Texas Winter 2015-2016

[Ntxw]

Models continue to inch further south with the dynamic system early next week. Too bad there is no strong surface high to provide low level cold, or it could be a big winter storm. It might be in Oklahoma. TheProfessor should get a nice snow event in Ohio from it

I'm not sold on it yet, looks like a lack of cold air might kill us here, which would be a shame with the 1.5 inches of liquid QPF the models have been putting out for us so far.

You should get some backend snow, but yeah front end might be heavy rain. But hey its your best shot so far this winter up there

[TheProfessor]

Models continue to inch further south with the dynamic system early next week. Too bad there is no strong surface high to provide low level cold, or it could be a big winter storm. It might be in Oklahoma. TheProfessor should get a nice snow event in Ohio from it

I'm not sold on it yet, looks like a lack of cold air might kill us here, which would be a shame with the 1.5 inches of liquid QPF the models have been putting out for us so far.

You should get some backend snow, but yeah front end might be heavy rain. But hey its your best shot so far this winter up there

Yep, looks like it might have the perfect track, though a lot can change once the storm gets sampled, this past Tuesday the models initially thought it would be too warm to snow but the storm was able to produce enough cold to give us a sloppy 3 inches of snow. So who knows with this one.

[EnnisTx]

Seriously depressing winter so far! I have tree's in the yard that have bloomed and have half grown leaves on them!!!!

[TheProfessor]

Joe B still thinks that Dallas to Atlanta will still see wintry weather.

[gpsnowman]

Joe B still thinks that Dallas to Atlanta will still see wintry weather.

Well, maybe he will be right this time. Or maybe he meant next year. JB sure is infatuated with Interstate 20.

[wxman57]

Joe B still thinks that Dallas to Atlanta will still see wintry weather.

And I completely agree with JB. All we have to do is move Dallas to northern Oklahoma or Kansas and there will be a chance of snow over the next 2-3 weeks.

[Brent]

Joe B still thinks that Dallas to Atlanta will still see wintry weather.

I think he's lost his touch



Looking at the decreasing rain chances tomorrow I'm wondering about even rain lol

[wxman57]

Biked 41 miles today, despite the harsh winter conditions with the temperature barely reaching 80 degrees. The flowers next to the Bill Coat's Bridge across Brays Bayou think it's spring.

[gboudx]

The snake in my backyard thinks it's Spring too.

[TheProfessor]

Today was a beautiful day, 65 degrees with a cool breeze. Tomorrow will probably be the in between weather I don't really like, 45 degrees and drizzle, I would rather it be warm or cold as my clothing fits that a bit better. Next 10 days could be interesting for me.

[Ntxw]

Euro has some wet snow in NW Texas along the Red River, including Wichita Falls and NW areas of FW AFD. Winter un-cancel? This storm early next week has been intriguing for sure. Sneaky like the system back in Feb when the falls had their last snow.

[Brent]

Euro has some wet snow in NW Texas along the Red River, including Wichita Falls and NW areas of FW AFD. Winter un-cancel? This storm early next week has been intriguing for sure. Sneaky like the system back in Feb when the falls had their last snow.

I just noticed that... the raw data is so so close at DFW even... precip falling in the upper 30s Tuesday Night with 850s sub-freezing. I see a big snow in southern OK on the Euro maps... looks like in the 4-5" range north of Ardmore... 3" around Wichita Falls... 1-2" around the Red River east of there

Over 2 1/2 inches of rain at DFW too... and most of that falls Tuesday.

[Ralph's Weather]

If only there was some semblance of cold over the N Plains. As itnis we will.see heavy rain over the next few days ending as a cold rain with some snow near the Red River West of I-35 Tuesday night into Wednesday. Wednesday will be the coldest day in a good while with highs in the low 50s and mid 40s over NE TX.

[Ntxw]

Even the NAM looks quite interesting. If it all went a little further south could help. Would help too if there was HP up north advecting cold air like Ralph mentioned. But boy it does look curious.

[TheProfessor]

This storm is looking pretty bleak for me right now, surface temps are actually not the the worst, the Nam has us around 33 degrees, but the 850s are bad. This storm hasn't been sampled yet, is there any chance the models might be under doing the amount of cold the low will have and be able to pull in at the 850 level?

[Ntxw]

This storm is looking pretty bleak for me right now, surface temps are actually not the the worst, the Nam has us around 33 degrees, but the 850s are bad. This storm hasn't been sampled yet, is there any chance the models might be under doing the amount of cold the low will have and be able to pull in at the 850 level?

We are having the exact opposite problem, 850s are good surface is bad. Its wrapping up too quick for you and bringing up warm air advection. But there is still time, lets see what 12z says

[Ntxw]

996 surface low in central Texas on the GFS. Lots of heavy slug of rain even further south, this is going to be a high precipitation producer we all need.

As for the cold side, it confines snow in the Panhandle. 850s are plenty cold but surface too warm in the mid 40s elsewhere.

[TeamPlayersBlue]

The storm has been trending stronger so there is a positive. At least we will get some precip from it. This is one little sneaky storm.

[Ntxw]

The storm has been trending stronger so there is a positive. At least we will get some precip from it. This is one little sneaky storm.

Sneaky is right, last Sunday GFS had a little swirl of a storm at 500mb with spotty showers. By Wednesday a passing disturbance dying into the gulf. Now a full fledged major PV anomaly system. TheProfessor's concerns are legitimate, it is trending so strong that it's moving west as it goes negative tilt quickly which on the front end brings up lots of warm air advection. At this rate the snow band moved from Ohio to Chicago

[TheProfessor]

Looks like I might have an epic windstorm here, wind driven rain is not fun.