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SouthDadeFish wrote:Something I have always wondered about landfalling cyclones on Mexico's Pacific coast is what is the significance of the dry air produced from downsloping off the Sierra Madre? I seem to recall many cyclones weakening just prior to landfall, which makes me curious if dry air is playing a role? Hopefully we can see something similar happen with Patricia.
Ken Lucas wrote:How much rain is this forecasted to bring to parts of Texas?
WeatherGuesser wrote:Kind of overdoing it, aren't you?
Cyclenall wrote:I hope so much that radar images were taken of this hurricane from recon, the same with photos from inside to capture the pinhole eye with its grand stadium (under good moonlight conditions and lightning in the eyewall). I don't know how bad the flight was for these heroes so maybe it was chaos at the time and this wasn't possible. Wouldn't it be stupid crazy to see all that?
To see the forecast calls for strengthening to 180 knots, yeah that's a new level of absurd that none of us ever thought we'd see. No one has mentioned this, but if the SS scale continued this would be a legit category 6 hurricane. In terms of media attention, CTV news here in Canada did a good job at the start of the 6:00 am broadcast to mention how it was the most powerful hurricane in the WHEM and Epac, followed by some other details. CNN mentioned it briefly at 6:46 am EDT.WeatherGuesser wrote:Kind of overdoing it, aren't you?
Its not, you may not have been here but if you followed it since last evening it was truly among the most insane things I've ever seen in weather overall. Its definitely the most spectacular thing to happen in the Epac and in the Top 3 for the western hemisphere, Top 5 worldwide.
You can just see the furious power of this thing and how a good chunk of MX is already getting its cloud shield/rain. The way its behaving on satellite is really amazing and different, bands just popping everywhere around the buzzsaw and how it just pops or morphs rapidly out from the main CDO...very freakish. Never seen anything like it, I think its hanging out in the 870s club bigtime.
Cyclenall wrote: Its not, you may not have been here but if you followed it since last evening it was truly among the most insane things I've ever seen in weather overall. Its definitely the most spectacular thing to happen in the Epac and in the Top 3 for the western hemisphere, Top 5 worldwide.
Extratropical94 wrote:No change at the intermediate advisory.
Kingarabian wrote:Extratropical94 wrote:No change at the intermediate advisory.
Ah I'll just agree to disagree. I mean the last pass had 192kt flight level winds and 180kt SFMR winds were confirmed through VDM. The pressure was still falling as well.
Kingarabian wrote:If I remember correctly, Haiyan rarely went under an ERC.
Maybe super storms are not prone to ERC's?
CrazyC83 wrote:I think Patricia will be bumped up to 180 kt at the TCR, with a pressure of 877mb. But it is a matter of semantics, really. Either way, the damage will be like that of Haiyan in Tacloban.
I don't know if a storm of this intensity is even possible in the Atlantic...or in the EPAC outside a strong El Nino.
CrazyC83 wrote:I think Patricia will be bumped up to 180 kt at the TCR, with a pressure of 877mb. But it is a matter of semantics, really. Either way, the damage will be like that of Haiyan in Tacloban.
I don't know if a storm of this intensity is even possible in the Atlantic...or in the EPAC outside a strong El Nino.
CrazyC83 wrote:I think Patricia will be bumped up to 180 kt at the TCR, with a pressure of 877mb. But it is a matter of semantics, really. Either way, the damage will be like that of Haiyan in Tacloban.
I don't know if a storm of this intensity is even possible in the Atlantic...or in the EPAC outside a strong El Nino.
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