWC are currently on track in intensity, as that ASCAT pass @ 12:40z is showing winds near 40kts at most...
that is a 25 km resolution. The core is smaller than that. ASCAT CANNOT resolve this core
Well, so that's how it goes... I didn't know that...
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Re: WPAC: NANMADOL - Tropical Storm
The eye cleared out even more as it approaching a possible landfall.
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Re: WPAC: NANMADOL - Tropical Storm
Looks like a very typical STS to me. Agree that the agencies are underestimating this but I don't think it's a TY yet. Hope that we can get some good obs from Ishigakijima.
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Re: WPAC: NANMADOL - Tropical Storm
Nearest island not even close to tropical storm force winds, should be one of those quick ramp up in wind situations.
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Re: WPAC: NANMADOL - Tropical Storm
16.1m/s @ the New Ishigaki Airport
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Re: WPAC: NANMADOL - Tropical Storm
is that 10 minute? If so, that is close to TS force 1 minute
we may not have the peak winds lasting for 10 minutes. Would love to see the gusts
we may not have the peak winds lasting for 10 minutes. Would love to see the gusts
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Re: WPAC: NANMADOL - Tropical Storm
Alyono wrote:is that 10 minute? If so, that is close to TS force 1 minute
we may not have the peak winds lasting for 10 minutes. Would love to see the gusts
I think that's 10 minute.
I didnt capture the bottom part in my screenshot but it says there that maximum instantaneous wind speed is at 21.1 m/s at 23:52
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Re: WPAC: NANMADOL - Tropical Storm
About to make landfall in Ishigaki. Maybe cross between the island and Iriomote? Too close.
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Re: WPAC: NANMADOL - Tropical Storm
Ishigaki was already at 1000.9 mb at midnight JST (1500Z). JMA's 998 mb pressure estimate is clearly too high.
Here's the latest IR shot.
Here's the latest IR shot.
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