ATL: KARL - Post-Tropical - Discussion

[gatorcane]

TD 12 shows up now on the far-right of this loop:

[AutoPenalti]

TD 12 shows up now on the far-right of this loop:

That thing looks beautiful. It has a nice intact LLC.

[centuryv58]

Weak storms are dangerous BUT the Atlantic is hostile just about every were you look. If not shear well dry air will get it. Not much to be concerned about here yet possibly never.

Have to disagree. These storms have survived the MDR and ATL trip. Again, what happens once they cross is the more important issue.

[setexholmes]

Looks better than Julie ever did

[jlauderdal]

06Z NAVGEM as it heads W or WNW:

that my friends would make some real headlines

[tarheelprogrammer]

06Z NAVGEM as it heads W or WNW:

that my friends would make some real headlines

Pure fantasy but headlines would be epic.

[StormHunter72]

Mother of ALL Convective Feedback.

[StormHunter72]

Look more NW at the end. BTW.

[sancholopez]

This is reminding me of how little Julia started her life. ROBUST circulation right off Africa that seemed to always be noticeable by visibile satellite all the way across the Atlantic. I have a feeling this one will rage quickly if it gets in the right conditions. I

[Kazmit]

TD 12 shows up now on the far-right of this loop:

That thing looks beautiful. It has a nice intact LLC.

Yeah, it's quite a swirl-er. It could look healthier, but as far as naked swirls go, it looks alright for now. Until the already strong shear gets stronger (which it should).

[Hurricaneman]

TD 12 shows up now on the far-right of this loop:

That thing looks beautiful. It has a nice intact LLC.

looks like the next 36hrs it could have some trouble with shear, its in 40kts of shear right now but should move into a more favorable shear environment there after which I believe this has a chance to strengthen

The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or STORM2K. For official information, please refer to products from the National Hurricane Center and National Weather Service.

[Hammy]

It wouldn't surprise me, given the shear, if this doesn't even make it to the favorable conditions without dissipating first.

[Nimbus]

They are tracking this through the #1 Hebert Box which puts an evil hex on Florida.

[SFLcane]

Nogaps=garbage model

[centuryv58]

It wouldn't surprise me, given the shear, if this doesn't even make it to the favorable conditions without dissipating first.

Makes sense. However all storms so far have limped into the Caribbean or near the Bahamas. We'll have to wait on this one too, my guess.

[cycloneye]

12z ECMWF develops this as it moves westnorthwest to northwest NE of Leewards.

[SouthFLTropics]

Pretty stout ridge over the SE CONUS and Atlantic at 192 hours.

[cycloneye]

Yes and continues to get stronger.

[cajungal]

I still think this will recurve before the Bahamas but we need to keep an eye out just in case.

[cycloneye]

Moving west at this point at 216 hours.