Texas Spring 2016

[Yukon Cornelius]

At least in my area, it appears all that will materialize is a typical spring severe t-storm.

SPC so far has done a good job with this episode. Except for the PDS watch. I'm not sure having a 10% tornado odd warrants such a watch by their logic. That's just your typical spring odds outbreak. Though there was uncertainty so I guess they sided with caution which is always advisable. Still though I've seen them not issue PDS watches with TOR odds greater than they had today.

I agree. They have done a fantastic job! It just came through us and all we recieved was some strong wind gusts and heavy rain for around 10 min.

[TheProfessor]

At least in my area, it appears all that will materialize is a typical spring severe t-storm.

SPC so far has done a good job with this episode. Except for the PDS watch. I'm not sure having a 10% tornado odd warrants such a watch by their logic. That's just your typical spring odds outbreak. Though there was uncertainty so I guess they sided with caution which is always advisable. Still though I've seen them not issue PDS watches with TOR odds greater than they had today.

The PDS watch definitely surprised me more because of the 10% tornado... I'm still not sure exactly what the reasoning was behind it.

I haven't been overly hyped up about this setup being some historic outbreak in a few days now either.

I don't think most forecasters and mature amateurs thought this would be a historical outbreak, a significant outbreak was possible, but too many disruptors were known a few days before that would limit the ceiling of this event. I think the PDS watch was in reaction to the 18z sounding at OUN as it showed some promise severe wise, and some shortwave models even had some of the line breaking apart. However, they probably could have waited to post the watch for a lot of the Eastern areas and if they had waited 2-3 hours I'm sure they wouldn't have gone with a PDS watch for OKC and the Dallas Metro. But, if SPC is going to bust I'd rather them bust by predicting the worst than them to bust by them under doing an event that ended up being deadly. Of course you want to limit your bust, but typically severe events aren't as hard to forecast as this one was with all the variables that limited this one but might not have had the storms not gone linear so quickly.

[jasons2k]

Look out in Cook County. I'm starting to see some rotation with that one discrete cell.

[TheProfessor]

The Next system to watch will be the Friday one, I know Ntxw has had his eye on it. This one will likely be another tricky forecast, the GFS and NAM are a tale of two cities right now. Some of the concerns that helped limit this system could limit the next one. Hopefully nothing bad happens Friday, but I'm really hoping SPC doesn't go too conservative when its not warranted just because of today.

[jasons2k]

I'm late it posting this, but saw it coming

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
TORNADO WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
846 PM CDT TUE APR 26 2016

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN FORT WORTH HAS ISSUED A

* TORNADO WARNING FOR...
CENTRAL COOKE COUNTY IN NORTH CENTRAL TEXAS...

* UNTIL 930 PM CDT

* AT 845 PM CDT...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A
TORNADO WAS LOCATED 8 MILES SOUTHWEST OF LINDSAY...OR 10 MILES
SOUTHWEST OF GAINESVILLE...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 25 MPH.

HAZARD...TORNADO AND GOLF BALL SIZE HAIL.

SOURCE...RADAR INDICATED ROTATION.

IMPACT...FLYING DEBRIS WILL BE DANGEROUS TO THOSE CAUGHT WITHOUT
SHELTER. MOBILE HOMES WILL BE DAMAGED OR DESTROYED.
DAMAGE TO ROOFS...WINDOWS...AND VEHICLES WILL OCCUR. TREE
DAMAGE IS LIKELY.

* THIS DANGEROUS STORM WILL BE NEAR...
LINDSAY AROUND 905 PM CDT.
GAINESVILLE AROUND 915 PM CDT.

OTHER LOCATIONS IMPACTED BY THIS TORNADIC THUNDERSTORM INCLUDE VALLEY
VIEW.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

TORNADOES ARE EXTREMELY DIFFICULT TO SEE AND CONFIRM AT NIGHT. DO NOT
WAIT TO SEE OR HEAR THE TORNADO. TAKE COVER NOW!

[Texas Snowman]

TORNADO WARNING
TXC181-270330-
/O.NEW.KFWD.TO.W.0020.160427T0258Z-160427T0330Z/

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
TORNADO WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
958 PM CDT TUE APR 26 2016

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN FORT WORTH HAS ISSUED A

* TORNADO WARNING FOR...
CENTRAL GRAYSON COUNTY IN NORTH CENTRAL TEXAS...

* UNTIL 1030 PM CDT

* AT 958 PM CDT...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A TORNADO
WAS LOCATED OVER DORCHESTER...OR NEAR SHERMAN...MOVING NORTHEAST AT
50 MPH.

HAZARD...TORNADO.

SOURCE...RADAR INDICATED ROTATION.

IMPACT...FLYING DEBRIS WILL BE DANGEROUS TO THOSE CAUGHT WITHOUT
SHELTER. MOBILE HOMES WILL BE DAMAGED OR DESTROYED.
DAMAGE TO ROOFS...WINDOWS...AND VEHICLES WILL OCCUR. TREE
DAMAGE IS LIKELY.

* THIS DANGEROUS STORM WILL BE NEAR...
TOM BEAN AROUND 1005 PM CDT.
SHERMAN AND KNOLLWOOD AROUND 1010 PM CDT.
DENISON AND BELLS AROUND 1015 PM CDT.

OTHER LOCATIONS IMPACTED BY THIS TORNADIC THUNDERSTORM INCLUDE LUELLA
AND SOUTHMAYD.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

TAKE COVER NOW! MOVE TO A BASEMENT OR AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST
FLOOR OF A STURDY BUILDING. AVOID WINDOWS. IF YOU ARE OUTDOORS...IN A
MOBILE HOME...OR IN A VEHICLE...MOVE TO THE CLOSEST SUBSTANTIAL SHELTER
AND PROTECT YOURSELF FROM FLYING DEBRIS.

&&

LAT...LON 3384 9662 3382 9658 3382 9652 3378 9651
3377 9650 3378 9645 3378 9643 3374 9639
3365 9638 3343 9660 3352 9680 3385 9665
TIME...MOT...LOC 0258Z 216DEG 41KT 3353 9665

TORNADO...RADAR INDICATED
HAIL...<.75IN

$$

DUNN

[Brent]

‏@CBSDFW 13m13 minutes ago
#BREAKING: Emergency managers report significant damage in Whitesboro in Grayson County - major damage to apartment, office buildings.

[gboudx]

Texas Snowman check in after this passes you in Denison so we know you're ok.

[DonWrk]

Had some rotation just west of here and saw it moving northeast going for Whitesboro which is only 8 minutes north of here.

[Brent]

Multiple reports of a cone tornado near Dension

[EnnisTx]

Would rather have a bust than a outbreak... But this was a real bust....

[Ntxw]

Yes stay safe Texas Snowman and report back when you can

[Texas Snowman]

We took shelter, sirens were going. Multiple reports of a cone tornado on the ground near Denison, at one point I thought I could hear a roar. No damage in Denison that I know of however. No hail at my house but it was an intense storm for sure with terrible lightning.

Reports of damage in Whitesboro and of a 90 mph wind gust in Sherman.

[Texas Snowman]

Don't know how bad the damage is in Whitesboro but Grayson County OEM just tweeted that a shelter has been opened at the First Baptist Church there. Hope that's just a precaution.

[Brent]

From Brett Adair near Sherman:

[EF-5bigj]

I'm just glad everyone is safe rather bust then violent tornadoes but the season isn't over yet...

[Brent]

I'm just glad everyone is safe rather bust then violent tornadoes but the season isn't over yet...

Very noisy storm here... very vivid lightning and house shaking thunder. Lights have blinked a couple times while I'm sitting here.

[EF-5bigj]

I'm just glad everyone is safe but it's not even peak season yet. May might not be as kind too us..

[ColdFusion]

Somehow we must all find the strength to rebuild and move on after this....godspeed to us all.

[Texas Snowman]

Oh boy...

@spotternetwork -- Spotr 1 miles N of HOWE, TX @ 04:09 UTC TOR>-Tornado crossed 75 @ Exit 54. Multiple semis rolled....vehicles severely damaged...light pol