ATL: JOAQUIN - Post-Tropical - Discussion

[tropicwatch]

Looks like Joaquin has gone stationary during the past hour or so.

http://weather.msfc.nasa.gov/cgi-bin/get-goes?satellite=GOES-E%20CONUS&lat=24&lon=-73&type=Animation&palette=ir2.pal&numframes=15

[northjaxpro]

All hail the European! Apperently it has scored as the winner again. Now feeling better about an out to sea scenario. The nor'easter is another story.

Isn't it way too early to say for sure?

I would wait at least another 36 hours or so before declaring the all clear and declaring EURO the winner. There are still several critical variables still in play that can change the ball game folks.

[ronjon]

looks like the southern eyewall is ravashing Acklins/Crooked Island

[Ken Lucas]

All hail the European! Apperently it has scored as the winner again. Now feeling better about an out to sea scenario. The nor'easter is another story.

Isn't it way too early to say for sure?

I would wait at least another 36 hours or so before declaring the all clear and declaring EURO the winner. There are still several critical variables still in play that can change the ball game folks.

Thanks. I sure hope the Euro model proves to be correct in the end.

[windnrain]

http://tropic.ssec.wisc.edu/real-time/m ... t24hrs.gif

West/northwest movement undeway

[tolakram]

[tropicwatch]

I wouldn't call it a change in direction yet.

[AutoPenalti]

http://tropic.ssec.wisc.edu/real-time/mimic-tc/2015_11L/webManager/last24hrs.gif

West/northwest movement undeway

Looks like a wobble if anything.

[Frank2]

The WV loop shows an interesting feature that is approaching J from the NE that might prevent it from moving northward - looking at the loop, the cyclone is still dropping southward.

In the end, all of the models might be wrong...

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/east/tatl/wv-animated.gif

Frank

[psyclone]

Could be a wobble or the beginning of the long awaited change. Just too soon to know but the next few hours will tell the tale.

[WilmingtonSandbar]

All hail the European! Apperently it has scored as the winner again. Now feeling better about an out to sea scenario. The nor'easter is another story.

You really need to have the disclaimer on posts like this. It can confuse new people to the boards.

[windnrain]

All hail the European! Apperently it has scored as the winner again. Now feeling better about an out to sea scenario. The nor'easter is another story.

You really need to have the disclaimer on posts like this. It can confuse new people to the boards.

Yeah I'm shocked that didn't get a disclaimer

[PTrackerLA]

Joe Bastardi has gone all in on the Euro track, complete change of his forecast out to sea.

BTW, I heard on the weather channel last night Jeff Masters say he thought the Euro would win out when all others said otherwise. Even the commentators seemed surprised at this comments. He may be correct.

However, even if the Carolinas are out of play, I'd keep a close eye on this in SE New England. Some of the model runs bend fairly close to Nantucket and it wouldn't take much of a deviation westward from those to put this inland. Lots of things to still watch but in the meantime my prayers go out to the Bahamas right now.

[SouthFLTropics]

This reminds me a lot of Mitch in 1998...was supposed to head into the Gulf but instead went south into Central America. All the models had that wrong.

[PTrackerLA]

This reminds me a lot of Mitch in 1998...was supposed to head into the Gulf but instead went south into Central America. All the models had that wrong.

I was thinking the same thing this morning. It just plowed south into central America.

[Jevo]

This reminds me a lot of Mitch in 1998...was supposed to head into the Gulf but instead went south into Central America. All the models had that wrong.

I was thinking the same thing this morning. It just plowed south into central America.

Classic Mitch

[AutoPenalti]

125mph and down to 940 at 11am.

[tolakram]

If you have an issue with a post please use the report button, the red exclamation point at the bottom right of each post. This flags the thread and message for moderator attention.

[WilmingtonSandbar]

If you have an issue with a post please use the report button, the red exclamation point at the bottom right of each post. This flags the thread and message for moderator attention.

Sorry. did not know that.

[ConvergenceZone]

Joe Bastardi has gone all in on the Euro track, complete change of his forecast out to sea.

BTW, I heard on the weather channel last night Jeff Masters say he thought the Euro would win out when all others said otherwise. Even the commentators seemed surprised at this comments. He may be correct.

However, even if the Carolinas are out of play, I'd keep a close eye on this in SE New England. Some of the model runs bend fairly close to Nantucket and it wouldn't take much of a deviation westward from those to put this inland. Lots of things to still watch but in the meantime my prayers go out to the Bahamas right now.

Yea, I agree, I'm thinking it takes the Euro Track as well and moves this out to Sea as well, but it's going to be a close call in some areas......


**Not an official forecast, just an opinion. Please use the NHC for official forecasts**