Texas Winter 2016-2017

Winter Weather Discussion

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Ntxw
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Re: Texas Winter 2016-2017

#4521 Postby Ntxw » Sat Feb 11, 2017 1:27 pm

Childress is forecasted 95-96 and sitting at 91F today. Rain and sleet in their forecast tomorrow night and Monday in the 30s :lol:. Talk about moody.
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Re: Texas Winter 2016-2017

#4522 Postby wxman57 » Sat Feb 11, 2017 2:21 pm

Just about a perfect February day today - sunny with a high in the low-mid 80s. Got in a great 34 mile bike ride. Only issue was the strong wind, but it was a south wind.
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Re: Texas Winter 2016-2017

#4523 Postby Texas Snowman » Sat Feb 11, 2017 3:16 pm

Ntxw wrote:Childress is forecasted 95-96 and sitting at 91F today. Rain and sleet in their forecast tomorrow night and Monday in the 30s :lol:. Talk about moody.


I say we send Heat Miser to Childress (or Lubbock) for some extended bike riding time early next week.

With only some Spandex cycling clothes packed away in his luggage. :D
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Re: Texas Winter 2016-2017

#4524 Postby Brent » Sat Feb 11, 2017 4:20 pm

Just saw somewhere it hit 100 in oklahoma :double:

Update officially 100 degrees at mangum oklahoma on February 11th...
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Re: Texas Winter 2016-2017

#4525 Postby Portastorm » Sat Feb 11, 2017 5:02 pm

Fifth record high temp for 2017 set today in Austin. What a pile of stinking and rotting garbage this alleged 'winter' has been. :grr: Third one in a row for Austin.

I seriously don't know why I even waste my time of this thread. I'm sure some of you think the same. :wink: :lol:
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Re: Texas Winter 2016-2017

#4526 Postby Ntxw » Sat Feb 11, 2017 5:02 pm

Pretty crazy temp map today. You'd have to go back to Feb 1996 to see such extreme temps in winter.
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Re: Texas Winter 2016-2017

#4527 Postby Brent » Sat Feb 11, 2017 5:06 pm

DFW has tied the record high of 88 so far
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Re: Texas Winter 2016-2017

#4528 Postby Ntxw » Sat Feb 11, 2017 5:08 pm

In old news, today is the 7thh anniversary of DFW's snowmaggedon in 2010 where 12.5 inches of snow fell Feb 11-12th. 88F outside today
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Re: Texas Winter 2016-2017

#4529 Postby Texas Snow » Sat Feb 11, 2017 7:21 pm

Ntxw wrote:In old news, today is the 7thh anniversary of DFW's snowmaggedon in 2010 where 12.5 inches of snow fell Feb 11-12th. 88F outside today


Probably my favorite weather day ever
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Re: Texas Winter 2016-2017

#4530 Postby gpsnowman » Sat Feb 11, 2017 9:13 pm

Texas Snow wrote:
Ntxw wrote:In old news, today is the 7thh anniversary of DFW's snowmaggedon in 2010 where 12.5 inches of snow fell Feb 11-12th. 88F outside today


Probably my favorite weather day ever

You got me thinking about my favorite weather event in my lifetime. Spent many years a youngster in the northeast and remember many snows. All of my favorites are obviously winter events. I do love all day soaking rain events in any season. Thunderstorms are numerous throughout the year and are awesome to witness, they never get old. Cold air advection days with temps in the 30's with bright sunshine are a rare treat. Arctic high pressure domes with rapidly falling overnight temps with zero wind leading to frigid morning temps are refreshing. All of these are great but the single most favorite weather day in my lifetime is the snow event mentioned above. What a spectacular winter memory. I agree with Texas Snow!! The morning of, my children woke me up and excitedly showed me what had already fallen, only to witness the most beautiful snow I have ever seen throughout the entire day, non-stop. A truly magical event for all ages. The Christmas Eve snow of 2009 might be second, another magical winter moment. Ahhhhh the good ol' days.
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Re: Texas Winter 2016-2017

#4531 Postby TeamPlayersBlue » Sat Feb 11, 2017 9:49 pm

Texas Snow wrote:
Ntxw wrote:In old news, today is the 7thh anniversary of DFW's snowmaggedon in 2010 where 12.5 inches of snow fell Feb 11-12th. 88F outside today


Probably my favorite weather day ever


I drove into it with my sports sedan lol. It was..... interesting., but yes, it was amazing. Whole front grill was entirely covered.
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Re: Texas Winter 2016-2017

#4532 Postby bubba hotep » Sat Feb 11, 2017 10:34 pm

The potential for one last cold shot is starting to appear in the longer range. It looks like the Pacific jet might relax allowing some cold to actually build over Canada towards the end of February. Climo starts working against N. Texas with the quickness but there are plenty of examples of winter striking back during the last week of Feb or 1st of March.

 https://twitter.com/whatisthisrds/status/830620378795999232


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Re: Texas Winter 2016-2017

#4533 Postby TexasF6 » Sun Feb 12, 2017 12:48 am

weatherdude1108 wrote:Bob Rose alluded to La Nina now being over, and El Nino to making another return.

La Niña is over. That is what the National Weather Service's Climate Prediction Center stated Thursday in their monthly El Niño/La Niña update. It only lasted for a few months but recent observations indicate the Pacific appears to have shifted back to a neutral state; neither La Niña nor El Niño.

In Thursday's report, CPC forecasters indicated that sea surface temperatures in the tropical Pacific are still slightly below normal, but they have warmed past the threshold for La Nina. In fact, sea surface temperatures in the eastern Pacific off the west coast of South America have become much warmer than normal.

Stay tuned for additional updates on the possible development of El Niño over the next couple of months.


It is dead Jim! BTW, great SkyWarn session today at ACC!!! Mr. Rose is expecting an active severe wx season in Central Texas, so be prepared folks! In other sad news, I have given up on snowy snow and winter. :cry:

http://www.lcra.org/water/river-and-wea ... ather.aspx
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Re: Texas Winter 2016-2017

#4534 Postby Golf7070 » Sun Feb 12, 2017 3:34 am

bubba hotep wrote:The potential for one last cold shot is starting to appear in the longer range. It looks like the Pacific jet might relax allowing some cold to actually build over Canada towards the end of February. Climo starts working against N. Texas with the quickness but there are plenty of examples of winter striking back during the last week of Feb or 1st of March.

https://twitter.com/whatisthisrds/statu ... 8795999232


Bubba, what would cause the jet to retract like that again being so late? Any ideas?
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Re: Texas Winter 2016-2017

#4535 Postby wxman57 » Sun Feb 12, 2017 10:56 am

I think it's time to "call it", as far as winter for TX is concerned. Next week's front may drop temps a little below normal for a couple of days, but it's back to the 80s next weekend. Operational models & ensembles out to 15 days indicate temps in Canada remaining above-normal. There just isn't any cold air to come down here from Canada through the end of February. Yes, it could get cold in March, but I wouldn't bet on the pattern of the last 6 weeks changing in March.
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Re: Texas Winter 2016-2017

#4536 Postby MGC » Sun Feb 12, 2017 11:10 am

Good news 57. Been loving this winter so far. Only one really cold spell here on the Mississippi Coast. Keep up the good work!......MGC
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Re: Texas Winter 2016-2017

#4537 Postby Portastorm » Sun Feb 12, 2017 12:08 pm

wxman57 wrote:I think it's time to "call it", as far as winter for TX is concerned. Next week's front may drop temps a little below normal for a couple of days, but it's back to the 80s next weekend. Operational models & ensembles out to 15 days indicate temps in Canada remaining above-normal. There just isn't any cold air to come down here from Canada through the end of February. Yes, it could get cold in March, but I wouldn't bet on the pattern of the last 6 weeks changing in March.


You could have called it after the early January cold spell, because there has been no "winter" to speak of since then.

For all of you folks who are enjoying this lack of winter ... no griping from you come this spring and summer when the heat and humidity soar and the heat indices are triple digits on a daily basis. Can't have one without the other.
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Re: Texas Winter 2016-2017

#4538 Postby TheProfessor » Sun Feb 12, 2017 12:47 pm

12z GFS has my storm. Unfortunately it's 288+ hours out. Storm could be in Kansas when it occurs if it even exists.
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Re: Texas Winter 2016-2017

#4539 Postby South Texas Storms » Sun Feb 12, 2017 4:02 pm

That storm system for next weekend looks potent. Deep negative tilt trough tracking eastward across the state next Sunday. Could be a severe outbreak.
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Re: Texas Winter 2016-2017

#4540 Postby srainhoutx » Sun Feb 12, 2017 4:10 pm

South Texas Storms wrote:That storm system for next weekend looks potent. Deep negative tilt trough tracking eastward across the state next Sunday. Could be a severe outbreak.


Very amplified MJO in Phase 8 and a stout CCKW tends to favor the potential for severe weather across portions of Texas. It's already on my radar scope, so to speak... :wink:
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