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Ntxw wrote:6z GFS starts running in about an hour, any bets? Southeast or southwest ridge? Alaskan or NW Canada ridge? Over under starts at 30F (+/- 25 degrees)
Ntxw wrote:2:30pm and DFW is still sitting at 34F with a north wind still blowing 15-20mph. Dew points have dropped into the mid teens
One year ago starting today DFW was in the 70s for 8 days straight. All averaging 10-26F above normal.
Brent wrote:we finally broke freezing here per weatherbug... woo...
I'm hoping the GFS doesn't trend warmer and the Euro catches up at 0z. This pattern is so ripe for more cold and I'd hate to waste it.
Ntxw wrote:Brent wrote:we finally broke freezing here per weatherbug... woo...
I'm hoping the GFS doesn't trend warmer and the Euro catches up at 0z. This pattern is so ripe for more cold and I'd hate to waste it.
As much as I want to see big cold finally, I really want to see a winter storm set up...all that cold but if it's wasted dry then it's just novelty. I'd love for the southwest trough to dig, we're already plenty cold ahead of it.
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Fort Worth TX
237 PM CST Thu Dec 8 2016
.DISCUSSION...
Strong surface high pressure, on the order of 1044 mb, will
settle into the Central and Southern Plains tonight behind a
departing shortwave trough. This will result in clearing skies,
drier air and decreasing wind speeds, all of which will promote
efficient radiational cooling. Overnight lows will range from
about 19 in the northwest to the middle 20s across the Metroplex
and the southern zones. The only thing that could potentially keep
temperatures from reaching these values is if the mid cloud deck
is slower in scattering out.
Friday will be a much warmer day even though the morning will
start out very cold. We expect afternoon highs to warm into the
40s under a mostly sunny sky and a light wind.
Progressive zonal flow will prevail through the weekend which will
result in the development of a surface lee trough across the High
Plains and the return of Gulf moisture. The low level warm air
advection pattern will bring near normal temperatures back to the
region with lows in the 40S and highs in the 50s and 60s Saturday
and Sunday. Some warm air advection showers will be possible
Saturday night ahead of a shortwave. The shortwave will move
across North and Central Texas on Sunday and bring a slightly
better chance of showers, especially east of the Interstate 35
corridor where low level moisture will be most abundant.
Instability should be insufficient for any thunder.
The passage of the shortwave trough axis Sunday night will allow
a weak cold front to move into the region. The air behind the
front will be a bit cooler and drier but nothing like the arctic
intrusion that we are currently experiencing.
The upper air pattern will become more amplified next week with a
long wave trough progged to develop across the northern half of
the CONUS with another arctic front expected to infiltrate the
Plains. There are some differences among the extended models with
regards to how deep the trough will become, when the cold front
will arrive in North Texas and if any precipitation will accompany
it. Therefore, we will keep the forecast dry Monday through
Thursday with temperatures near seasonal normals Monday and
Tuesday and below normal Wednesday and Thursday.
We did that as kids with the hose when it got down in the low 20s/teens. Let it run all night, then saw a huge broken tree branch on the back patio that snapped from the weight of the accumulating freezing mist on the limbs from the nozzle. Mom and dad weren't too happy. 
Meteorcane wrote:Are any of those echoes (which would likely be snow) reaching the ground south of the DFW area?
Meteorcane wrote:Are any of those echoes (which would likely be snow) reaching the ground south of the DFW area?
PineyWoods wrote:Meteorcane wrote:Are any of those echoes (which would likely be snow) reaching the ground south of the DFW area?
I'm not sure about south of DFW but east of DFW, here in Tyler we've had those echos on radar over us all day and I haven't seen anything falling. I suspect it is drying up above us.
We got our first freeze and a high in the 30's on the same day. Let's see how low we can beat last winter's 27 degrees.
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