ATL: ERIKA - Remnants - Discussion

[northjaxpro]

That mid-level ciirculation is moving northwest. It won't be long until it moves back over water .

[tailgater]

Don't let that image fool you it's not moving NW, look at the entire loop image

[Evil Jeremy]

So if we are to track the MLC moving forward, it's currently tracking along the northern edge of the NHC cone.

[blp]

I wonder if the mountains are enhancing the lift on this thunderstorms. Either way it shows the movement of quite clearly.

[HurriGuy]

I'm still going to follow the convection.

[drezee]

The IR resembles a squall line. I wish we had visible...I would be looking for an outflow boundary to the SW...

[hurricanekid416]

How long before this is over water again?

[ozonepete]

What altitude is that circulation at?

Hi Craze,
I have to go look it up but I believe it is roughly from 700 mb up to about 300 or 400 mb or about 10,00 to 25,000 feet.

[ozonepete]

So if we are to track the MLC moving forward, it's currently tracking along the northern edge of the NHC cone.

Right now, from the mv sats, yup.

[CalmBeforeStorm]

I'm still going to follow the convection.

And the convection has a strong northern component also.

[Jevo]

Wow.. Someone at CIMSS is on the ball to follow that feature for the last 24 hours.. We've been looking at swirls all day, and they've been locked in.



Also whatever that feature is has nudged North of West in the last few hours

[drewschmaltz]

Here is the 24 hour loop.

http://tropic.ssec.wisc.edu/real-time/mimic-tc/2015_05L/webManager/last24hrs.gif

Hispanola somehow turned on the lights there. Almost nothing until it reaches the coast. Also, the flare up and NW movement come at the same time... is it possible it gained altitude and caught sail?

[Hammy]

This is one of the strangest systems I've tracked to date, that much I can say. It's like watching a really bad sports match but you keep getting drawn back.

There was a bit of a swirl SE of Jamaica earlier today, I think that might be in play as far as nudging it a bit to the northwest. MLC looking better than it has for awhile, even if over land (and even if mountain-induced.)

Whatever there is to this is also coming back into radar range, this time in eastern Cuba.
http://www.met.inf.cu/asp/genesis.asp?TB0=PLANTILLAS&TB1=RADAR&TB2=../Radar/06Gran%20Piedra/gpdMAXw01a.gif

[ozonepete]

Don't let that image fool you it's not moving NW, look at the entire loop image

You are right. It's not NW. It's WNW.

[tatertawt24]

I'll admit, the microwave is a bit of a head-scratcher... I don't see how it's possible that it's an eyewall forming though. Is it possible?

[Evil Jeremy]

Wow.. Someone at CIMSS is on the ball to follow that feature for the last 24 hours.. We've been looking at swirls all day, and they've been locked in.

http://tropic.ssec.wisc.edu/real-time/m ... t24hrs.gif

Also whatever that feature is has nudged North of West in the last few hours

Turned on a dime.

[alienstorm]

Once thing to note Port-au-Prince is reporting wnw winds showing that the LLC is just north or north northeast of there. Interesting developments

[blp]

Very nice conditions in the Bahamas. Could get interesting.

[ozonepete]

Once thing to note Port-au-Prince is reporting wnw winds showing that the LLC is just north or north northeast of there. Interesting developments

There you go. If you are correct (I didn't check that station yet) this is some first surface evidence that an LLC may be forming under the MLC and a wnw jog is commencing.

[hurricanedude]

could the gfdl have been right all along?