ATL: Ex INVEST 92L - Discussion
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- cycloneye
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ATL: Ex INVEST 92L - Discussion
AL, 92, 2016082900, , BEST, 0, 155N, 93W, 15, 1009, DB, 0, , 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, , 0, , 0, 0, GENESIS016, , 0, , 0, 0, 0, 0, genesis-num, 016,
AL, 92, 2016082906, , BEST, 0, 155N, 111W, 15, 1009, DB, 0, , 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, , 0, , 0, 0, GENESIS016, , 0, , 0, 0, 0, 0, genesis-num, 016,
AL, 92, 2016082912, , BEST, 0, 155N, 129W, 15, 1009, DB, 0, , 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, , 0, , 0, 0, GENESIS016, , 0, , 0, 0, 0, 0, genesis-num, 016,
AL, 92, 2016082918, , BEST, 0, 155N, 147W, 15, 1008, LO, 0, , 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, , 0, , 0, 0, GENESIS016, , 0, , 0, 0, 0, 0, genesis-num, 016,
AL, 92, 2016083000, , BEST, 0, 155N, 165W, 20, 1008, LO, 34, NEQ, 0, 0, 0, 0, 1011, 150, 60, 0, 0, L, 0, , 0, 0, INVEST
Thread at talking tropics forum that was the topic for this area.
viewtopic.php?f=31&t=118204
AL, 92, 2016082906, , BEST, 0, 155N, 111W, 15, 1009, DB, 0, , 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, , 0, , 0, 0, GENESIS016, , 0, , 0, 0, 0, 0, genesis-num, 016,
AL, 92, 2016082912, , BEST, 0, 155N, 129W, 15, 1009, DB, 0, , 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, , 0, , 0, 0, GENESIS016, , 0, , 0, 0, 0, 0, genesis-num, 016,
AL, 92, 2016082918, , BEST, 0, 155N, 147W, 15, 1008, LO, 0, , 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, , 0, , 0, 0, GENESIS016, , 0, , 0, 0, 0, 0, genesis-num, 016,
AL, 92, 2016083000, , BEST, 0, 155N, 165W, 20, 1008, LO, 34, NEQ, 0, 0, 0, 0, 1011, 150, 60, 0, 0, L, 0, , 0, 0, INVEST
Thread at talking tropics forum that was the topic for this area.
viewtopic.php?f=31&t=118204
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- Kazmit
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Re: ATL: INVEST 92L - Discussion
This is the one emerging from Africa?
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Re: ATL: INVEST 92L - Discussion
Kazmit_ wrote:This is the one emerging from Africa?
Yup. We might end up spending even more time on this thing than on 99L/09L.
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54° 11' 59'' N, 9° 9' 20'' E
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Re: ATL: INVEST 92L - Discussion
Lots of long nights await us
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Re: ATL: INVEST 92L - Discussion
Welcome Invest 92L.
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The following post is NOT an official forecast and should not be used as such. It is just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is NOT endorsed by any professional institution including storm2k.org For Official Information please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
Re: ATL: INVEST 92L - Discussion
20+ pages while still over land is probably about the same as the 200 with TD #9/99L. I'm going to casually watch for a week or so and see where we're at.
Last edited by Steve on Mon Aug 29, 2016 6:45 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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- cycloneye
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Re: ATL: INVEST 92L - Discussion
A weak area of low pressure, associated with a tropical wave, is
moving off the coast of Senegal in western Africa. Environmental
conditions are expected to be favorable for gradual development of
this system later this week while it moves westward at 15 to 20 mph
over the eastern and central tropical Atlantic.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...50 percent
moving off the coast of Senegal in western Africa. Environmental
conditions are expected to be favorable for gradual development of
this system later this week while it moves westward at 15 to 20 mph
over the eastern and central tropical Atlantic.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...50 percent
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Re: ATL: INVEST 92L - Discussion
The question is: Will this be Hermine, Ian, or Julia? None of the above?
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- Kazmit
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Re: ATL: INVEST 92L - Discussion
I have a feeling this will be a powerful one. Except I wish it was named Ian because it sounds stronger than Julia... even though the last Julia was a Cat 4.
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I am only a tropical weather enthusiast. My predictions are not official and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
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Re: ATL: INVEST 92L - Discussion
I have a niece named Julia and a nephew, Ian. If storm is anything like kid, this needs to be Ian!
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Re: ATL: INVEST 92L - Discussion
Let's see if this one can develop without struggles and delays, as many systems have had this year.
Last edited by MetroMike on Mon Aug 29, 2016 7:14 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: ATL: INVEST 92L - Discussion
I'm already betting no development before 60W--anybody else think we're in for a 99L part 2 given the model output?
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ATL: INVEST 92L - Models
So this one might track like an another monster of the past. Hugo.
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The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
Re: ATL: INVEST 92L - Discussion
Hammy wrote:I'm already betting no development before 60W--anybody else think we're in for a 99L part 2 given the model output?
Nah, GFS and Euro and their ensembles both develop this at the same time unlike 99L. I give it 50W.
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- Kazmit
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Re: ATL: INVEST 92L - Discussion
Hammy wrote:I'm already betting no development before 60W--anybody else think we're in for a 99L part 2 given the model output?
I hope not. I can't deal with tracking invests for two weeks...
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Igor 2010, Sandy 2012, Fay 2014, Gonzalo 2014, Joaquin 2015, Nicole 2016, Humberto 2019
I am only a tropical weather enthusiast. My predictions are not official and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
I am only a tropical weather enthusiast. My predictions are not official and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
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Re: ATL: INVEST 92L - Models
Maybe a Bertha (1996) track ...
https://icons.wxug.com/data/dhc_archive_charts/at_1996_charts/at199602.gif
https://icons.wxug.com/data/dhc_archive_charts/at_1996_charts/at199602.gif
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