Texas Winter 2015-2016

Winter Weather Discussion

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wxman57
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Re: Texas Winter 2015-2016

#3361 Postby wxman57 » Thu Feb 18, 2016 8:52 am

Overnight GFS has gone warmer for next Thu/Fri but does indicate possible 30s across Texas in early March. Great weekend coming up, though. Mid to upper 70s. Will definitely be getting in some long rides. Has anyone seen my speedo?
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Re: Texas Winter 2015-2016

#3362 Postby Tireman4 » Thu Feb 18, 2016 9:16 am

wxman57 wrote:Overnight GFS has gone warmer for next Thu/Fri but does indicate possible 30s across Texas in early March. Great weekend coming up, though. Mid to upper 70s. Will definitely be getting in some long rides. Has anyone seen my speedo?


Yeah, you left it in Heat Miser Quarterly. The magazine for the discriminating taste of heat and cycling...LOL
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Re: Texas Winter 2015-2016

#3363 Postby CaptinCrunch » Thu Feb 18, 2016 9:51 am

My Arizona Ash in the front yard has already started leafing out, and a lot of the spring and summer only plants I have along the driveway and on the side of the house never died back this year. I will mow the back this weekend and may even put on some spring time fertilizer. :sun:
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Re: Texas Winter 2015-2016

#3364 Postby Tireman4 » Thu Feb 18, 2016 10:32 am

CaptinCrunch wrote:My Arizona Ash in the front yard has already started leafing out, and a lot of the spring and summer only plants I have along the driveway and on the side of the house never died back this year. I will mow the back this weekend and may even put on some spring time fertilizer. :sun:


Yeah, me too Captin....I have to mow.
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Re: Texas Winter 2015-2016

#3365 Postby Ntxw » Thu Feb 18, 2016 11:35 am

Mike Ventrice posted his ecmwf analog for March and it looks unusually cold. Of course we've all mentioned it before in this thread, even 98/83 had cold a March. The cruel irony. The idea overall has been as soon as the Nino starts to rapidly decline then the colder anomalous would come. Just didn't happen in Jan or Feb as the ENSO numbers halted to a crawl. Maybe it will happen next month in the coming weeks just because mother nature can!
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Re: Texas Winter 2015-2016

#3366 Postby wxman57 » Thu Feb 18, 2016 12:41 pm

Here we go, baby! Big ice event coming for Texas near the end of the month, even snow for Austin:

Image

Image

Image
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Re: Texas Winter 2015-2016

#3367 Postby Portastorm » Thu Feb 18, 2016 12:50 pm

What did you do, make those up on your workstation?!

LOL
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Re: Texas Winter 2015-2016

#3368 Postby Tireman4 » Thu Feb 18, 2016 1:16 pm

Portastorm wrote:What did you do, make those up on your workstation?!

LOL


Porta, it is come down to this. He is taunting us. Pure and simple. Taunting. I hope, when we all meet at the Hurricane Conference, it is just cold. :)
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Re: Texas Winter 2015-2016

#3369 Postby TheProfessor » Thu Feb 18, 2016 1:23 pm

Though this is my real first year of observing the models for areas North of Texas, but I've never seen a storm dig south with a large precip field that moves due south then wraps up and move it back northeast. Looks like there might have been a clipper near Vermont that could explain the precip that develops west of it, but usually it seems precip is closer to a until the low deepens.
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Re: Texas Winter 2015-2016

#3370 Postby Brent » Thu Feb 18, 2016 1:29 pm

:uarrow:

Hey the GFS has the coldest air of the winter at DFW to start off March... 25 degrees!

:roflmao:
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Re: Texas Winter 2015-2016

#3371 Postby orangeblood » Thu Feb 18, 2016 1:47 pm

The natural weakening of the seasonal jet will give us opportunities, as it does almost every Feb/March period....patience is a virtue - but with heat miser mocking us at every chance, that virtue is tested that's for sure!!
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Re: Texas Winter 2015-2016

#3372 Postby dhweather » Thu Feb 18, 2016 2:03 pm

:uarrow:

Hey, it's only two weeks out .......
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Re: Texas Winter 2015-2016

#3373 Postby TeamPlayersBlue » Thu Feb 18, 2016 2:17 pm

Its showing a nice classic el nino setup that has occurred in the past, unfortunately, this year hasnt exactly been classic.
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Re: Texas Winter 2015-2016

#3374 Postby weatherdude1108 » Thu Feb 18, 2016 2:28 pm

12Z GFS has a decent QPF across Texas, for this run. :roll: I'll believe it when it falls.

Image
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Re: Texas Winter 2015-2016

#3375 Postby TeamPlayersBlue » Thu Feb 18, 2016 2:30 pm

Does the STJ even exist anymore?
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Re: Texas Winter 2015-2016

#3376 Postby Tireman4 » Thu Feb 18, 2016 2:41 pm

TeamPlayersBlue wrote:Does the STJ even exist anymore?


Nope. Figment of your imagination. :)
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Re: Texas Winter 2015-2016

#3377 Postby Brent » Thu Feb 18, 2016 3:04 pm

TeamPlayersBlue wrote:Does the STJ even exist anymore?


I was having a rant about that one night elsewhere(rather the general lack of any weather here)... and a met friend of mine said "the jet has been over Texas"

Coulda fooled me... :roflmao:
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Re: Texas Winter 2015-2016

#3378 Postby BigB0882 » Thu Feb 18, 2016 3:05 pm

A good half inch of rain in BTR with temps in the mid 30s? I promise that is the one model that will true this year. Yep, you can count on it. :cry:
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Re: Texas Winter 2015-2016

#3379 Postby gpsnowman » Thu Feb 18, 2016 4:09 pm

Brent wrote::uarrow:

Hey the GFS has the coldest air of the winter at DFW to start off March... 25 degrees!

:roflmao:

Help us GFS Kenobi, you are our only hope.
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Re: Texas Winter 2015-2016

#3380 Postby vbhoutex » Thu Feb 18, 2016 4:42 pm

wxman57 wrote:Here we go, baby! Big ice event coming for Texas near the end of the month, even snow for Austin:

http://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis ... _us_43.png

http://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis ... _us_44.png

http://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis ... _us_45.png

ROFLMAO!! :lol: :lol: :lol: :lol: :lol:
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