ATL: MATTHEW - Models

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Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Models

#2281 Postby WeatherEmperor » Thu Sep 29, 2016 12:45 am

0z Euro initialized. Here we go folks...

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Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Models

#2282 Postby HurricaneFrances04 » Thu Sep 29, 2016 12:48 am

Serious question- is the GFDL really relevant anymore?

I remember it being big in 04/05, but it seemed to become less relevant years after.
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Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Models

#2283 Postby Bocadude85 » Thu Sep 29, 2016 12:51 am

HurricaneFrances04 wrote:Serious question- is the GFDL really relevant anymore?

I remember it being big in 04/05, but it seemed to become less relevant years after.


Generally it's not regarded as a very good model. But every now and then it gets something right.
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Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Models

#2284 Postby bahamaswx » Thu Sep 29, 2016 12:53 am

HurricaneFrances04 wrote:Serious question- is the GFDL really relevant anymore?

I remember it being big in 04/05, but it seemed to become less relevant years after.


I also recall it being highly regarded once upon a time. Doesn't seem very good anymore.
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Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Models

#2285 Postby WeatherEmperor » Thu Sep 29, 2016 12:53 am

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Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Models

#2286 Postby WeatherEmperor » Thu Sep 29, 2016 1:01 am

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Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Models

#2287 Postby Hammy » Thu Sep 29, 2016 1:04 am

bahamaswx wrote:
HurricaneFrances04 wrote:Serious question- is the GFDL really relevant anymore?

I remember it being big in 04/05, but it seemed to become less relevant years after.


I also recall it being highly regarded once upon a time. Doesn't seem very good anymore.


I don't remember more than a few storms way back, one of which being Charley (and if I recall it was the first model to show what actually happened, and that was when it formed even.) It hasn't performed particularly well in recent years though.
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Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Models

#2288 Postby WeatherEmperor » Thu Sep 29, 2016 1:11 am

Slowing down. NW turn coming soon

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Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Models

#2289 Postby WeatherEmperor » Thu Sep 29, 2016 1:15 am

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Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Models

#2290 Postby HurricaneFrances04 » Thu Sep 29, 2016 1:16 am

Still slower than GFS. More ridging less trough.
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Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Models

#2291 Postby WeatherEmperor » Thu Sep 29, 2016 1:23 am

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Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Models

#2292 Postby Aric Dunn » Thu Sep 29, 2016 1:24 am

120 hour very quick NNE turn much sooner than previous run.
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Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Models

#2293 Postby HurricaneFrances04 » Thu Sep 29, 2016 1:26 am

Slower than the GFS, but further east. :eek:
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Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Models

#2294 Postby wxmann_91 » Thu Sep 29, 2016 1:27 am

Euro is caving to GFS on the ULL over the Gulf, which is why this run is east.

GFS might end up caving to Euro for the SW bend near South America.

Take a little bit of both...
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Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Models

#2295 Postby WeatherEmperor » Thu Sep 29, 2016 1:28 am

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Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Models

#2296 Postby HurricaneFrances04 » Thu Sep 29, 2016 1:29 am

Euro might be taking this one to Bermuda.
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Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Models

#2297 Postby Aric Dunn » Thu Sep 29, 2016 1:30 am

144 hours much farther east ... weaker trough over the mid west.. this should up and out to sea.
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Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Models

#2298 Postby TimeZone » Thu Sep 29, 2016 1:31 am

Euro trends much further E. Starting to look more and more likely this stays away from the E coast.
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Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Models

#2299 Postby Aric Dunn » Thu Sep 29, 2016 1:37 am

wow look at the ridge that just built to the north at 168 hours. the 12z run had a low form now the opposite.

really. its about to turn back nw ..
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Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Models

#2300 Postby WeatherEmperor » Thu Sep 29, 2016 1:37 am

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