ATL: MATTHEW - Post-Tropical - Discussion

[Steve]

One thing about Charleston

IF this makes a direct hit, the winds may be higher than they were in Hugo. Hugo brought category 1 winds to Charleston. The cat 4 winds were farther north

If this continues North and doesn't turn east until later, would that ultimately be better for Charleston?

I don't have the 10,000,000 variables comparison, but I'd say no. You'd get the meat of that N Eyewall that's mostly been offshore with the system and probably more surge with the water piling up. But it's going to turn at some point, and if it comes in a little east of there and landfalls, that's worse with backing up rivers, sounds and bays. You just saw that in N FL and some of SE GA today. Be careful.

[Fishing]

Heavy rainfall, probably 50 mph consistently it feels like right now in Mt. Pleasant, SC. Power keeps flickering. Radar seems like it's still going North, when is it supposed to make the turn east?

I'm so glad your posting. I'm from Mount Pleasant and my husband and I came to Charlotte however my adult children and pets are staying at our house in Park West. They had power about an hour ago but haven't heard anything else since . We stayed for Hugo. I hope to hell the noise doesn't get that loud. So hard to say what this storm is going to do . I think Matthew broke the rule book.

[emeraldislenc]

i agree with what the person said from NC everyone gave the all clear sign yesterday and now the storm looks like it might get closer than they anticipated.

[Alyono]

One thing about Charleston

IF this makes a direct hit, the winds may be higher than they were in Hugo. Hugo brought category 1 winds to Charleston. The cat 4 winds were farther north

If this continues North and doesn't turn east until later, would that ultimately be better for Charleston?

far worse as you would be in the right, front quadrant

[Soonercane]

Is it possible this could do more damage in SC than Florida?

[NYR__1994]

Watching the RADAR trends over the past couple frames looks like the eye is taking a wobble to the left/west. How long this last is going to be critical as to where/if the strongest winds come ashore and could be the difference between landfall and no landfall....

I can't see it making landfall before about Beaufort SC, but it could push the eyewall over some of the islands such as Tybee.

I agree, but it looks like it is making a beeline for Hilton Head right now.

[Pughetime12]

Heavy rainfall, probably 50 mph consistently it feels like right now in Mt. Pleasant, SC. Power keeps flickering. Radar seems like it's still going North, when is it supposed to make the turn east?

I'm so glad your posting. I'm from Mount Pleasant and my husband and I came to Charlotte however my adult children and pets are staying at our house in Park West. They had power about an hour ago but haven't heard anything else since . We stayed for Hugo. I hope to hell the noise doesn't get that loud. So hard to say what this storm is going to do . I think Matthew broke the rule book.

We are in Park West too, it looks like everyone that we know in Park West still has power.

[bg1]

Winds have picked up to about... 25 mph? Heavy rain as well in my area.

[Fountainguy97]

Latest update (6PM) from the MHX office.... Page 5 guys...that's scary


http://www.weather.gov/media/mhx/LatestBriefing.pdf

[NC George]

i agree with what the person said from NC everyone gave the all clear sign yesterday and now the storm looks like it might get closer than they anticipated.

My mother asked for my opinion about the probably effects of this storm in our area a couple of days ago, and I replied that I though this would be very similar to Floyd, hopefully with less rain, and it would be very hard to predict the exact point it made the turn and thus who would get the brunt. Seems my prediction about it being to Floyd was more spot on than I thought, as they are now forecasting flooding rains throughout eastern NC tomorrow.

I continued my hurricane preparations yesterday and today. Local stores and gas stations were fully stocked earlier today, and Lowe's had plenty of everything yesterday. I'll update conditions here as they decline tomorrow. I have a barometer and a handheld anemometer this year. I need to find an 'official Matthew rain bucket'!

Current pressure is 1014, 0 wind, not raining; air is very still. Earlier today it was breezy and drizzling with an occasional shower.

[dukeblue219]

One thing about Charleston

IF this makes a direct hit, the winds may be higher than they were in Hugo. Hugo brought category 1 winds to Charleston. The cat 4 winds were farther north

Also the surge will almost certainly be worse than with Hugo due to the angle of approach. Those Cat 1 winds were in an offshore flow until the end of the storm. If Hugo hit near Kiawah, we'd be talking 145 mph sustained winds directly over Charleston.

For those wanting numbers, track the surge on the Charleston peninsula itself here: https://tidesandcurrents.noaa.gov/water ... =6&action=

You can change the dates back to 9/22/89 to see Hugo, too. (also will have to switch to 1 hr data instead of 6 minutes)

[abajan]

One thing about Charleston

IF this makes a direct hit, the winds may be higher than they were in Hugo. Hugo brought category 1 winds to Charleston. The cat 4 winds were farther north

So true, there are many people who believe they went through a Cat 4 hurricane who didn't.

Just like how many Jamaicans believe they experienced Gilbert as a Cat 5 when in fact it was just a Cat 3 at the time. (Of course, a Cat 3 is still a very powerful storm.)

[psyclone]

Matthew is taking on that classic "half-a-cane" look we often see when a storm has been loitering too close to a big landmass for too long. The QPF estimates for the Carolinas are hideous. Inland flooding is likely the biggest concern from the grand strand north with surge and heavy rain the biggies down south. Do we have any reliable info about surge flooding right now in GA and the SC lowcountry? I wonder about places like Tybee and Hilton Head...very surge prone region.

[stormhunter7]

I swear I have seen two or three vortices in the nw part of the eye on radar. Usually that fires up hot towers in the eyewall... and from what I am seeing on IR... I belive will see the ne turn next hour or two. IMO

[ncweatherwizard]

Matthew really getting hammered by vertical shear now. At the same time, moisture is getting advected well north of the cyclone now, which will contribute a bunch to the storm total rainfall amounts in NC. Been raining in SC awhile now.

[Digital-TC-Chaser]

[FLpanhandle91]

I fear that Matthew's true damage won't be felt until another storm approaches the Florida coast. My social media is full of people mocking the storm and its effects on Florida. No way these people leave for a storm next time.

[Sanibel]

Slow down before NE turn?

[CFLHurricane]

I fear that Matthew's true damage won't be felt until another storm approaches the Florida coast. My social media is full of people mocking the storm and its effects on Florida. No way these people leave for a storm next time.

After staying at my in-laws, sometimes I think I'd rather take the hurricane

[CrazyC83]

It seems to be on pace for landfall near St. Helena Island.