ATL: HERMINE - Post-Tropical - Discussion

[tropicwatch]

Think recon lost comms again.

[BRweather]

Is recon going to get another flight in before landfall?

Given how close this is to the coast and how close the plane is to base, they may stay there until landfall since it'll only be another few hours.

TEAL 71 flight plan had them in until 05:30Z

That plan should get them to landfall regardless

[Exalt]

Surprised not much has been mentioned about the fact that both the GFS and the Euro are in good agreement about reorganization immediately after spilling out of NC/Southern VA despite the NHC seeming to diverge from such speculation.

Scary thing is, the Euro is reintensifying back to around Cat. 1 status (980), and GFS is reintensifying to either a low Cat. 1 or a strong TS (990s).

[BRweather]

Think recon lost comms again.

021330 2806N 08425W 8433 01536 0060 +174 +163 240052 053 019 001 00
021400 2806N 08423W 8426 01544 0060 +175 +162 238053 053 020 001 00
021430 2805N 08421W 8432 01540 0060 +174 +162 237052 053 021 002 00
021500 2804N 08419W 8429 01543 0059 +177 +163 240051 053 021 001 00
021530 2804N 08417W 8432 01541 0063 +170 +166 241052 054 024 002 01
021600 2803N 08415W 8429 01545 //// +172 //// 237050 052 026 001 01
021630 2803N 08413W 8416 01556 0064 +173 //// 238046 050 023 003 01
021700 2802N 08411W 8430 01543 //// +172 //// 238044 047 019 003 01
021730 2801N 08409W 8433 01539 0063 +180 //// 242041 045 026 011 01
021800 2801N 08407W 8446 01525 0078 +179 +179 235051 053 032 021 00
021830 2800N 08405W 8433 01539 0087 +162 +162 232051 053 034 019 00
021900 2759N 08403W 8416 01557 0085 +170 +170 229051 052 023 033 00
021930 2759N 08401W 8429 01546 0075 +170 +170 232050 051 026 010 00
022000 2758N 08359W 8432 01546 0068 +176 //// 231049 049 027 008 01
022030 2757N 08357W 8427 01551 //// +170 //// 231050 050 023 002 01
022100 2757N 08355W 8429 01551 //// +166 //// 231050 051 025 002 01
022130 2756N 08353W 8432 01550 //// +171 //// 231051 051 030 001 01
022200 2755N 08351W 8426 01555 0072 +174 +169 232049 051 031 001 00
022230 2755N 08350W 8432 01553 0076 +170 +168 231051 052 034 002 01
022300 2754N 08348W 8425 01560 0077 +170 +168 233052 052 032 001 01


New data just came in

[NDG]

A bunch of media in Apalachicola with winds not even sustained at tropical force winds.
Clearwater beach, sustained winds at tropical force winds, no one there, lol.

Conditions at CWBF1 as of
(9:48 pm EDT on 09/01/2016)
0148 GMT on 09/02/2016:
Unit of Measure: Time Zone: Select
Click on the graph icon in the table below to see a time series plot of the last five days of that observation.

5-day plot - Wind Direction Wind Direction (WDIR): S ( 180 deg true )
5-day plot - Wind Speed Wind Speed (WSPD): 35.9 kts
5-day plot - Wind Gust Wind Gust (GST): 42.0 kts
5-day plot - Water Temperature Water Temperature (WTMP): 82.8 °F
5-day plot - Wind Speed at 10 Meters Wind Speed at 10 meters (WSPD10M): 36.9 kts
5-day plot - Wind Speed at 10 Meters Wind Speed at 20 meters (WSPD20M): 40.8 kts

[BRweather]

TWC really messed up big time with the placement of their resources.

Everyone is on the wrong side.

[Nimbus]

That band coming towards Tampa-Clearwater just keeps looking better and better. 'Bout to have some fun here soon...."fun"...

Duke energy has over 361 locations currently without power, so that next feeder band is just going to extend the wait time for repair a few more days. I am not going to bother setting up my generator tonight. Was kind of hoping the squall line would weaken before it set up along the coast. The power grid just can't handle extended periods of winds above 45 knots.

[northjaxpro]

While its comparably nothing, outside extreme outflow envelope just has a marine warning NE of me in Lake Pontchartrain linked up in a line/band roughly to Eastern SC. Hopefully it will rotate through.

Looks like the northern eye is about on land in Franklin County.

The northern eyewall. is now on shore right now.

[gatorcane]

A bunch of media in Apalachicola with winds not even sustained at tropical force winds.
Clearwater beach, sustained winds at tropical force winds, no one there, lol.

Conditions at CWBF1 as of
(9:48 pm EDT on 09/01/2016)
0148 GMT on 09/02/2016:
Unit of Measure: Time Zone: Select
Click on the graph icon in the table below to see a time series plot of the last five days of that observation.

5-day plot - Wind Direction Wind Direction (WDIR): S ( 180 deg true )
5-day plot - Wind Speed Wind Speed (WSPD): 35.9 kts
5-day plot - Wind Gust Wind Gust (GST): 42.0 kts
5-day plot - Water Temperature Water Temperature (WTMP): 82.8 °F
5-day plot - Wind Speed at 10 Meters Wind Speed at 10 meters (WSPD10M): 36.9 kts
5-day plot - Wind Speed at 10 Meters Wind Speed at 20 meters (WSPD20M): 40.8 kts

Very ironic and if the feederband makes it to Clearwater Beach in tact, I am going to guess there will be some very strong wind gusts.

[tropicwatch]

A bunch of media in Apalachicola with winds not even sustained at tropical force winds.
Clearwater beach, sustained winds at tropical force winds, no one there, lol.

Conditions at CWBF1 as of
(9:48 pm EDT on 09/01/2016)
0148 GMT on 09/02/2016:
Unit of Measure: Time Zone: Select
Click on the graph icon in the table below to see a time series plot of the last five days of that observation.

5-day plot - Wind Direction Wind Direction (WDIR): S ( 180 deg true )
5-day plot - Wind Speed Wind Speed (WSPD): 35.9 kts
5-day plot - Wind Gust Wind Gust (GST): 42.0 kts
5-day plot - Water Temperature Water Temperature (WTMP): 82.8 °F
5-day plot - Wind Speed at 10 Meters Wind Speed at 10 meters (WSPD10M): 36.9 kts
5-day plot - Wind Speed at 10 Meters Wind Speed at 20 meters (WSPD20M): 40.8 kts

St. George Island is reporting 40+ sustained winds and gusts to 58mph very close to Apalachicola.

[bamajammer4eva]

i wounder why they didn't send Cantore to further east like Deckle Beach or Horseshoe Beach. Looks to be worse there

[tolakram]

saved radar loop

[BRweather]

i wounder why they didn't send Cantore to further east like Deckle Beach or Horseshoe Beach. Looks to be worse there

I know. Does not make much sense. I am sure he is not thrilled

[northjaxpro]

TWC really messed up big time with the placement of their resources.

Everyone is on the wrong side.

Ole Cantore should have gone to Cedar Key to be right near the biggest impact. I am surprised he is not there.

[chris_fit]

That feeder band near Tampa is such a tease - just leave or come in already lol

[Nate-Gillson]

In case you were wondering what that fuzzy stuff in the eye of Hermine on radar, it's those feathery flying creatures that you see everyday.

[Aric Dunn]

TWC really messed up big time with the placement of their resources.

Everyone is on the wrong side.

Ole Cantore should have gone to Cedar Key to be right near the biggest impact. I am surprised he is not there.

dekle beach is the place to be

[bamajammer4eva]

These tornado warnings are so hard to spot on velocity. Instead of being red on green its just brighter green vs dimmer green. The NWS folks have some good eyes!

[SunnyThoughts]

In case you were wondering what that fuzzy stuff in the eye of Hermine on radar, it's those feathery flying creatures that you see everyday.

Poor things are tired by now...need a place to land lol

[caneman]

A bunch of media in Apalachicola with winds not even sustained at tropical force winds.
Clearwater beach, sustained winds at tropical force winds, no one there, lol.

Conditions at CWBF1 as of
(9:48 pm EDT on 09/01/2016)
0148 GMT on 09/02/2016:
Unit of Measure: Time Zone: Select
Click on the graph icon in the table below to see a time series plot of the last five days of that observation.

5-day plot - Wind Direction Wind Direction (WDIR): S ( 180 deg true )
5-day plot - Wind Speed Wind Speed (WSPD): 35.9 kts
5-day plot - Wind Gust Wind Gust (GST): 42.0 kts
5-day plot - Water Temperature Water Temperature (WTMP): 82.8 °F
5-day plot - Wind Speed at 10 Meters Wind Speed at 10 meters (WSPD10M): 36.9 kts
5-day plot - Wind Speed at 10 Meters Wind Speed at 20 meters (WSPD20M): 40.8 kts

And I'm really worried about that band off the coast. Bay news 9 said it's going to park over us with winds and gust s over 60 with torrential rains. We don't need more rain!