Texas Winter 2015-2016

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Brent
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Re: Texas Winter 2015-2016

#3081 Postby Brent » Sat Feb 06, 2016 12:11 am

TheProfessor wrote:
Brent wrote:Well at least the GFS has signs it's going to get wet again... I'm giving up on snow and cold... :roll:


Don't know why we can't just have a bowling ball storm deliver snow to Texas, a Gulf low forms and gives snow to the Deep South and then collides with an Alberta clipper that gives Indiana and Ohio a snow storm and then a Southeast transfer brings the east coast into the action. Probably will never happen :x


this stupid +PNA has to GO..
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Re: Texas Winter 2015-2016

#3082 Postby TheProfessor » Sat Feb 06, 2016 12:16 am

Brent wrote:
TheProfessor wrote:
Brent wrote:Well at least the GFS has signs it's going to get wet again... I'm giving up on snow and cold... :roll:


Don't know why we can't just have a bowling ball storm deliver snow to Texas, a Gulf low forms and gives snow to the Deep South and then collides with an Alberta clipper that gives Indiana and Ohio a snow storm and then a Southeast transfer brings the east coast into the action. Probably will never happen :x


this stupid +PNA has to GO..

Yeah it doesn't benefit me at all, it keeps all the snow well east of me, I said before that snowstorms in North Texas are usually good for me in Ohio, the +PNA Pushes the trough too far east and favors just the East coast really.
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Re: Texas Winter 2015-2016

#3083 Postby South Texas Storms » Sat Feb 06, 2016 12:16 am

Brent wrote:Well at least the GFS has signs it's going to get wet again... I'm giving up on snow and cold... :roll:


The signals are there for a big potential storm around the 15th of this month. The details will be ironed out in the coming days.

I'm just hoping for a widespread heavy rain event across Texas. Fire weather concerns are already cropping up across the state with this dry pattern we've been having over the past few weeks. Any snow or ice would be icing on the cake.
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Re: Texas Winter 2015-2016

#3084 Postby JDawg512 » Sat Feb 06, 2016 12:56 am

South Texas Storms wrote:
Brent wrote:Well at least the GFS has signs it's going to get wet again... I'm giving up on snow and cold... :roll:


The signals are there for a big potential storm around the 15th of this month. The details will be ironed out in the coming days.

I'm just hoping for a widespread heavy rain event across Texas. Fire weather concerns are already cropping up across the state with this dry pattern we've been having over the past few weeks. Any snow or ice would be icing on the cake.


You and me both. This dry spell is getting ugly. It's becoming noticable as the once green grass we had is turning brown.
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Re: Texas Winter 2015-2016

#3085 Postby JDawg512 » Sat Feb 06, 2016 2:31 am

And to add insult to injury, I'm watching lighting out my window from a storm that is moving across far northern Travis and Williamson counties. Nothing for the southside or scenic southwestern Travis County unfortunately. :break: :wall:
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Re: Texas Winter 2015-2016

#3086 Postby JDawg512 » Sat Feb 06, 2016 3:19 am

Well there was a little back building and for a minute or so had a few rain drops fall. I went out onto the lanai to watch the clouds pass by and between the breaks I could see the stars very clearly. Due to the cold air and the reflection of the city lights on the clouds, it made for a beautiful and almost otherworldly scene. There was an occasional flash of lightning in the distance as well.

That was the most weather excitement i've had in awhile and it wasn't much lol.
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Re: Texas Winter 2015-2016

#3087 Postby srainhoutx » Sat Feb 06, 2016 6:06 am

Lots of pea sized hail with the cold pocket aloft as the elevated thunderstorms moves across NW Harris County in SE Texas.
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Re: Texas Winter 2015-2016

#3088 Postby TexasF6 » Sat Feb 06, 2016 9:35 am

Hail pounding my casa woke me up this morning. Earrrly this morning!!! I will begin my BBQ Season if Evil Wxman57 has his way and kills my snowy snow. Sigh. Snow for SXSW sounds interesting though according to the long range models. But ughhh. I have not been posting due to my Mom being in the hospital? But you all have kept my spirits up these past few weeks with great wx insight, and winter hopes. So thank you all for that. HookEmHorns to my fellow Alum & fans for signing day!
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Re: Texas Winter 2015-2016

#3089 Postby TheProfessor » Sat Feb 06, 2016 10:10 am

Just noticed that tropical tidbits just Added the HRRR, now I won't need to go to a whole different website for it.
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Re: Texas Winter 2015-2016

#3090 Postby Ntxw » Sat Feb 06, 2016 12:41 pm

Cpc anchors warmer than avg temps next 6-10 days. Very little precip as NW flow is established with rising PNA. Some folks may push 80 when the ridge pushes through. There are subtle hints of the PNA relaxing but thats well beyond Feb 15th. We may on pace for the warmest winter since 1999-2000 at DFW.
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Re: Texas Winter 2015-2016

#3091 Postby TheProfessor » Sat Feb 06, 2016 2:43 pm

How high is the chance that the northern and southern streams come together next weekend? It could be the difference of getting 2 inches of snow and 20 inches of snow or even all rain.
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Re: Texas Winter 2015-2016

#3092 Postby Texas Snowman » Sat Feb 06, 2016 3:53 pm

TheProfessor wrote:How high is the chance that the northern and southern streams come together next weekend? It could be the difference of getting 2 inches of snow and 20 inches of snow or even all rain.


Are you talking about Texas?

Or are you talking about Ohio?
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Re: Texas Winter 2015-2016

#3093 Postby Texas Snowman » Sat Feb 06, 2016 3:55 pm

Let's hope this is right. From the Fort Worth NWS forecast discussion this morning:

"THE THIRD WEEK OF FEBRUARY IS ALSO LOOKING DRY...BUT THERE IS
STILL THE POTENTIAL FOR A TRANSITION TO A WET PATTERN FOR THE
FINAL WEEK OF THE MONTH."
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Re: Texas Winter 2015-2016

#3094 Postby TheProfessor » Sat Feb 06, 2016 4:30 pm

Texas Snowman wrote:
TheProfessor wrote:How high is the chance that the northern and southern streams come together next weekend? It could be the difference of getting 2 inches of snow and 20 inches of snow or even all rain.


Are you talking about Texas?

Or are you talking about Ohio?


I was talking about Ohio, though I think it would help us all if they both came together.
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Re: Texas Winter 2015-2016

#3095 Postby hriverajr » Sat Feb 06, 2016 4:42 pm

TheProfessor wrote:
Texas Snowman wrote:
TheProfessor wrote:How high is the chance that the northern and southern streams come together next weekend? It could be the difference of getting 2 inches of snow and 20 inches of snow or even all rain.


Are you talking about Texas?

Or are you talking about Ohio?


I was talking about Ohio, though I think it would help us all if they both came together.


Would not help Texas at all
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Re: Texas Winter 2015-2016

#3096 Postby TheProfessor » Sat Feb 06, 2016 4:47 pm

hriverajr wrote:
TheProfessor wrote:
Texas Snowman wrote:
Are you talking about Texas?

Or are you talking about Ohio?


I was talking about Ohio, though I think it would help us all if they both came together.


Would not help Texas at all

It wouldn't? I thought the Northern stream would pull down colder air and the Southern stream would deliver Pacific moisture?
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Re: Texas Winter 2015-2016

#3097 Postby JDawg512 » Sat Feb 06, 2016 6:10 pm

EWX had a quick mention about the possibility of rain next weekend in their overnight update. I'll hold off on expecting anything until there is more evidence.
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Re: Texas Winter 2015-2016

#3098 Postby gpsnowman » Sat Feb 06, 2016 6:14 pm

JDawg512 wrote:EWX had a quick mention about the possibility of rain next weekend in their overnight update. I'll hold off on expecting anything until there is more evidence.

Had a weak little shower in Irving this morning. Just enough to dirty my car I just had washed yesterday. Forget winter, just a solid rain event would be appreciated. This is one boring winter.
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Re: Texas Winter 2015-2016

#3099 Postby Ntxw » Sat Feb 06, 2016 10:35 pm

There is some energy being dropped west of the Baja by guidance. It will be a slow ejection but if/when it comes out we may try for a last minute ditch effort like last season. Even if no snow, at least it may tap into some rain. Way far out though, have to get through the 15th.
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Re: Texas Winter 2015-2016

#3100 Postby Brent » Sat Feb 06, 2016 11:10 pm

Ntxw wrote:There is some energy being dropped west of the Baja by guidance. It will be a slow ejection but if/when it comes out we may try for a last minute ditch effort like last season. Even if no snow, at least it may tap into some rain. Way far out though, have to get through the 15th.


Ali on Fox 4 just said she expects some snow chances this winter still... yeah... glwt :P
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