EPAC: PATRICIA - Post-Tropical

[bzukajo]

Puerto Vallarta

[Harrycane]

Anyone chasing this monster in Mexico?

[davidiowx]

Anyone chasing this monster in Mexico?

Josh Morgerman is down there right now

[bzukajo]

Anyone chasing this monster in Mexico?

Josh Morgerman ‏@iCyclone 33m33 minutes ago La Huerta, Jalisco
Main question: what's strongest building in Perula & La Fortuna? We're in unknown territory. #Hurricane #PATRICIA

https://twitter.com/icyclone

[Tireman4]

Icyclone....they are Facebook

[Nate-Gillson]

I will be very surprised of Patricia got stronger (pressure wise) than Wilma.

I jinxed myself there. Seriously did not expect Patricia to get THAT strong.

[xtyphooncyclonex]

'Nuclear'?

Really?


People need to settle down and get off the drama words. Yes, it's setting records and should be discussed. But not in an E! or TLC reality TV manner.

For perspective Haiyan had an energy of 30 atomic bombs, this may be similar or more. And thus, I think you have a problem dealing with this storm. It's not drama and to think this is the strongest storm on record (not counting those 50s-60s WPAC systems) in terms of wind speeds... How can you survive with 200 mph wind speeds?

[xtyphooncyclonex]

I already thought this would be a strong major that's dangerous but never of this magnitude

[blp]

Incredible storm. Brings back memories reading through the posts for the recon of the night Wilma broke the record. I stayed up remembering how impressive that was and what was amazing back then was to see the record fall in real-time as recon brought it in even before NHC announced it.

Patricia is taking advantage of very high SST's and a very strong MJO.

[Ntxw]

Just look at the ADT. Looks like something you make up but it's not. Had recon continued could you imagine the data we would still be getting? As impressive as 880 was, I have little doubt it was likely lower after recon left.

UW - CIMSS
ADVANCED DVORAK TECHNIQUE
ADT-Version 8.2.1
Tropical Cyclone Intensity Algorithm

----- Current Analysis -----
Date : 23 OCT 2015 Time : 121500 UTC
Lat : 17:14:59 N Lon : 105:35:37 W


CI# /Pressure/ Vmax
8.1 / 887.9mb/173.0kt


Final T# Adj T# Raw T#
8.1 8.3 8.3

Estimated radius of max. wind based on IR :N/A km

Center Temp : +0.7C Cloud Region Temp : -81.3C

Scene Type : EYE

[TheProfessor]

'Nuclear'?

Really?


People need to settle down and get off the drama words. Yes, it's setting records and should be discussed. But not in an E! or TLC reality TV manner.

For perspective Haiyan had an energy of 30 atomic bombs, this may be similar or more. And thus, I think you have a problem dealing with this storm. It's not drama and to think this is the strongest storm on record (not counting those 50s-60s WPAC systems) in terms of wind speeds... How can you survive with 200 mph wind speeds?

Yep when you look into the energy that creates these monsters, it's much more powerful than the energy in a nuclear bomb, even a super cell has more energy than a nuclear bomb, of course not all of that energy gets put into the destruction, thank goodness. Hopefully they have some sturdy hospitals down there so people can take shelter.

[mrbagyo]

Visible image is just minutes away

[tolakram]

Live visible, last frame now bright enough.

http://wwwghcc.msfc.nasa.gov/cgi-bin/get-goes?satellite=GOES-E%20CONUS&lat=15&lon=-170&info=vis&zoom=1&width=1000&height=800&quality=90&type=Animation&palette=ir1.pal&numframes=5&mapcolor=gray

[xtyphooncyclonex]

I do hope all residents on the affected areas particularly the coastal municipalities of Jalisco will ride out the storm in safe, sturdy shelters and they will all be safe from this storm. I also am fascinated by tracking this monstrous beast yet do hope it would not unleash its fury resulting in death and destruction. God Bless Mexico

[davidiowx]

Live visible, last frame now bright enough.

http://wwwghcc.msfc.nasa.gov/cgi-bin/get-goes?satellite=GOES-E%20CONUS&lat=15&lon=-170&info=vis&zoom=1&width=1000&height=800&quality=90&type=Animation&palette=ir1.pal&numframes=5&mapcolor=gray

My goodness. Just the hint of light and it looks unbelievably scary.

[CrazyC83]

If not for the fact Recon is returning, I would go with 180 or 185 kt for the next advisory personally.

[Alyono]

:uarrow: I do hope all residents on the affected areas particularly the coastal municipalities of Jalisco will ride out the storm in safe, sturdy shelters and they will all be safe from this storm. I also am fascinated by tracking this monstrous beast yet do hope it would not unleash its fury resulting in death and destruction. God Bless Mexico

They need to be entirely out of the area. No structure above ground is safe from these winds

[xtyphooncyclonex]

Sadly IMO this will be Mexico's Haiyan

[TheProfessor]

:uarrow: I do hope all residents on the affected areas particularly the coastal municipalities of Jalisco will ride out the storm in safe, sturdy shelters and they will all be safe from this storm. I also am fascinated by tracking this monstrous beast yet do hope it would not unleash its fury resulting in death and destruction. God Bless Mexico

They need to be entirely out of the area. No structure above ground is safe from these winds

I don't know how Mexico treats evacuations, but due to the hurricane intensifying extremely fast I wouldn't be surprised if a lot of people didn't evacuate, hopefully there are some strongly built hospitals in the area.

[Texashawk]

Imagine the equivalent of a 40-mile wide EF-5 tornado, pushing 20-25 feet of water ahead of it, in a torrential rain storm, at night, and that's what you've got going here. Can't even imagine.

-Steve