Area with spin east of Lesser Antilles

[Gustywind]

Guadeloupe is now Under an yellow alert for a risk of strong shower and tstorm.
http://www.meteofrance.gp/integration/s ... eloupe.pdf

[wxman57]

It's just a passing tropical wave, something the Lesser Antilles hasn't seen many of this season. Development chances near zero.

[Gustywind]

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
805 PM EDT MON SEP 14 2015


A TROPICAL WAVE IS MOVING ACROSS THE LESSER ANTILLES WITH AXIS
EXTENDING FROM 20N61W TO 11N61W...MOVING W AT 10-15 KT OVER THE
PAST 24 HOURS. THE POSITION OF THIS WAVE IS CLEARLY DEPICTED IN
SATELLITE IMAGERY WHERE THE CLASSIC INVERTED V IS NOTICED
ENTERING THE E CARIBBEAN. SCATTERED LIGHT TO MODERATE CONVECTION
IS FROM 13N-19N BETWEEN 57W-64W

[Hurricaneman]

Looks like the shear monster has taken another one but does seem to develop something on the northern end of the wave near the Bahamas in a few days

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[Gustywind]

Let's hope that Dominica will not get too much from this as the situation is always worrying in terms of amount of water.

From Stormcarib.com
http://stormcarib.com/reports/current/dominica.shtml


- RAIN, RAIN AND MORE RAIN
•By Lisette Stevens <jaco.lass at gmail.com>
•Date: Tue, 15 Sep 2015 09:37:29 -0300


We have had a very wet night some heavy rain all night and some thunder and lightning! The radio is telling everyone to stay home. Offices and all business's will be closed here in Dominica today. Luckily, everyone has been warned so hopefully there will not have been any lives lost. Apparently there have been more landslides and flooding but we are not sure exactly where. This weather is a tragedy indeed for Dominica. As I write this it is pouring with rain and it is really dark and really chilly. I hope we keep our internet and phones this time around.

[Gustywind]

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
805 AM EDT TUE SEP 15 2015


TROPICAL WAVE IN THE E CARIBBEAN EXTENDS ALONG 63W FROM 11N-21N
MOVING W NEAR 15 KT OVER THE PAST 24 HOURS. SSMI TPW INDICATES
THE WAVE IS EMBEDDED WITHIN SURGE OF DEEP MOISTURE. ANY
CONVECTION AROUND THIS WAVE IS ASSOCIATED WITH AN UPPER FEATURE
AND IS BEING ENHANCED BY THE TROPICAL WAVE.

[AutoPenalti]

This is at 384hr so take it with a HUGE grain of salt but GFS 12z shows a possible weak TD near Bahamas?


00z shows another one?