That kind has a Rita feel to it.
Texas Summer 2016
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Re: Texas Summer 2016
Wouldn't do much for Austin.
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I am a weather hobbyist living 3.5 miles south of Downtown Austin and in no way or fashion should anything I say concerning forecasts be taken seriously. Please check your local NWS for accurate weather forecasting and conditions.
I am a weather hobbyist living 3.5 miles south of Downtown Austin and in no way or fashion should anything I say concerning forecasts be taken seriously. Please check your local NWS for accurate weather forecasting and conditions.
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Re: Texas Summer 2016
The 10-day forecast is horrible... mostly sunny and 90s. Hopefully this is summer's last gasp...
aren't we supposed to move to the fall thread September 1? It's not gonna feel very fally...
aren't we supposed to move to the fall thread September 1? It's not gonna feel very fally...
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#neversummer
Re: Texas Summer 2016
If August 12th stands as the last 100F day for DFW this year then this will be the earliest last 100 degree day since 2004. Every year since 2011 has been in September, most after the first week. A nice change of pace in that department. No reason to believe we will see 100F or greater this September.
Reminder we will be moving over to the Fall thread next Thursday on the 1st. Ahh the days are getting shorter and I can feel it now . Watch Typhoon Lionrock about to hit Japan. Will give model fits in the medium to longer range as it will significantly buckle the jet stream in the North Pacific.
Reminder we will be moving over to the Fall thread next Thursday on the 1st. Ahh the days are getting shorter and I can feel it now . Watch Typhoon Lionrock about to hit Japan. Will give model fits in the medium to longer range as it will significantly buckle the jet stream in the North Pacific.
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The above post and any post by Ntxw is NOT an official forecast and should not be used as such. It is just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is NOT endorsed by any professional institution including Storm2k. For official information, please refer to NWS products.
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Re: Texas Summer 2016
gboudx wrote:What a last 100+ day it was too. Such an abrupt change after that.
Indeed, it was crazy if that's the end(which of course, each passing day I think is more likely).
But I'm ready for some real fronts now...
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#neversummer
Re: Texas Summer 2016
Just logged in after about a week away and my brain hurts from trying to follow all the models and bits of info. Can anyone sum up what the Houston weather id's supposed to be for this next week? I am too confused to sort it all out right now...
Thank you in advace.
Thank you in advace.
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TOTAL NOVICE. The following post is NOT an official forecast and should not be used as such. It is just the opinion of the poster. It is NOT endorsed by any professional institution including storm2k.org For Official Information please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
Lansing MI, Galveston TX, Madison WI, Houston TX, Newark DE
Lansing MI, Galveston TX, Madison WI, Houston TX, Newark DE
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Re: Texas Summer 2016
Kalrany wrote:Just logged in after about a week away and my brain hurts from trying to follow all the models and bits of info. Can anyone sum up what the Houston weather id's supposed to be for this next week? I am too confused to sort it all out right now...
Thank you in advace.
Daily chances for scattered showers and thunderstorms can be expected over the next few days as a disturbance interacts with tropical moisture across the region.
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Re: Texas Summer 2016
Thank you so much! I can normally figure it out from the various discussions, but this time it was too much for my poor little brain.
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TOTAL NOVICE. The following post is NOT an official forecast and should not be used as such. It is just the opinion of the poster. It is NOT endorsed by any professional institution including storm2k.org For Official Information please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
Lansing MI, Galveston TX, Madison WI, Houston TX, Newark DE
Lansing MI, Galveston TX, Madison WI, Houston TX, Newark DE
Re: Texas Summer 2016
Rain chances have significantly decreased over the next few days for Austin unfortunately. The forecast looked better 12 hours ago. I'd like to see at least one more inch before things start to dry out.
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I am a weather hobbyist living 3.5 miles south of Downtown Austin and in no way or fashion should anything I say concerning forecasts be taken seriously. Please check your local NWS for accurate weather forecasting and conditions.
I am a weather hobbyist living 3.5 miles south of Downtown Austin and in no way or fashion should anything I say concerning forecasts be taken seriously. Please check your local NWS for accurate weather forecasting and conditions.
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Re: Texas Summer 2016
A NGOM hit would probably send a heat dome to Texas
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The above post and any post by Ntxw is NOT an official forecast and should not be used as such. It is just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is NOT endorsed by any professional institution including Storm2k. For official information, please refer to NWS products.
- Portastorm
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Re: Texas Summer 2016
King Euro has been absolutely dreadful when it comes to 99L. You all know from my winter posts that I am a big fan of that model ... but I wouldn't take one run from it seriously at this point. It has been like a windshield wiper. One run Florida, one run Mississippi, one run Texas. At least when it comes to this tropical system, the Euro is the Cleveland Browns of models. And being a Browns fan and a Euro fan, I feel at liberty to make that analogy.
None of the models have done well with this system. Probably because after days and days of everyone watching it's every move, it still doesn't have low level center with mid and upper levels close to it.
Anyone along the Gulf Coast should be prepared anyhow ... it's hurricane season!
None of the models have done well with this system. Probably because after days and days of everyone watching it's every move, it still doesn't have low level center with mid and upper levels close to it.
Anyone along the Gulf Coast should be prepared anyhow ... it's hurricane season!
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Any forecasts under my name are to be taken with a grain of salt. Get your best forecasts from the National Weather Service and National Hurricane Center.
I'm a certified Advanced SKYWARN-trained spotter and am active on Twitter at @TravisCOSW, a social media partner of the NWS Austin-San Antonio office.
I'm a certified Advanced SKYWARN-trained spotter and am active on Twitter at @TravisCOSW, a social media partner of the NWS Austin-San Antonio office.
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- Portastorm
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Re: Texas Summer 2016
This upper level low coming into the Texas coast has been a real underperformer in terms of rainfall for those of us inland. Several days ago, the models showed at least 1/2" of rains by now in south central Texas. All we have had to date is widely scattered showers. Now today's radar coverage looks better but still ... I was hoping for much more than this.
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Any forecasts under my name are to be taken with a grain of salt. Get your best forecasts from the National Weather Service and National Hurricane Center.
I'm a certified Advanced SKYWARN-trained spotter and am active on Twitter at @TravisCOSW, a social media partner of the NWS Austin-San Antonio office.
I'm a certified Advanced SKYWARN-trained spotter and am active on Twitter at @TravisCOSW, a social media partner of the NWS Austin-San Antonio office.
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Re: Texas Summer 2016
My opinion...only...I know nothing...Until we have a closed low...an actual system, the models are going to be all over the place with 99 L. Who knows where/if it will end up...
he posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or STORM2K.
he posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or STORM2K.
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Re: Texas Summer 2016
Tweets
Ryan Maue @RyanMaue 3m3 minutes ago
So long Invest 99L ... we have an upgrade to TD Nine ... only a depression but expected to strengthen a smidgen
Ryan Maue @RyanMaue 3m3 minutes ago
So long Invest 99L ... we have an upgrade to TD Nine ... only a depression but expected to strengthen a smidgen
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Re: Texas Summer 2016
Portastorm wrote:This upper level low coming into the Texas coast has been a real underperformer in terms of rainfall for those of us inland. Several days ago, the models showed at least 1/2" of rains by now in south central Texas. All we have had to date is widely scattered showers. Now today's radar coverage looks better but still ... I was hoping for much more than this.
I hear ya Porta. We still have decent rain chances through Tuesday, but yeah, it has underperformed so far. Hopefully that changes in the next few days!
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