2016 EPAC Season

[Alyono]

18Z MU has a firing line at Hawaii

Exactly what I called for back last year when I said Hawaii was at greatest risk this year

[TheStormExpert]

18Z MU has a firing line at Hawaii

Exactly what I called for back last year when I said Hawaii was at greatest risk this year

Hawaii has less of a risk of getting a direct hit from a major storm compared to Bermuda which is even a smaller fish in the sea.

[Yellow Evan]

Unlike Bermuda, you have the great Hawaiian Shear also protecting Hawaii.

[Alyono]

18Z MU has a firing line at Hawaii

Exactly what I called for back last year when I said Hawaii was at greatest risk this year

Hawaii has less of a risk of getting a direct hit from a major storm compared to Bermuda which is even a smaller fish in the sea.

not this year

[gatorcane]

GEM showing active EPAC at day 10:

[cycloneye]

The outbreak continues.

 https://twitter.com/EricBlake12/status/756188232719618048

[Ntxw]

EPAC is closing in on 70 units of ACE. For comparison a normal full Atlantic season is a little above 90 units. May reach that before month's end with active systems.

Surprisingly this value is similar to what it was last year at this time. In August is when 2015 exploded more ACE cranked with the infamous triplets adding nearly 100 more units.

[hurricanes1234]

Two new tropical cyclones out there! :-0

At this rate, I'm beginning to wonder if the July record of 7 named storms will be surpassed this year.

[Ntxw]

With Frank and Eight, EPAC has four tropical cyclones active simultaneously...that was fast.

[Hurricaneman]

Two new tropical cyclones out there! :-0

At this rate, I'm beginning to wonder if the July record of 7 named storms will be surpassed this year.

maybe by tomorrow

[cycloneye]

The formation of Georgette as the seventh named storm in the basin
this month ties the July record for the most named storm formations,
which was set in 1985.

[RL3AO]

It looks like the grand finale of a fireworks show.

[TheStormExpert]

It looks like the grand finale of a fireworks show.

I hope so, the Atlantic deserves it's turn, play nicely East Pacific!

[gatorcane]

More activity in the EPAC according to 12Z MU long-range:

[WeatherEmperor]

With all the tropical systems forming here it should only be a matter of time before upwelling cools the MDR waters and slows development down. Wow its just one after another after another.

[gatorcane]

12Z GEM shows an active EPAC to start August:

[cycloneye]

12z GFS continues to extend the active outbreak in EPAC.

[gatorcane]

so is the GEM:

[Yellow Evan]

With all the tropical systems forming here it should only be a matter of time before upwelling cools the MDR waters and slows development down. Wow its just one after another after another.

SST's should be recovering fairly soon from the upwelling. The last few storms haven't moved over the upwelled area from Blas/Celia/Darby.

[TheStormExpert]

What is causing this long duration tropical cyclone outbreak, and when can we expect it to end?