ATL: MATTHEW - Post-Tropical - Discussion

[SouthFloridawx]

JMHO

140mph - 938mb - unless they find lower or higher when the 5pm comes out

Guesses on pressure and wind speed at next advisory??
I'm saying pressure around 925 with winds around 165.

they found plenty of winds to support 150 at least.

[Aric Dunn]

202430 1331N 07317W 7493 02160 9587 +153 //// 109128 135 129 037 01
202500 1333N 07317W 7435 02315 9689 +144 //// 103127 129 112 063 01

[SouthFloridawx]

Fine! 150

202430 1331N 07317W 7493 02160 9587 +153 //// 109128 135 129 037 01
202500 1333N 07317W 7435 02315 9689 +144 //// 103127 129 112 063 01

[Kazmit]

Product: NOAA Vortex Message (URNT12 KWBC)
Transmitted: 1st day of the month at 20:15Z
Aircraft: Lockheed WP-3D Orion (Reg. Num. N43RF)
Observation Number: 18

A. Time of Center Fix: 1st day of the month at 19:39:55Z
B. Center Fix Coordinates: 13°20'N 73°16'W (13.3333N 73.2667W)

H. Minimum Sea Level Pressure: 940mb (27.76 inHg) - Extrapolated

I. Maximum Flight Level Temp & Pressure Altitude Outside Eye: 17°C (63°F) at a pressure alt. of 2,199m (7,215ft)
J. Maximum Flight Level Temp & Pressure Altitude Inside Eye: 23°C (73°F) at a pressure alt. of 2,476m (8,123ft)

L. Eye Character: Closed Wall
M. Eye Shape & Diameter: Circular with a diameter of 6 nautical miles

6nm eye... that's small.

[TimeZone]

Matthew is indeed re-intensifying. I can't imagine the type of destruction that this could/will cause in Haiti/Jamaica.

[Aric Dunn]

Product: NOAA Vortex Message (URNT12 KWBC)
Transmitted: 1st day of the month at 20:15Z
Aircraft: Lockheed WP-3D Orion (Reg. Num. N43RF)
Observation Number: 18

A. Time of Center Fix: 1st day of the month at 19:39:55Z
B. Center Fix Coordinates: 13°20'N 73°16'W (13.3333N 73.2667W)

H. Minimum Sea Level Pressure: 940mb (27.76 inHg) - Extrapolated

I. Maximum Flight Level Temp & Pressure Altitude Outside Eye: 17°C (63°F) at a pressure alt. of 2,199m (7,215ft)
J. Maximum Flight Level Temp & Pressure Altitude Inside Eye: 23°C (73°F) at a pressure alt. of 2,476m (8,123ft)

L. Eye Character: Closed Wall
M. Eye Shape & Diameter: Circular with a diameter of 6 nautical miles

6nm eye... that's small.

thats wilma small

[SouthFloridawx]

2NM miles for Wilma. That's the record.

Product: NOAA Vortex Message (URNT12 KWBC)
Transmitted: 1st day of the month at 20:15Z
Aircraft: Lockheed WP-3D Orion (Reg. Num. N43RF)
Observation Number: 18
A. Time of Center Fix: 1st day of the month at 19:39:55Z
B. Center Fix Coordinates: 13°20'N 73°16'W (13.3333N 73.2667W)
H. Minimum Sea Level Pressure: 940mb (27.76 inHg) - Extrapolated
I. Maximum Flight Level Temp & Pressure Altitude Outside Eye: 17°C (63°F) at a pressure alt. of 2,199m (7,215ft)
J. Maximum Flight Level Temp & Pressure Altitude Inside Eye: 23°C (73°F) at a pressure alt. of 2,476m (8,123ft)
L. Eye Character: Closed Wall
M. Eye Shape & Diameter: Circular with a diameter of 6 nautical miles

6nm eye... that's small.

thats wilma small

[Hurrilurker]

Where did this "hot tower" terminology come from? Seems to be the phrase of the year around here.

[chaser1]

Where did this "hot tower" terminology come from? Seems to be the phrase of the year around here.

naw.... been around for years. Maybe started a couple years after "rear flank down draft" was seemingly in every tornadic discussion.

[floridasun78]

do i see moving north or nw that loop?

[Aric Dunn]

do i see moving north or nw that loop?

its been doing a cyclonic loop for the past 6 hours. will need a few more hours of continued motion in one direction to call it a forward motion.

Almost looks like its about to start another. new frame shows westerly motion again.

[chaser1]

Perhaps newer yet is RI (rapid intensification), and yet even that one has now been around and over-used for years (though very applicable in THIS case lol)

[pcolaman]

do i see moving north or nw that loop?

Been doing the same thing for over an hour and a half
I think it's stuck at the moment. Could this be due to the front to the north passing by and he is waiting on a path ?

[drewschmaltz]

Where did this "hot tower" terminology come from? Seems to be the phrase of the year around here.

Consider the circumstances. Hundreds of posts about a hurricane. Some words and phrases are bound to repeat. Let's enjoy without being critical.

Edit: this makes me sound like I'm saying you're critical. I'm not. It's a broad recommendation when analyzing the tone changes round here.

[floridasun78]

do i see moving north or nw that loop?

its been doing a cyclonic loop for the past 6 hours. will need a few more hours of continued motion in one direction to call it a forward motion.

Almost looks like its about to start another. new frame shows westerly motion again.

let see nhc say soon

[jlauderdal]

BigJoeBastardi21 secs
4 straight runs gfs landfall somewhere on us coast. Euro NONE euro won sandy and Joaquin. I think it wins this too

[chaser1]

do i see moving north or nw that loop?

its been doing a cyclonic loop for the past 6 hours. will need a few more hours of continued motion in one direction to call it a forward motion.

Almost looks like its about to start another. new frame shows westerly motion again.

Yep, that's the big question now - about to turn north?? Or about to resume it's prior westward motion. Could well be something in the middle but am now thinking that maybe the models had it right all along with an anticipated and fairly sharp poleward turn.

[floridasun78]

my weatherman say he wanted see turn today to say south fl will west of hurr

[Aric Dunn]

do i see moving north or nw that loop?

its been doing a cyclonic loop for the past 6 hours. will need a few more hours of continued motion in one direction to call it a forward motion.

Almost looks like its about to start another. new frame shows westerly motion again.

Yep, that's the big question now - about to turn north?? Or about to resume it's prior westward motion. Could well be something in the middle but am now thinking that maybe the models had it right all along with an anticipated and fairly sharp poleward turn.

only problem is the this stall.. its already 6 hours behind .. to much longer and models will have to adjust...

[Hypercane_Kyle]

NHC says 130 knots now, not far away from Cat 5 status again.