ATL: MATTHEW - Post-Tropical - Discussion

[Michele B]

northjaxpro's power must be down.


The one time the persistent inner eyewall makes land looks like it might be Charleston....


The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or STORM2K. For official information, please refer to products from the National Hurricane Center and National Weather Service.

Sooo, NOBODY wins the pool?

[capepoint]

The bad part for NC and possibly VA, is that the NHC basically sounded the all clear for us yesterday, and preps in our area stopped. Now today local mets have been reluctant to stray far from the NHC statements so a lot of people did not know that chances of getting worse weather here had escalated. Now this evening they have started talking about recent treands, but it is too late to do much to prepare. I know this storm has a history of having a 20 mile wobble mean the difference between a lot or a little in Florida, but the forecast of the hard right hook yesterday were sold as the gospel. Might have been better to go a little stronger on the cautionary wording that was buried in the statements yesterday. Just my 2 cents worth, and certainly not bashing, just something that should be usedasa.earning tool.

[SoupBone]

Haven't had time to post all day. Working 12hr shifts with Matthew. One more tomorrow.

Wanted to ask - anyone here from the Orlando area? We're flying there Monday for a vacation. Was wondering how the city held up. Sat a peak gust around 60 mph after Matthew passed Orlando today. Looks like sustained winds 25-35 mph with a few gusts above 40 mph. I would think that such wind may have caused a few power outages but no significant issues.

Can someone PM me with any reports from there? Thanks. Bed time. Another early shift tomorrow.

PS: May have to change my name here to "MatthewHater"...

I have friends that are in Disney right now and they said it didn't amount to much there, but they also likely didn't go out exploring.

[CrazyC83]

I have to say, it's a little disappointing that now that the hurricane is past Florida, the forum has essentially died. I have a daughter in Wilmington who is not out of the woods yet.

Does anyone have a good recommendation for another site to get up to the minute and reliable updates from? I have the NHC but I'm looking for something more interactive.

Keep in mind a lot of posters are from Florida, some of those don't have power and still others are cleaning up.

That too. I think there are ~500,000 Floridians (i may be grossly underestimating too) that are without power and that would certainly include some Storm2K members. This is actually the first major storm in over 20 years that I haven't lost power (sometimes for up to 4 days) as I am only 50 miles from the coast. And some have power, but no internet.

I believe 1.3 million customers are without power, although that number may include some restored.

[Florida1118]

Haven't had time to post all day. Working 12hr shifts with Matthew. One more tomorrow.

Wanted to ask - anyone here from the Orlando area? We're flying there Monday for a vacation. Was wondering how the city held up. Sat a peak gust around 60 mph after Matthew passed Orlando today. Looks like sustained winds 25-35 mph with a few gusts above 40 mph. I would think that such wind may have caused a few power outages but no significant issues.

Can someone PM me with any reports from there? Thanks. Bed time. Another early shift tomorrow.

PS: May have to change my name here to "MatthewHater"...

Per Duke Energy, 125,000 are without power in /around the Orlando area, involving over 3,000 sites. Probably going to take a few days to get it all restored.

[Tireman4]

Haven't had time to post all day. Working 12hr shifts with Matthew. One more tomorrow.

Wanted to ask - anyone here from the Orlando area? We're flying there Monday for a vacation. Was wondering how the city held up. Sat a peak gust around 60 mph after Matthew passed Orlando today. Looks like sustained winds 25-35 mph with a few gusts above 40 mph. I would think that such wind may have caused a few power outages but no significant issues.

Can someone PM me with any reports from there? Thanks. Bed time. Another early shift tomorrow.

PS: May have to change my name here to "MatthewHater"...

StormingB..Brian...is in Orlando

[Pughetime12]

Heavy rainfall, probably 50 mph consistently it feels like right now in Mt. Pleasant, SC. Power keeps flickering. Radar seems like it's still going North, when is it supposed to make the turn east?

[Agua]

Was it an amazing once in a lifetime track or was their some factor that keeps Matt from landfall? Just amazed how close Matt has hugged the coast from Palm Beach to OBX...

His whole history, an aversion to land. It's why he 's managed to maintain strength so long....very strange.

It's apparent these storms have some propensity to avoid land and follow its source of fuel, consuming water heat like fire consuming combustibles.

[hipshot]

Haven't had time to post all day. Working 12hr shifts with Matthew. One more tomorrow.

Wanted to ask - anyone here from the Orlando area? We're flying there Monday for a vacation. Was wondering how the city held up. Sat a peak gust around 60 mph after Matthew passed Orlando today. Looks like sustained winds 25-35 mph with a few gusts above 40 mph. I would think that such wind may have caused a few power outages but no significant issues.

Can someone PM me with any reports from there? Thanks. Bed time. Another early shift tomorrow.

PS: May have to change my name here to "MatthewHater"...

All I really heard was some moderate wind and rain and the park was closed for only the 4th time in its history. Supposed to open in a day or two.

[Sanibel]

Heavy rainfall, probably 50 mph consistently it feels like right now in Mt. Pleasant, SC. Power keeps flickering. Radar seems like it's still going North, when is it supposed to make the turn east?

Thanks. Let me know if you learn of any surge on the ocean side of Rifle Range Road.

[NCBuckeye]

The bad part for NC and possibly VA, is that the NHC basically sounded the all clear for us yesterday, and preps in our area stopped. Now today local mets have been reluctant to stray far from the NHC statements so a lot of people did not know that chances of getting worse weather here had escalated. Now this evening they have started talking about recent treands, but it is too late to do much to prepare. I know this storm has a history of having a 20 mile wobble mean the difference between a lot or a little in Florida, but the forecast of the hard right hook yesterday were sold as the gospel. Might have been better to go a little stronger on the cautionary wording that was buried in the statements yesterday. Just my 2 cents worth, and certainly not bashing, just something that should be usedasa.earning tool.

Agreed. All the local news was "NC spared the winds, just going to be wet", etc. for more than a day. Somehow they forgot how quickly it changed from projected to land in Wilmington to missing NC entirely and looping around the Bahamas. If it can change that quickly one way surely it's capable of the opposite... or in this case, meeting the projections somewhere in-between. The one redeeming thing is that our Governor refused to back off the State of Emergency even when projections made him look like he was going way overboard as he actually extended it to more counties while the local mets basically gave us an "all clear". His tone never seemed to waver on this.

[Alyono]

One thing about Charleston

IF this makes a direct hit, the winds may be higher than they were in Hugo. Hugo brought category 1 winds to Charleston. The cat 4 winds were farther north

[Pughetime12]

Heavy rainfall, probably 50 mph consistently it feels like right now in Mt. Pleasant, SC. Power keeps flickering. Radar seems like it's still going North, when is it supposed to make the turn east?

Thanks. Let me know if you learn of any surge on the ocean side of Rifle Range Road.

Nothing on the local news about it yet.

[Steve]

The surge from Savannah to Charleston is likely to be major and what this hurricane is remembered for. I hope everybody is out of those areas.

"Some of what..."

JMO When the track, ACE, deaths, angle, etc. are considered, it's pretty historic. Just the same, and the SC people on here will vouch, I've been almost worried more about them all along. Hopefully a more ENE angle paralleling the Coast much as he did except for the scrape near Daytona coming up the SE Coast will spare a worse outcome. However, Matthew clearly exposed some weaknesses we're eventually going to have to deal with as a nation on the SE Atlantic Coast just like we have to do for the Gulf.

[Evil Jeremy]

It's been quite a day. Very glad to see the east coast of Florida spared the worst, but concerned for Georgia and the Carolinas.

From what I have seen and heard, there are widespread power outages in Jacksonville, several blocks of flooding down on the beach, and plenty of downed trees. St. Augestine looks like it received a brutal punch.

Based on the electricity situation in Jacksonville, I'll be trying to return to the city tomorrow. If so, I'll let you all know what damage I observe (I live close to the Jax Beach).

[JtSmarts]

One thing about Charleston

IF this makes a direct hit, the winds may be higher than they were in Hugo. Hugo brought category 1 winds to Charleston. The cat 4 winds were farther north

So true, there are many people who believe they went through a Cat 4 hurricane who didn't.

[CrazyC83]

One thing about Charleston

IF this makes a direct hit, the winds may be higher than they were in Hugo. Hugo brought category 1 winds to Charleston. The cat 4 winds were farther north

Also the surge will almost certainly be worse than with Hugo due to the angle of approach. Those Cat 1 winds were in an offshore flow until the end of the storm. If Hugo hit near Kiawah, we'd be talking 145 mph sustained winds directly over Charleston.

[NYR__1994]

Watching the RADAR trends over the past couple frames looks like the eye is taking a wobble to the left/west. How long this last is going to be critical as to where/if the strongest winds come ashore and could be the difference between landfall and no landfall....

[Pughetime12]

One thing about Charleston

IF this makes a direct hit, the winds may be higher than they were in Hugo. Hugo brought category 1 winds to Charleston. The cat 4 winds were farther north

If this continues North and doesn't turn east until later, would that ultimately be better for Charleston?

[CrazyC83]

Watching the RADAR trends over the past couple frames looks like the eye is taking a wobble to the left/west. How long this last is going to be critical as to where/if the strongest winds come ashore and could be the difference between landfall and no landfall....

I can't see it making landfall before about Beaufort SC, but it could push the eyewall over some of the islands such as Tybee.