Texas Fall-2015

[Ptarmigan]

Good point, this coming Jan/Feb will be another "6" winter.

1986 was Neutral. 1996 was La Nina. Never happened during El Nino.

[Brent]

0z GFS has 47 degrees at DFW at 300 hours.

Hey... summer's gotta end sometime...

[JDawg512]

Looking at all that wide spread rain way out in far west Texas. Sigh...

[weatherdude1108]

Looking at all that wide spread rain way out in far west Texas. Sigh...

Depressing. Zack Shields on Fox said the High pressure in the Gulf is blocking the low from moving east. Not sure why it is moving south though if there is an Aleutian Low up in Alaska. Seems like that would steer it northeast. Anyway. I don't know what's going on. Apparently the record high in Austin for this date is 96 back in 1925. So I guess not out of realm of possibility...unfortunately. The squirrels are eating the Fall buds on my Cedar Elm tree leaves and twigs in my backyard, covering the bed and grass with leaves and twigs. Yearly thing. Guess they are searching for moisture, but annoying. Hoping it doesn't hurt the tree.

[Ralph's Weather]

I am considering this heatwave to be the same situation as we had last November just with an opposite result down here because of the location of the Alaska bomb. Neither is a precursor of the coming winter. Winter should arrive on schedule and the rains should be here by the end of October.

[dhweather]

The beating will continue until morale improves!

[weatherdude1108]

I guess this will be a quiet thread for the next couple weeks.

[weatherdude1108]

The beating will continue until morale improves!

I'm always looking for the silver lining. In this case, fungus and mosquitoes are being kept in check.

[gboudx]

But we need the ragweed to die!

[Ralph's Weather]

The beating will continue until morale improves!

If the DPs are to be believed for next Tue and Wed there is no way lows will stay above 60 those nights more like 40s to maybe low 50s with cloud cover.

[dhweather]

But we need the ragweed to die!

AMEN! That stuff is killing me and the family. IT MUST DIE!!!!

[dhweather]

Great read here - how this El Nino is and isn't like 97.


http://www.climatecentral.org/news/comp ... ign=buffer

[gboudx]

The article mentions the warm water off the West Coast as being different from 97. But the warm pool in the GoA is different as well.

[Ntxw]

Ragweed has been horrible I agree! It and mountain cedar needs to be eradicated.

That's a good article, I noticed it was published in July. I've been following L'heureux at the CPC. Her stance early in the year was more wait and see, and of late they have changed their tune to a more robust ENSO event. A lot has changed since then and the NE Pacific blob has been beaten down thoroughly since. Low heights continue to prosper in the gulf of Alaska.

I would love nothing more than to see this Nino weaken on forward, it would mean a great winter most likely like an 02-03 or 09-10. The faster it weakens the better, but I fear it may not.

[Ntxw]

It's depressing looking at all the rain out in far west Texas and the upper Rio G.

[Ptarmigan]

The beating will continue until morale improves!

The calendar says Fall, not Summer.

[Brent]

Ugh... 93 next Thursday. Halfway through October... What in the world? It is not summer anymore...

Everyone fails on their wet and cool October predictions.

[Ntxw]

We lost to summer. Proof that summers in Texas are very long and relentless. It begins early and ends late.

Folks up north who says they like warmth have never been here

[Brent]

We lost to summer. Proof that summers in Texas are very long and relentless. It begins early and ends late.

Folks up north who says they like warmth have never been here

Shoot I know people who have lived here longer than me who love warmth...

I don't get it.

[weatherdude1108]

It's depressing looking at all the rain out in far west Texas and the upper Rio G.

I know. I have that same thought.

Radar may as well show a bottle of salt being poured on a fresh wound -- next to a mirage.