ATL: MATTHEW - Post-Tropical - Discussion

Moderator: S2k Moderators

Message
Author
User avatar
Hypercane_Kyle
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 3355
Joined: Sat Mar 07, 2015 7:58 pm
Location: Cape Canaveral, FL

Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Hurricane - Discussion

#2061 Postby Hypercane_Kyle » Fri Sep 30, 2016 3:35 pm

Jeez. 127 knots (146 mph) at the surface per new dropsonde.
2 likes   
My posts are my own personal opinion, defer to the National Hurricane Center (NHC) and other NOAA products for decision making during hurricane season.

User avatar
p1nheadlarry
Category 2
Category 2
Posts: 672
Age: 33
Joined: Wed Jan 29, 2014 2:42 pm
Location: SR County FL

Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Hurricane - Discussion

#2062 Postby p1nheadlarry » Fri Sep 30, 2016 3:37 pm

znel52 wrote:The last frame of this loop is stunning right now!

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/floater ... -long.html


In case you want to link .gif files of those loops (in case you didn't already know)

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/floaters/14L/14L_floater.html
0 likes   
--;->#GoNoles--;->.

User avatar
1900hurricane
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 6059
Age: 34
Joined: Fri Feb 06, 2015 12:04 pm
Location: Houston, TX
Contact:

Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Hurricane - Discussion

#2063 Postby 1900hurricane » Fri Sep 30, 2016 3:37 pm

NWFL56 wrote:
1900hurricane wrote:The eye is beginning to break off-white as of 1915Z.

Image

Not sure what you mean..could you explain? Also, are there multiple vortices/eyewalls here? Not sure what I am seeing in this graphic. Would appreciate any help.

Off-white is a color used on the Basic Dvorak (BD) infrared color scheme. It's the second warmest color (after warm medium grey). The gist of the original post is that the eye is continuing to warm and become better defined, implying continued organization and strengthening.
0 likes   
Contract Meteorologist. TAMU & MSST. Fiercely authentic, one of a kind. We are all given free will, so choose a life meant to be lived. We are the Masters of our own Stories.
Opinions expressed are mine alone.

Follow me on Twitter at @1900hurricane : Read blogs at https://1900hurricane.wordpress.com/

TimeZone

Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Hurricane - Discussion

#2064 Postby TimeZone » Fri Sep 30, 2016 3:37 pm

Hypercane_Kyle wrote:Jeez. 127 knots (146 mph) at the surface per new dropsonde.


What?! :eek:
0 likes   

Aric Dunn
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 21238
Age: 42
Joined: Sun Sep 19, 2004 9:58 pm
Location: Ready for the Chase.
Contact:

Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Hurricane - Discussion

#2065 Postby Aric Dunn » Fri Sep 30, 2016 3:38 pm

I like how recon is just doing eyewall passes.
2 likes   
Note: If I make a post that is brief. Please refer back to previous posts for the analysis or reasoning. I do not re-write/qoute what my initial post said each time.
If there is nothing before... then just ask :)

Space & Atmospheric Physicist, Embry-Riddle Aeronautical University,
I believe the sky is falling...

User avatar
Yellow Evan
Professional-Met
Professional-Met
Posts: 16169
Age: 27
Joined: Fri Jul 15, 2011 12:48 pm
Location: Henderson, Nevada/Honolulu, HI
Contact:

Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Hurricane - Discussion

#2066 Postby Yellow Evan » Fri Sep 30, 2016 3:39 pm

----- Current Analysis -----
Date : 30 SEP 2016 Time : 191500 UTC
Lat : 13:27:36 N Lon : 71:21:33 W


CI# /Pressure/ Vmax
5.7 / 953.9mb/107.2kt


Final T# Adj T# Raw T#
5.7 6.1 6.5

Estimated radius of max. wind based on IR :N/A km

Center Temp : -26.0C Cloud Region Temp : -73.0C

Scene Type : EYE
0 likes   

User avatar
Ntxw
Storm2k Moderator
Storm2k Moderator
Posts: 22792
Joined: Wed Oct 21, 2009 6:34 pm
Location: DFW, Texas

Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Hurricane - Discussion

#2067 Postby Ntxw » Fri Sep 30, 2016 3:39 pm

Image
4 likes   
The above post and any post by Ntxw is NOT an official forecast and should not be used as such. It is just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is NOT endorsed by any professional institution including Storm2k. For official information, please refer to NWS products.

  Help support Storm2K!
Help Support Storm2K

User avatar
Hypercane_Kyle
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 3355
Joined: Sat Mar 07, 2015 7:58 pm
Location: Cape Canaveral, FL

Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Hurricane - Discussion

#2068 Postby Hypercane_Kyle » Fri Sep 30, 2016 3:39 pm

TimeZone wrote:
Hypercane_Kyle wrote:Jeez. 127 knots (146 mph) at the surface per new dropsonde.


What?! :eek:


Image
0 likes   
My posts are my own personal opinion, defer to the National Hurricane Center (NHC) and other NOAA products for decision making during hurricane season.

Aric Dunn
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 21238
Age: 42
Joined: Sun Sep 19, 2004 9:58 pm
Location: Ready for the Chase.
Contact:

Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Hurricane - Discussion

#2069 Postby Aric Dunn » Fri Sep 30, 2016 3:39 pm

also recon is about to fly threw a extremely hot tower in the NE quad.. could see highest winds yes this pass. next set will be interesting.
1 likes   
Note: If I make a post that is brief. Please refer back to previous posts for the analysis or reasoning. I do not re-write/qoute what my initial post said each time.
If there is nothing before... then just ask :)

Space & Atmospheric Physicist, Embry-Riddle Aeronautical University,
I believe the sky is falling...

User avatar
NDG
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 15448
Joined: Sun Jul 09, 2006 10:14 pm
Location: Orlando, FL

Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Hurricane - Discussion

#2070 Postby NDG » Fri Sep 30, 2016 3:39 pm

Aric Dunn wrote:I like how recon is just doing eyewall passes.


Yeap, that is pretty cool,.
1 likes   

User avatar
JaxGator
Category 2
Category 2
Posts: 780
Joined: Sun Jun 12, 2016 3:33 pm
Location: Jacksonville Florida

Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Hurricane - Discussion

#2071 Postby JaxGator » Fri Sep 30, 2016 3:40 pm

Aric Dunn wrote:I like how recon is just doing eyewall passes.


They have guts doing that and we're thankful for it. Those are some high winds! :eek:
1 likes   
The posts or stuff said are NOT an official forecast. Please look to the NHC and NWS for official forecasts and products.

Floyd-1999, Frances-2004, Jeanne-2004, Fay-2008, Beryl-2012, Debby-2012, Colin-2016, Hermine-2016, Julia-2016, Matthew-2016, Irma-2017, Elsa-2021, Idalia-2023, Debby-2024, Helene-2024.


Go Gators! Go Jags!

Alyono
Professional-Met
Professional-Met
Posts: 6961
Joined: Fri Apr 26, 2013 3:52 pm
Location: Texas Coast

Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Hurricane - Discussion

#2072 Postby Alyono » Fri Sep 30, 2016 3:40 pm

This being a research flight is why the aircraft can do eyewall passes. The operational flights cannot
1 likes   

User avatar
KWT
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 31415
Joined: Tue Aug 17, 2004 11:02 am
Location: UK!!!

Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Hurricane - Discussion

#2073 Postby KWT » Fri Sep 30, 2016 3:40 pm

Hypercane_Kyle wrote:Jeez. 127 knots (146 mph) at the surface per new dropsonde.


Wow, the winds are going up every single eyewall pass...recon needs to stay in there doing these small passes as long as possible. I think the next recon flight after this one may provide us our first cat-5 in 9 years...
0 likes   
Personal Forecast Disclaimer:
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products

User avatar
Kazmit
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 2125
Age: 22
Joined: Mon Jul 25, 2016 8:49 am
Location: Williamsburg, VA / Bermuda

Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Hurricane - Discussion

#2074 Postby Kazmit » Fri Sep 30, 2016 3:41 pm

Impressive

Image
1 likes   
Igor 2010, Sandy 2012, Fay 2014, Gonzalo 2014, Joaquin 2015, Nicole 2016, Humberto 2019

I am only a tropical weather enthusiast. My predictions are not official and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.

User avatar
weatherwindow
Category 4
Category 4
Posts: 904
Joined: Mon Sep 20, 2004 9:48 am
Location: key west/ft lauderdale

Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Hurricane - Discussion

#2075 Postby weatherwindow » Fri Sep 30, 2016 3:41 pm

Aric Dunn wrote:
gatorcane wrote:looks like it is steadily heading west, how far west before the much anticipated turn will this thing get is the question?

all the recon passes still show wsw.. has not changed.. no wobble watching :P


Do you believe that there is any possibility that with further pressure falls we may see some ridge pumping via the evolving superimposed ant-cyclone with this large storm??...Rich
0 likes   

Aric Dunn
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 21238
Age: 42
Joined: Sun Sep 19, 2004 9:58 pm
Location: Ready for the Chase.
Contact:

Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Hurricane - Discussion

#2076 Postby Aric Dunn » Fri Sep 30, 2016 3:41 pm

JaxGator wrote:
Aric Dunn wrote:I like how recon is just doing eyewall passes.


They have guts doing that and we're thankful for it. Those are some high winds! :eek:


the cool thing most people dont realize is they dont fly perfect straight they fly at an angle ... nose pointed into the wind somewhat why forward motion is on the same heading.
1 likes   
Note: If I make a post that is brief. Please refer back to previous posts for the analysis or reasoning. I do not re-write/qoute what my initial post said each time.
If there is nothing before... then just ask :)

Space & Atmospheric Physicist, Embry-Riddle Aeronautical University,
I believe the sky is falling...

User avatar
KWT
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 31415
Joined: Tue Aug 17, 2004 11:02 am
Location: UK!!!

Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Hurricane - Discussion

#2077 Postby KWT » Fri Sep 30, 2016 3:41 pm

Ntxw wrote:Image


Really looking great now, going to make a run at category-5 that is for sure, looking closer and closer to what Felix did near this location in 2007...
0 likes   
Personal Forecast Disclaimer:
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products

InRRwetrust
Tropical Low
Tropical Low
Posts: 28
Joined: Sat Aug 20, 2011 12:27 pm
Location: UK

Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Hurricane - Discussion

#2078 Postby InRRwetrust » Fri Sep 30, 2016 3:43 pm

TimeZone wrote:
Hypercane_Kyle wrote:Jeez. 127 knots (146 mph) at the surface per new dropsonde.


What?! :eek:

the 18th dropsonde 13.6N 71.4W @ 20:28???
0 likes   

miamijaaz
Tropical Storm
Tropical Storm
Posts: 172
Joined: Thu Sep 09, 2004 3:40 pm

Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Hurricane - Discussion

#2079 Postby miamijaaz » Fri Sep 30, 2016 3:43 pm

If Matt hits category 5, is there a chance it just keeps heading west until it hits Central America? (Just a novice here, wondering...)
0 likes   

User avatar
Ntxw
Storm2k Moderator
Storm2k Moderator
Posts: 22792
Joined: Wed Oct 21, 2009 6:34 pm
Location: DFW, Texas

Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Hurricane - Discussion

#2080 Postby Ntxw » Fri Sep 30, 2016 3:44 pm

KWT wrote:
Ntxw wrote:http://i65.tinypic.com/5a493c.jpg


Really looking great now, going to make a run at category-5 that is for sure, looking closer and closer to what Felix did near this location in 2007...


Looks a lot like Felix did around this same area.
1 likes   
The above post and any post by Ntxw is NOT an official forecast and should not be used as such. It is just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is NOT endorsed by any professional institution including Storm2k. For official information, please refer to NWS products.



  Help support Storm2K!

Help Support Storm2K



Return to “2016”

Who is online

Users browsing this forum: No registered users and 17 guests