2015 ACE - ATL: 59.94 - EPAC: 287.667 - WPAC: 478.335

[xtyphooncyclonex]

Reading some discrepancy between Wikipedia and Ryan Maue's Site.

Wikipedia has the season at 379.1225 while Maue only list it at 337.29???

Either way, normal YTD is 208, over 162% of normal if you use the lower number.

Normal YTD is 302...

Prior to Dujuan, Maue's site was listed at around 340. So, as the storms have passed Wikipedia's is justifiable. Plus there are tables of 6-hourly units which are proof that they are absolutely correct in data.

[dexterlabio]

I wonder who is doing the ACE computation in the Wikipedia page though. The last thing I knew is that everyone can edit wiki pages. While I'd rather be not too hard it's just reasonable to doubt if those computations were made by a trusted source.

[Ntxw]

Nothing is final in ACE until the end of the season. Ryan Maue isn't perfect real time and systems do get upgraded/downgraded post season analysis. I would use his numbers as a general guide but not for exact purposes. Crossovers from basin to basin can be a grind to calculate as well. I prefer using his stuff because his numbers are transparent and simple to verify as he includes ACE per storm as well.

[1900hurricane]

I think Dr. Maue's site is having issues with the crossover storms Halola and Kilo, dumping all their units of ACE into the EPac rather than splitting them up between basins. You can check this on the Wiki ACE pages for the EPac and WPac, which break the ACE down for every operational data point for every storm.

[xtyphooncyclonex]

My point is that it is not just by storm but even the ACE per 6-hour timeframe is posted (like 115 = 1.3225) as an example or (35 = 0.1225)

Here's what I mean

[euro6208]

Big increase for the WPAC previously at 337. Slight increase and big decrease for the ATL and EPAC.

Going to bet the ACE will surpass 400 with the twins out there.

[Ntxw]

WPAC and EPAC are on a storm frenzy both racking up ACE this week Champi likely the next cat 5. 400+ season in the books for the WPAC and EPAC has solidified at least 3rd place all time busiest season. When all said and done a 500+ season isn't out of the realms of possibilities as WPAC seasons can go on well into December if not longer. To imagine this kind of ACE value you'd have to double an Atlantic 2005 season.

Japan, Taiwan, the Philippines, China, and many other far east countries have probably had enough of their fair share

[euro6208]

Not much change this week except the EPAC got a huge boost from their locally historic record hurricane Patricia and ongoing Olaf. Their record is 290 from 1992.

WPAC continues to produce numbers record breaking locally and worldwide, accounting for more than half of the NHEM ACE and almost the entire globe. Yearly climo here is more active than any EPAC year on record.

Atlantic remains the same.

[WeatherGuesser]

EPAC: 272.873

Their record is 290 from 1992.

So, Yeah or Nay on tying or breaking?

Poll time?

[Darvince]

There is very little chance for another long-tracker at this point, unless there is a CPAC surprise late in the year, especially in the very low latitudes.

[1900hurricane]

Chapala has now pushed the Northern Indian Ocean ACE above their yearly average. Assuming nothing crazy happens, the only northern hemisphere basin that should finish below average is the Atlantic.

[euro6208]

EPAC seeking their highest ever ACE on record beating 1992 while the WPAC is 3rd all time...

[euro6208]

Not much change, Not much change....

[1900hurricane]

The WPac isn't going to match 1997 or in all likelihood get to 500 units of ACE this year, but it does look like we're about to pass both 1992 and 2004, which would put 2015 in second place in terms of total season ACE for the basin since at least 1990 (which is as far back as I've calculated at this point).

[euro6208]

Updated to include Melor.

ACE is 3rd place all time behind 2004 and 1997...

478.335 is more than half of the NHEM ACE of 865.2395!