Central Atlantic Wave

This is the general tropical discussion area. Anyone can take their shot at predicting a storms path.

Moderator: S2k Moderators

Forum rules

The posts in this forum are NOT official forecasts and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or STORM2K. For official information, please refer to products from the National Hurricane Center and National Weather Service.

Help Support Storm2K
Post Reply
Message
Author
Sanibel
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 10375
Joined: Mon Aug 30, 2004 11:06 pm
Location: Offshore SW Florida

Central Atlantic Wave

#1 Postby Sanibel » Wed Sep 02, 2015 2:23 pm

There could be a twist and deepening convection to the Central Atlantic wave in the Inter Tropical Convergence Zone.
0 likes   
Top
Steve H.
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 2146
Joined: Sat Oct 19, 2002 9:06 am
Location: Palm Bay, Florida

Re: Central Atlantic Wave

#2 Postby Steve H. » Wed Sep 02, 2015 2:27 pm

Yeah, I brought that up in the models thread (should have started a new thread). It looks like it could have some potential. Definitely looks like it's amplifying.
0 likes   
Top
emeraldislenc
Category 2
Category 2
Posts: 559
Joined: Fri Aug 24, 2012 4:49 pm
Location: Emerald Isle NC

Re: Central Atlantic Wave

#3 Postby emeraldislenc » Wed Sep 02, 2015 2:39 pm

any model support?
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
wxman57
Moderator-Pro Met
Moderator-Pro Met
Posts: 22979
Age: 67
Joined: Sat Jun 21, 2003 8:06 pm
Location: Houston, TX (southwest)

Re: Central Atlantic Wave

#4 Postby wxman57 » Wed Sep 02, 2015 3:17 pm

Just a weak wave. GFS moves it into S. America next Tuesday. Caribbean VERY hostile - lots of wind shear.
0 likes   
Top
emeraldislenc
Category 2
Category 2
Posts: 559
Joined: Fri Aug 24, 2012 4:49 pm
Location: Emerald Isle NC

Re: Central Atlantic Wave

#5 Postby emeraldislenc » Wed Sep 02, 2015 3:20 pm

Thanks! Anyplace in the Atlantic that is not hostile?
0 likes   
Top
LarryWx
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 6306
Joined: Sun Sep 07, 2003 2:04 pm
Location: GA

Re: Central Atlantic Wave

#6 Postby LarryWx » Wed Sep 02, 2015 3:30 pm

emeraldislenc wrote:Thanks! Anyplace in the Atlantic that is not hostile?


The Caribbean actually becomes a good bit less hostile ~9/13 IF you can believe recent GFS runs. For now, I'll take with a grain. Also, even if that occurs, there's no telling how long it would last.
0 likes   
Personal Forecast Disclaimer:
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecasts and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
Top
Sanibel
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 10375
Joined: Mon Aug 30, 2004 11:06 pm
Location: Offshore SW Florida

Re: Central Atlantic Wave

#7 Postby Sanibel » Wed Sep 02, 2015 4:34 pm

wxman57 wrote:Just a weak wave. GFS moves it into S. America next Tuesday. Caribbean VERY hostile - lots of wind shear.




I wouldn't doubt that.
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
gatorcane
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 23691
Age: 47
Joined: Sun Mar 13, 2005 3:54 pm
Location: Boca Raton, FL

#8 Postby gatorcane » Wed Sep 02, 2015 5:13 pm

Eastern Atlantic is the place to watch.
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
gatorcane
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 23691
Age: 47
Joined: Sun Mar 13, 2005 3:54 pm
Location: Boca Raton, FL

#9 Postby gatorcane » Thu Sep 03, 2015 12:11 pm

12Z GFS is trying to spin up a low now from this area of disturbed weather between the Leewards and Africa and shoot it west towards the Southern Leewards. At 150 hours we see a 1007MB low east of the southern Leewards:

Image

Saved image:
Image
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
abajan
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 4232
Joined: Sun Sep 07, 2003 5:10 am
Location: Barbados

Re:

#10 Postby abajan » Thu Sep 03, 2015 7:09 pm

[quote="gatorcane"]12Z GFS is trying to spin up a low now from this area of disturbed weather between the Leewards and Africa and shoot it west towards the Southern Leewards. At 150 hours we see a 1007MB low east of the southern Leewards:

[img ]http://i.imgur.com/bgDFEuG.png[/img] ...
Actually, that's east of the southern Windwards. And should that pan out, it would be nail biting time for moi! :eek:
0 likes   
Top
floridasun78
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 3755
Joined: Sun May 17, 2009 10:16 pm
Location: miami fl

Re: Central Atlantic Wave

#11 Postby floridasun78 » Thu Sep 03, 2015 7:10 pm

let see what happen we now close peak part hurr season
0 likes   
Top
floridasun78
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 3755
Joined: Sun May 17, 2009 10:16 pm
Location: miami fl

#12 Postby floridasun78 » Thu Sep 03, 2015 7:20 pm

let see what what look shear and dry air still their
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
abajan
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 4232
Joined: Sun Sep 07, 2003 5:10 am
Location: Barbados

#13 Postby abajan » Fri Sep 04, 2015 4:41 am

Not looking so healthy at all this morning.
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
tailgater
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 3339
Joined: Sun Jul 11, 2004 9:13 pm
Location: St. Amant La.

Re: Central Atlantic Wave

#14 Postby tailgater » Sun Sep 06, 2015 11:23 am

Floater has the tail end of it for now. still pretty dry out there.
http://rammb.cira.colostate.edu/ramsdis ... loater.gif
0 likes   
The following post is NOT an official forecast and should not be used as such. It is just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is NOT endorsed by any professional institution including storm2k.org For Official Information please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
Top
emeraldislenc
Category 2
Category 2
Posts: 559
Joined: Fri Aug 24, 2012 4:49 pm
Location: Emerald Isle NC

Re: Central Atlantic Wave

#15 Postby emeraldislenc » Sun Sep 06, 2015 11:53 am

I noticed that today.
0 likes   
Top
floridasun78
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 3755
Joined: Sun May 17, 2009 10:16 pm
Location: miami fl

Re: Central Atlantic Wave

#16 Postby floridasun78 » Sun Sep 06, 2015 9:10 pm

nice area east leedward but shear waiting for it it show signs of
organization Image
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
tailgater
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 3339
Joined: Sun Jul 11, 2004 9:13 pm
Location: St. Amant La.

Re: Central Atlantic Wave

#17 Postby tailgater » Tue Sep 08, 2015 4:08 am

Eastern Caribbean wave flaring up this morning.
Image
0 likes   
The following post is NOT an official forecast and should not be used as such. It is just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is NOT endorsed by any professional institution including storm2k.org For Official Information please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
Top
TheStormExpert

#18 Postby TheStormExpert » Tue Sep 08, 2015 7:36 am

I believe this is the wave JB has been talking about reaching the Western GoM/BoC and spawning a Tropical Cyclone on the recent Euro runs.
0 likes   
Top
Post Reply

Return to “Talkin' Tropics”

Who is online

Users browsing this forum: MarioProtVI, SconnieCane, StormWeather, Ulf and 55 guests