ATL: MATTHEW - Post-Tropical - Discussion

[TimeZone]

Windshear analysis over Matthew is comical, 20-25 knots? Yeah right, it has created its own environment.

Wow, lot's of Shear to the west towards Cuba. I'm guessing this is why Models weaken it before Jamaica.

[Dean4Storms]

I don't know if the Ridge is so much the driver with this now moving more WSW than the models were indicating or if it is a combination of higher intensity than forecast and the inflow drag off the northern Coastline of South America causing it to be pulled toward that struggle of inflow.

[Ntxw]

Eye is shrinking (maybe cooling?) and clouds have warmed a little. Perhaps leveled off?

[Alyono]

Windshear analysis over Matthew is comical, 20-25 knots? Yeah right, it has created its own environment.

Wow, lot's of Shear to the west towards Cuba. I'm guessing this is why Models weaken it before Jamaica.

they do Jamaica. They show something far more intense than it currently is.

Ignore LGEM and SHIPS entirely

[tropicwatch]

Good evening everyone. I see Recon currently down in the storm is about to leave. What time will the next flight will be in Matthew?

If I'm reading it right, next flight takes off in about 6 hours...

New advisory going to cut it close?

Probably dealing with movement decision, because of it being basically just south to southwest of the 8pm advisory. This will also slow down the timetable I would think on forecast track.

[TimeZone]

Eye is shrinking (maybe cooling?) and clouds have warmed a little. Perhaps leveled off?

[]http://i66.tinypic.com/6xyqzb.gif[]

Isn't this near the point where models begin to weaken Matthew? Perhaps we're seeing the first signs of shear taking a toll.

[SunnyThoughts]

Eye is shrinking (maybe cooling?) and clouds have warmed a little. Perhaps leveled off?

Man that is what I call a pinhole eye. Cant be but a hand full of miles in diameter.

[Jevo]

Eye is shrinking (maybe cooling?) and clouds have warmed a little. Perhaps leveled off?

Perhaps, but an ERC wouldn't be out of the question. Watch for concentrics in the next few hours or so to be sure

[Evil Jeremy]

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 941 MB
EYE DIAMETER 15 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 140 KT WITH GUSTS TO 170 KT.


Cat 5

[TheStormExpert]

...MATTHEW BECOMES A CATEGORY 5 HURRICANE... ...THE STRONGEST HURRICANE IN THE ATLANTIC SINCE FELIX IN 2007...

[northjaxpro]

Really I think it may be a Category 5 right now.

Extremely impressive tropical cyclone. I am awestruck completely by Matthew. Still moving SW and this continues to make me wonder how long will the poleward turn be delayed?

[KyleEverett]

I don't believe we're seeing a pinhole eye form. It might actually be filling in a bit due to adverse conditions. If you notice, outflow to the northeast has almost collapsed.

[AxaltaRacing24]

The streak is over

[tolakram]

ir loop

http://weather.msfc.nasa.gov/cgi-bin/get-goes?satellite=GOES-E%20HURRICANE&lat=14&lon=-71&info=ir&zoom=2&width=1024&height=768&type=Animation&quality=92&palette=ir3.pal&numframes=15&mapcolor=gray&map=county

[galaxy401]

The streak is finally over! Almost in the same location as well.

[jdjaguar]

CAT 5

[JaxGator]

Good evening everyone. I see Recon currently down in the storm is about to leave. What time will the next flight will be in Matthew?

Evening. This is incredible isn't it? Remarkable and deadly storm (and you learn something along the way). On a side note about the ridge, there has been a constant east breeze (and my uncle in Miami has delt with bad storms coming in from the east as well). That concerns me.

[Ntxw]

Cat 5 140kts

[tolakram]

..MATTHEW BECOMES A CATEGORY 5 HURRICANE... ...THE STRONGEST HURRICANE IN THE ATLANTIC SINCE FELIX IN 2007..

[northjaxpro]

Well no sooner I posted my thoughts, NHC we have Cat 5 Matthew