ATL: ERIKA - Remnants - Discussion

Moderator: S2k Moderators

Message
Author
jaxfladude
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 1249
Joined: Wed Aug 24, 2005 9:36 pm
Location: Jacksonville, Fla

#3081 Postby jaxfladude » Sat Aug 29, 2015 2:00 pm

Question, will the Thread Title(of this thread here) change, to reflect the NHC's designation change Form Erika to 90L, as well?
Sorry if grammar/question is confusing....
Last edited by jaxfladude on Sat Aug 29, 2015 2:01 pm, edited 1 time in total.
0 likes   
Stay safe y'all

BobHarlem
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 2106
Joined: Thu Oct 20, 2005 6:11 pm

Re: Re:

#3082 Postby BobHarlem » Sat Aug 29, 2015 2:00 pm

That big blob in the eastern Gulf looks more impressive than Ex-Erika now.
0 likes   

User avatar
CronkPSU
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 2014
Joined: Sun Aug 07, 2005 10:44 pm
Location: Avalon Park, FL

#3083 Postby CronkPSU » Sat Aug 29, 2015 2:00 pm

@NHC_Atlantic: Because a few folks are asking - if the remnants of Erika become a tropical cyclone again, they’d get the name Erika.
0 likes   
Just like Jon Snow..."I know nothing" except what I know, and most of what I know is gathered by the fine people of the NHC

User avatar
HurricaneBelle
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 1179
Joined: Sun Aug 27, 2006 6:12 pm
Location: Clearwater, FL

#3084 Postby HurricaneBelle » Sat Aug 29, 2015 2:01 pm

NHC has put this re-naming nonsense to bed (from their Twitter):

NHC Atlantic Ops ‏@NHC_Atlantic 25s25 seconds ago Kendall, FL

Because a few folks are asking - if the remnants of Erika become a tropical cyclone again, they’d get the name Erika.
0 likes   

User avatar
Hammy
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 5849
Age: 41
Joined: Fri May 25, 2012 5:25 pm
Contact:

Re:

#3085 Postby Hammy » Sat Aug 29, 2015 2:02 pm

CronkPSU wrote:@NHC_Atlantic: Because a few folks are asking - if the remnants of Erika become a tropical cyclone again, they’d get the name Erika.


Gotta wonder sometimes if NHC reads this board. I've even seen the discussions a few times that almost seemed to directly address debates that were occurring at the time.
0 likes   
The above post is not official and should not be used as such. It is the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is not endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.

User avatar
northjaxpro
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 8900
Joined: Mon Sep 27, 2010 11:21 am
Location: Jacksonville, FL

Re:

#3086 Postby northjaxpro » Sat Aug 29, 2015 2:04 pm

HurricaneBelle wrote:NHC has put this re-naming nonsense to bed (from their Twitter):

NHC Atlantic Ops ‏@NHC_Atlantic 25s25 seconds ago Kendall, FL

Because a few folks are asking - if the remnants of Erika become a tropical cyclone again, they’d get the name Erika.


Well, I am glad NHC tweeted out the procedure to clear the confusion. Apparently, they were getting a lot of feedback about that, so they immediately responded back to clear up any confusion.
0 likes   
NEVER, EVER SAY NEVER in the tropics and weather in general, and most importantly, with life itself!!

________________________________________________________________________________________

Fay 2008 Beryl 2012 Debby 2012 Colin 2016 Hermine 2016 Julia 2016 Matthew 2016 Irma 2017 Dorian 2019

User avatar
Evil Jeremy
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 5463
Age: 32
Joined: Mon Apr 10, 2006 2:10 pm
Location: Los Angeles, CA

Re: Re:

#3087 Postby Evil Jeremy » Sat Aug 29, 2015 2:05 pm

Hammy wrote:
CronkPSU wrote:@NHC_Atlantic: Because a few folks are asking - if the remnants of Erika become a tropical cyclone again, they’d get the name Erika.


Gotta wonder sometimes if NHC reads this board. I've even seen the discussions a few times that almost seemed to directly address debates that were occurring at the time.


Wouldn't surprise me. It doesn't get mentioned much, but I love how the NHC has taken to twitter in recent years to become more transparent, even making major announcements on Twitter. It's a refreshing development from them, and a great way to disperse news quickly.
0 likes   
Frances 04 / Jeanne 04 / Katrina 05 / Wilma 05 / Fay 08 / Debby 12 / Andrea 13 / Colin 16 / Hermine 16 / Matthew 16 / Irma 17

User avatar
northjaxpro
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 8900
Joined: Mon Sep 27, 2010 11:21 am
Location: Jacksonville, FL

Re: Re:

#3088 Postby northjaxpro » Sat Aug 29, 2015 2:06 pm

Hammy wrote:
CronkPSU wrote:@NHC_Atlantic: Because a few folks are asking - if the remnants of Erika become a tropical cyclone again, they’d get the name Erika.


Gotta wonder sometimes if NHC reads this board. I've even seen the discussions a few times that almost seemed to directly address debates that were occurring at the time.



You know Hammy, I have often wondered that myself how often they pay attention to this forum, if at all. This renumbering thing and their immediate response does make you wonder a bit if they are looking here in, as well as the obvious social media tools.
0 likes   
NEVER, EVER SAY NEVER in the tropics and weather in general, and most importantly, with life itself!!

________________________________________________________________________________________

Fay 2008 Beryl 2012 Debby 2012 Colin 2016 Hermine 2016 Julia 2016 Matthew 2016 Irma 2017 Dorian 2019

User avatar
CronkPSU
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 2014
Joined: Sun Aug 07, 2005 10:44 pm
Location: Avalon Park, FL

Re: Re:

#3089 Postby CronkPSU » Sat Aug 29, 2015 2:07 pm

northjaxpro wrote:
HurricaneBelle wrote:NHC has put this re-naming nonsense to bed (from their Twitter):

NHC Atlantic Ops ‏@NHC_Atlantic 25s25 seconds ago Kendall, FL

Because a few folks are asking - if the remnants of Erika become a tropical cyclone again, they’d get the name Erika.


Well, I am glad NHC tweeted out the procedure to clear the confusion. Apparently, they were getting a lot of feedback about that, so they immediately responded back to clear up any confusion.


I know I had just tweeted to them about it no more than a minute before, guessing a lot of others did too and social media can be a big help if done right which it seems they are
0 likes   
Just like Jon Snow..."I know nothing" except what I know, and most of what I know is gathered by the fine people of the NHC

User avatar
northjaxpro
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 8900
Joined: Mon Sep 27, 2010 11:21 am
Location: Jacksonville, FL

Re:

#3090 Postby northjaxpro » Sat Aug 29, 2015 2:17 pm

jaxfladude wrote:Question, will the Thread Title(of this thread here) change, to reflect the NHC's designation change Form Erika to 90L, as well?
Sorry if grammar/question is confusing....


I think the moderators will make a separate thread for the system now designated as 90L because along with the discussion thread, there will another thread for the new models runs intialized now with the re-numbering designation.
0 likes   
NEVER, EVER SAY NEVER in the tropics and weather in general, and most importantly, with life itself!!

________________________________________________________________________________________

Fay 2008 Beryl 2012 Debby 2012 Colin 2016 Hermine 2016 Julia 2016 Matthew 2016 Irma 2017 Dorian 2019

jlauderdal
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 7182
Joined: Wed May 19, 2004 5:46 am
Location: NE Fort Lauderdale
Contact:

Re: Re:

#3091 Postby jlauderdal » Sat Aug 29, 2015 2:25 pm

Evil Jeremy wrote:
Hammy wrote:
CronkPSU wrote:@NHC_Atlantic: Because a few folks are asking - if the remnants of Erika become a tropical cyclone again, they’d get the name Erika.


Gotta wonder sometimes if NHC reads this board. I've even seen the discussions a few times that almost seemed to directly address debates that were occurring at the time.


Wouldn't surprise me. It doesn't get mentioned much, but I love how the NHC has taken to twitter in recent years to become more transparent, even making major announcements on Twitter. It's a refreshing development from them, and a great way to disperse news quickly.


nhc is very transparent, heck they release their thoughts every 6 hours in the disco...not too many govt agencies or private sector companies release their error rates...they are top notch..will be interesting to see the post mortem and the difficulties with erika, the edge of the ridge issue is perplexing how much trouble that caused which destroyed their track, i relaize lack of intensity was no help on verifying direction

side note: gutters just had a huge workout from onshore convection, tropical downpour with 30 mph winds, 10 minute "event"
0 likes   

jaxfladude
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 1249
Joined: Wed Aug 24, 2005 9:36 pm
Location: Jacksonville, Fla

Re: Re:

#3092 Postby jaxfladude » Sat Aug 29, 2015 2:26 pm

northjaxpro wrote:
jaxfladude wrote:Question, will the Thread Title(of this thread here) change, to reflect the NHC's designation change Form Erika to 90L, as well?
Sorry if grammar/question is confusing....


I think the moderators will make a separate thread for the system now designated as 90L because along with the discussion thread, there will another thread for the new models runs intialized now with the re-numbering designation.


Personal Forecast Disclaimer:
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.

:double: This one weird and already deadly system(whatever NHC calls it), I really hope there is no bad impacts left from this system to come...
Prayers to those that have already been impacted.... :flag:

Edit to add thanks for the answer....
Last edited by jaxfladude on Sat Aug 29, 2015 2:27 pm, edited 1 time in total.
0 likes   
Stay safe y'all

User avatar
Evil Jeremy
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 5463
Age: 32
Joined: Mon Apr 10, 2006 2:10 pm
Location: Los Angeles, CA

Re: Re:

#3093 Postby Evil Jeremy » Sat Aug 29, 2015 2:27 pm

northjaxpro wrote:
jaxfladude wrote:Question, will the Thread Title(of this thread here) change, to reflect the NHC's designation change Form Erika to 90L, as well?
Sorry if grammar/question is confusing....


I think the moderators will make a separate thread for the system now designated as 90L because along with the discussion thread, there will another thread for the new models runs intialized now with the re-numbering designation.


I think new threads would cause more problems than it would solve, especially should Erika regenerate. Shouldn't have two sets of two threads for one system.
0 likes   
Frances 04 / Jeanne 04 / Katrina 05 / Wilma 05 / Fay 08 / Debby 12 / Andrea 13 / Colin 16 / Hermine 16 / Matthew 16 / Irma 17

User avatar
CalmBeforeStorm
Category 2
Category 2
Posts: 600
Age: 71
Joined: Tue Aug 10, 2004 7:55 pm
Location: Stuart, Florida

#3094 Postby CalmBeforeStorm » Sat Aug 29, 2015 2:27 pm

I see a broad turning around the SE tip of Cuba. I would suspect this was a mid level feature and wonder if something could eventually form there. It is moving much slower then the low level feature to the west which seems to have outraced the rest of the system and possibly spun out.
0 likes   

Sanibel
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 10375
Joined: Mon Aug 30, 2004 11:06 pm
Location: Offshore SW Florida

Re: ATL: ERIKA - Remnants - Discussion

#3095 Postby Sanibel » Sat Aug 29, 2015 2:27 pm

Erika's outer edge is pushing a rain band towards the island just outside my window over the Gulf.
0 likes   

User avatar
northjaxpro
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 8900
Joined: Mon Sep 27, 2010 11:21 am
Location: Jacksonville, FL

#3096 Postby northjaxpro » Sat Aug 29, 2015 2:31 pm

I think now 90L is about to make a considerable slow down in forward speed. 90L is beginning to approach the extreme western edge of the subtropcial ridge, which is just past 80 degrees longitude. The tough is now down into the North Central GOM. One way you can see that is even with this IR imagery. Look at the upper flow just beyond 80 Longitude. Yo can see the south-southwest flow easily with the movment of the upper level cirrus , and the convection moving northwest at around just past the 80 Longitude point.

I give 90L 2-3 more hours and then it will slow down as the system feels the weakness in the ridge.

Image
Last edited by northjaxpro on Sat Aug 29, 2015 2:39 pm, edited 2 times in total.
0 likes   
NEVER, EVER SAY NEVER in the tropics and weather in general, and most importantly, with life itself!!

________________________________________________________________________________________

Fay 2008 Beryl 2012 Debby 2012 Colin 2016 Hermine 2016 Julia 2016 Matthew 2016 Irma 2017 Dorian 2019

User avatar
cycloneye
Admin
Admin
Posts: 145303
Age: 68
Joined: Thu Oct 10, 2002 10:54 am
Location: San Juan, Puerto Rico

Re: ATL: INVEST 90L - ERIKA Remnants - Discussion

#3097 Postby cycloneye » Sat Aug 29, 2015 2:31 pm

ATCF has Invest 90L for ERIKA Remnants.

AL, 90, 2015082918, , BEST, 0, 224N, 775W, 35, 1012, DB
0 likes   
Visit the Caribbean-Central America Weather Thread where you can find at first post web cams,radars
and observations from Caribbean basin members Click Here

canes04
Category 1
Category 1
Posts: 302
Joined: Sat May 22, 2004 5:41 pm
Location: Miami, FL

Re: ATL: ERIKA - Remnants - Discussion

#3098 Postby canes04 » Sat Aug 29, 2015 2:32 pm

Question for the pro mets.

Is the MLC further east just on the northeast tip of Cuba?

By the way, I'm a long time lurker and check in as much as possible.

Thanks for all the information you guys have provided over the years!!
0 likes   

User avatar
northjaxpro
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 8900
Joined: Mon Sep 27, 2010 11:21 am
Location: Jacksonville, FL

Re: Re:

#3099 Postby northjaxpro » Sat Aug 29, 2015 2:35 pm

Evil Jeremy wrote:
northjaxpro wrote:
jaxfladude wrote:Question, will the Thread Title(of this thread here) change, to reflect the NHC's designation change Form Erika to 90L, as well?
Sorry if grammar/question is confusing....


I think the moderators will make a separate thread for the system now designated as 90L because along with the discussion thread, there will another thread for the new models runs intialized now with the re-numbering designation.


I think new threads would cause more problems than it would solve, especially should Erika regenerate. Shouldn't have two sets of two threads for one system.



Well, you make a good point Jeremy. But, that decision will rest with cycloneye, tolaram and the other moderators to see how they will execute this going forward.
0 likes   
NEVER, EVER SAY NEVER in the tropics and weather in general, and most importantly, with life itself!!

________________________________________________________________________________________

Fay 2008 Beryl 2012 Debby 2012 Colin 2016 Hermine 2016 Julia 2016 Matthew 2016 Irma 2017 Dorian 2019

User avatar
tropicwatch
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 3383
Age: 61
Joined: Sat Jun 02, 2007 10:01 am
Location: Panama City Florida
Contact:

#3100 Postby tropicwatch » Sat Aug 29, 2015 2:40 pm

:uarrow: Q Question answered.

Thread ATL: INVEST 90L - ERIKA Remnants - Discussion
0 likes   
Tropicwatch


Agnes 72', Eloise 75, Elena 85', Kate 85', Charley 86', Florence 88', Beryl 94', Dean 95', Erin 95', Opal 95', Earl 98', Georges 98', Ivan 2004', Arlene 2005', Dennis 2005', Ida 2009' Debby 2012' Irma 2017' Michael 2018'


Return to “2015”

Who is online

Users browsing this forum: No registered users and 8 guests