ATL: HERMINE - Models

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gatorcane
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Re: ATL: INVEST 99L - Models

#3361 Postby gatorcane » Sat Aug 27, 2016 4:08 pm

18Z NAM with an elongated low and plenty of rain for all of peninsula Florida.

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Re: ATL: INVEST 99L - Models

#3362 Postby tropicwatch » Sat Aug 27, 2016 4:15 pm

Too far north imo. :uarrow:
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Re: ATL: INVEST 99L - Models

#3363 Postby tolakram » Sat Aug 27, 2016 4:26 pm

18Z GFS initialized

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Re: ATL: INVEST 99L - Models

#3364 Postby tolakram » Sat Aug 27, 2016 4:29 pm

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Re: ATL: INVEST 99L - Models

#3365 Postby tolakram » Sat Aug 27, 2016 4:35 pm

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Re: ATL: INVEST 99L - Models

#3366 Postby PTrackerLA » Sat Aug 27, 2016 4:35 pm

Already looks stronger than the past several runs out to 30hrs.
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Re: ATL: INVEST 99L - Models

#3367 Postby tolakram » Sat Aug 27, 2016 4:37 pm

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Re: ATL: INVEST 99L - Models

#3368 Postby tolakram » Sat Aug 27, 2016 4:38 pm

Vorticity graphics slow to update but it is certainly stronger this run.
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Re: ATL: INVEST 99L - Models

#3369 Postby tolakram » Sat Aug 27, 2016 4:39 pm

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Re: ATL: INVEST 99L - Models

#3370 Postby PTrackerLA » Sat Aug 27, 2016 4:41 pm

So far it's in very good agreement with the Euro at 48 hrs.
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Re: ATL: INVEST 99L - Models

#3371 Postby tolakram » Sat Aug 27, 2016 4:43 pm

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Re: ATL: INVEST 99L - Models

#3372 Postby tolakram » Sat Aug 27, 2016 4:44 pm

Nearly identical to the 12Z Euro
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Re: ATL: INVEST 99L - Models

#3373 Postby gatorcane » Sat Aug 27, 2016 4:47 pm

18Z GFS is showing the strongest vorticity yet for this system in its runs.
Last edited by gatorcane on Sat Aug 27, 2016 4:47 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: ATL: INVEST 99L - Models

#3374 Postby tolakram » Sat Aug 27, 2016 4:47 pm

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Re: ATL: INVEST 99L - Models

#3375 Postby Hammy » Sat Aug 27, 2016 4:49 pm

GFS run seems to be the strongest in days so far, even if still quite weak.
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Re: ATL: INVEST 99L - Models

#3376 Postby gatorcane » Sat Aug 27, 2016 4:50 pm

1008mb at 66 hours heading NW.
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Re: ATL: INVEST 99L - Models

#3377 Postby xcool22 » Sat Aug 27, 2016 4:50 pm

maybe Euro not crazy after all
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Re: ATL: INVEST 99L - Models

#3378 Postby tolakram » Sat Aug 27, 2016 4:52 pm

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Re: ATL: INVEST 99L - Models

#3379 Postby Kingarabian » Sat Aug 27, 2016 4:53 pm

18z GFS :

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Re: ATL: INVEST 99L - Models

#3380 Postby gatorcane » Sat Aug 27, 2016 4:56 pm

18Z MU shows a nearly ideal upper wind setup yet no quick strengthening in the Gulf.
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