ATL: JULIA - Post-Tropical - Discussion

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Re: ATL; INVEST 93L - Discussion - 8 PM TWO up to 70%-70% - Advisories likely at 11 PM EDT

#421 Postby Aric Dunn » Tue Sep 13, 2016 7:43 pm

SeGaBob wrote:This might not even make it into Georgia the way it looks now. Moving more North than NNW.


not only that if the convection associated with the MLC offshore at some point its completely possible for the center migrate or reform offshore at anytime.
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Re: ATL; INVEST 93L - Discussion - 8 PM TWO up to 70%-70% - Advisories likely at 11 PM EDT

#422 Postby JaxGator » Tue Sep 13, 2016 7:50 pm

Been getting a NE wind with the latest squall but the winds are around 10-15 mph with gusts up to 20.
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Re: ATL; INVEST 93L - Discussion - 8 PM TWO up to 70%-70% - Advisories likely at 11 PM EDT

#423 Postby SeGaBob » Tue Sep 13, 2016 7:58 pm

Winds at 35 kts according to this...was 30 kts earlier.

http://www.tropicaltidbits.com/storminfo/
Last edited by SeGaBob on Tue Sep 13, 2016 8:06 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: ATL; INVEST 93L - Discussion - 8 PM TWO up to 70%-70% - Advisories likely at 11 PM EDT

#424 Postby Joe Snow » Tue Sep 13, 2016 7:59 pm

Looks like sustained winds near "Penney Farms" Florida are 40+ KNTS, St. Augustine 4"-6" flooding and Augustine Airport reported a gust of 45 MPH, outer bands look like they are building.
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Re: ATL; INVEST 93L - Discussion

#425 Postby NDG » Tue Sep 13, 2016 8:04 pm

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Re: ATL; INVEST 93L - Discussion

#426 Postby Fishing » Tue Sep 13, 2016 8:10 pm

Not sure what this means:
 https://twitter.com/wxgarrett/status/775861228774256641



Garrett Bedenbaugh/Jacksonville Tweet.
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Re: ATL; INVEST 93L - Discussion

#427 Postby Aric Dunn » Tue Sep 13, 2016 8:11 pm

radar showing a slight NNE motion the last hour. hmmm..
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Re: ATL; INVEST 93L - Discussion - 8 PM TWO up to 70%-70% - Advisories likely at 11 PM EDT

#428 Postby Hammy » Tue Sep 13, 2016 8:12 pm

TropicalAnalystwx13 wrote: NHC revised the Best Track to push designation back to 6z this morning, which is much more reasonable.


So is this officially in the database as a tropical storm at this point?
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Re: ATL; INVEST 93L - Discussion

#429 Postby northjaxpro » Tue Sep 13, 2016 8:14 pm

Just gott a wind gusts to 38 miles hour and a heavy Squad and few minutes ago it is a rough squally windy night here at the old Ponderosa. This is definitely a tropical depression and with these gusts that I'm getting any squash here we're getting there a tropical storm situation right now. akai received over 2.5 inches since 7:30 p.m. The LLC is just south of my locale currently.
Last edited by northjaxpro on Tue Sep 13, 2016 8:18 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: ATL; INVEST 93L - Discussion

#430 Postby Aric Dunn » Tue Sep 13, 2016 8:14 pm

according to models it should start to slow down quite a bit. if that slow down is close to the coast or offshore it should maintain...
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Re: ATL; INVEST 93L - Discussion

#431 Postby stormhunter7 » Tue Sep 13, 2016 8:15 pm

Fishing wrote:Not sure what this means:
 https://twitter.com/wxgarrett/status/775861228774256641



Garrett Bedenbaugh/Jacksonville Tweet.


He doesn't understand the wx computer system. Icon is set based on a criteria such as winds. In this case the 00z data starts at TS, so the graphic changed when it received the new 00z data. NHC will make the call on calling it a system. I believe there are just waiting on some sustained winds of 35mph on some weather sensors along the coast. Shouldn't be long.
Last edited by stormhunter7 on Tue Sep 13, 2016 8:35 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: ATL; INVEST 93L - Discussion

#432 Postby jdjaguar » Tue Sep 13, 2016 8:20 pm

stormhunter7 wrote:
Fishing wrote:Not sure what this means:
 https://twitter.com/wxgarrett/status/775861228774256641



Garrett Bedenbaugh/Jacksonville Tweet.


He doesn't understand the system. Icon is set based on a criteria such as winds. In this case the 00z data starts at TS, so the graphic changed when it received the new 00z data. NHC will make the call on calling it a system. I believe there are just waiting on some sustained winds of 35mph on some weather sensors along the coast. Shouldn't be long.


Garrett is the
Certified Broadcast Meteorologist (#636) at @ActionNewsJax (FOX/CBS affiliate),
pretty sure he understands the system
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Re: ATL; INVEST 93L - Discussion - 8 PM TWO up to 70%-70% - Advisories likely at 11 PM EDT

#433 Postby CrazyC83 » Tue Sep 13, 2016 8:21 pm

Joe Snow wrote:Looks like sustained winds near "Penney Farms" Florida are 40+ KNTS, St. Augustine 4"-6" flooding and Augustine Airport reported a gust of 45 MPH, outer bands look like they are building.


Given timing periods and spacial extent, that would support a 45 kt intensity.
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Re: ATL; INVEST 93L - Discussion

#434 Postby NDG » Tue Sep 13, 2016 8:23 pm

Image
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Re: ATL; INVEST 93L - Discussion

#435 Postby stormhunter7 » Tue Sep 13, 2016 8:26 pm

https://www.wunderground.com/history/ai ... story.html

Wind Speed 14 mph ()
Max Wind Speed 29 mph
Max Gust Speed 39 mph
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Re: ATL; INVEST 93L - Discussion

#436 Postby fox13weather » Tue Sep 13, 2016 8:27 pm

stormhunter7 wrote:
Fishing wrote:Not sure what this means:
 https://twitter.com/wxgarrett/status/775861228774256641



Garrett Bedenbaugh/Jacksonville Tweet.


He doesn't understand the system. Icon is set based on a criteria such as winds. In this case the 00z data starts at TS, so the graphic changed when it received the new 00z data. NHC will make the call on calling it a system. I believe there are just waiting on some sustained winds of 35mph on some weather sensors along the coast. Shouldn't be long.



he understands the system just fine ...WSI graphics system reads data coming in from the NHC ....your explanation makes no sense.
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Re: ATL; INVEST 93L - Discussion

#437 Postby centuryv58 » Tue Sep 13, 2016 8:50 pm

93L seems to have out foxed (no FNN pun intended) many of us here on Storm2K.
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Re: ATL; INVEST 93L - Discussion

#438 Postby northjaxpro » Tue Sep 13, 2016 9:05 pm

Looking at that radar the center of circulation it's approaching Downtown Jacksonville from the south I just got to wind gust of 42 miles an hour in squalls the highest here at my local so staying with the sustained wind between 25 to 30 miles an hour Heavy Rain squalls continuing was already picked up over 3 inches of rain .

Mayport had wind gust to 48 mph last hour.
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Re: ATL; INVEST 93L - Discussion

#439 Postby JaxGator » Tue Sep 13, 2016 9:08 pm

Center is now over Nocatee just south of the Duval-St. Johns county line. Rainbands with possible TS conditions are spreading north into Duval. Vilano Beach got hit by heavy rain and wind earlier and got the brunt of it.
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Re: ATL; INVEST 93L - Discussion

#440 Postby stormhunter7 » Tue Sep 13, 2016 9:10 pm

fox13weather wrote:
stormhunter7 wrote:
Fishing wrote:Not sure what this means:
 https://twitter.com/wxgarrett/status/775861228774256641



Garrett Bedenbaugh/Jacksonville Tweet.


He doesn't understand the system. Icon is set based on a criteria such as winds. In this case the 00z data starts at TS, so the graphic changed when it received the new 00z data. NHC will make the call on calling it a system. I believe there are just waiting on some sustained winds of 35mph on some weather sensors along the coast. Shouldn't be long.



he understands the system just fine ...WSI graphics system reads data coming in from the NHC ....your explanation makes no sense.


As stated in my previous post. He tweeted this not long ago.

 https://twitter.com/wxgarrett/status/775873954720411648


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