ATL: 90L - ERIKA Remnants - Models

Moderator: S2k Moderators

Message
Author
tolakram
Admin
Admin
Posts: 20009
Age: 62
Joined: Sun Aug 27, 2006 8:23 pm
Location: Florence, KY (name is Mark)

Re: ATL: ERIKA - Models

#1841 Postby tolakram » Thu Aug 27, 2015 10:52 am

Image
0 likes   
M a r k
- - - - -
Join us in chat: Storm2K Chatroom Invite. Android and IOS apps also available.

The posts in this forum are NOT official forecasts and should not be used as such. Posts are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or STORM2K.org. For official information and forecasts, please refer to NHC and NWS products.

Dean4Storms
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 6358
Age: 62
Joined: Sun Aug 31, 2003 1:01 pm
Location: Miramar Bch. FL

Re: ATL: ERIKA - Models

#1842 Postby Dean4Storms » Thu Aug 27, 2015 10:52 am

[quote="tolakram"]I'll put $20 on west coast this run. :D


It's very weak there so a track over into the Eastern Gulf might be in play!
0 likes   

tolakram
Admin
Admin
Posts: 20009
Age: 62
Joined: Sun Aug 27, 2006 8:23 pm
Location: Florence, KY (name is Mark)

Re: ATL: ERIKA - Models

#1843 Postby tolakram » Thu Aug 27, 2015 10:52 am

Nope, taking the turn, lost my bet.
0 likes   
M a r k
- - - - -
Join us in chat: Storm2K Chatroom Invite. Android and IOS apps also available.

The posts in this forum are NOT official forecasts and should not be used as such. Posts are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or STORM2K.org. For official information and forecasts, please refer to NHC and NWS products.

User avatar
N2FSU
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 1062
Joined: Thu Sep 04, 2003 2:04 pm
Location: Tallahassee, FL

Re: ATL: ERIKA - Models

#1844 Postby N2FSU » Thu Aug 27, 2015 10:53 am

+66hr

Image
0 likes   

tolakram
Admin
Admin
Posts: 20009
Age: 62
Joined: Sun Aug 27, 2006 8:23 pm
Location: Florence, KY (name is Mark)

Re: ATL: ERIKA - Models

#1845 Postby tolakram » Thu Aug 27, 2015 10:53 am

Big difference from the instant maps.

Image
0 likes   
M a r k
- - - - -
Join us in chat: Storm2K Chatroom Invite. Android and IOS apps also available.

The posts in this forum are NOT official forecasts and should not be used as such. Posts are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or STORM2K.org. For official information and forecasts, please refer to NHC and NWS products.

User avatar
SouthFLTropics
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 4236
Age: 50
Joined: Thu Aug 14, 2003 8:04 am
Location: Port St. Lucie, Florida

Re: ATL: ERIKA - Models

#1846 Postby SouthFLTropics » Thu Aug 27, 2015 10:54 am

Yes, the full resolution gives a much clearer picture...Gonna be a close one again.

SFT
0 likes   
Fourth Generation Florida Native

Personal Storm History: David 79, Andrew 92, Erin 95, Floyd 99, Irene 99, Frances 04, Jeanne 04, Wilma 05, Matthew 16, Irma 17, Ian 22, Nicole 22, Milton 24

stormlover2013

Re: ATL: ERIKA - Models

#1847 Postby stormlover2013 » Thu Aug 27, 2015 10:55 am

ridge looks stronger in the 60 hour range
0 likes   

tolakram
Admin
Admin
Posts: 20009
Age: 62
Joined: Sun Aug 27, 2006 8:23 pm
Location: Florence, KY (name is Mark)

Re: ATL: ERIKA - Models

#1848 Postby tolakram » Thu Aug 27, 2015 10:55 am

Even the TT lower resolution is different. I think Instant might have an error in the terrain placement.
0 likes   
M a r k
- - - - -
Join us in chat: Storm2K Chatroom Invite. Android and IOS apps also available.

The posts in this forum are NOT official forecasts and should not be used as such. Posts are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or STORM2K.org. For official information and forecasts, please refer to NHC and NWS products.

tolakram
Admin
Admin
Posts: 20009
Age: 62
Joined: Sun Aug 27, 2006 8:23 pm
Location: Florence, KY (name is Mark)

Re: ATL: ERIKA - Models

#1849 Postby tolakram » Thu Aug 27, 2015 10:56 am

Image
0 likes   
M a r k
- - - - -
Join us in chat: Storm2K Chatroom Invite. Android and IOS apps also available.

The posts in this forum are NOT official forecasts and should not be used as such. Posts are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or STORM2K.org. For official information and forecasts, please refer to NHC and NWS products.

User avatar
Hurricane Cheese
Category 1
Category 1
Posts: 364
Joined: Thu Aug 12, 2004 12:40 am
Location: Green Bay, WI (UWGB Earth Science Alum)

Re: ATL: ERIKA - Models

#1850 Postby Hurricane Cheese » Thu Aug 27, 2015 10:57 am

I have to say, I'm more interested with the intensity forecast on the model runs now than where it's going to be....how will Hispanola affect it is the $64,0000 question.
0 likes   
"If we are afraid to be different...how can we make a difference in the world?"

- Rev. John I. Jenkins C.S.C, President, University of Notre Dame

tolakram
Admin
Admin
Posts: 20009
Age: 62
Joined: Sun Aug 27, 2006 8:23 pm
Location: Florence, KY (name is Mark)

Re: ATL: ERIKA - Models

#1851 Postby tolakram » Thu Aug 27, 2015 10:57 am

Image
0 likes   
M a r k
- - - - -
Join us in chat: Storm2K Chatroom Invite. Android and IOS apps also available.

The posts in this forum are NOT official forecasts and should not be used as such. Posts are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or STORM2K.org. For official information and forecasts, please refer to NHC and NWS products.

User avatar
ronjon
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 4822
Joined: Fri Aug 19, 2005 5:17 pm
Location: Hernando Beach, FL

Re: ATL: ERIKA - Models

#1852 Postby ronjon » Thu Aug 27, 2015 10:57 am

South of Andros - hard to stay off the FL east coast now.
0 likes   

tolakram
Admin
Admin
Posts: 20009
Age: 62
Joined: Sun Aug 27, 2006 8:23 pm
Location: Florence, KY (name is Mark)

Re: ATL: ERIKA - Models

#1853 Postby tolakram » Thu Aug 27, 2015 10:58 am

Image
0 likes   
M a r k
- - - - -
Join us in chat: Storm2K Chatroom Invite. Android and IOS apps also available.

The posts in this forum are NOT official forecasts and should not be used as such. Posts are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or STORM2K.org. For official information and forecasts, please refer to NHC and NWS products.

Dean4Storms
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 6358
Age: 62
Joined: Sun Aug 31, 2003 1:01 pm
Location: Miramar Bch. FL

#1854 Postby Dean4Storms » Thu Aug 27, 2015 10:59 am

I just can't see a weaker sheared and torn apart by Hispaniola system climbing against a ridge!
0 likes   

tolakram
Admin
Admin
Posts: 20009
Age: 62
Joined: Sun Aug 27, 2006 8:23 pm
Location: Florence, KY (name is Mark)

Re: ATL: ERIKA - Models

#1855 Postby tolakram » Thu Aug 27, 2015 10:59 am

Image
0 likes   
M a r k
- - - - -
Join us in chat: Storm2K Chatroom Invite. Android and IOS apps also available.

The posts in this forum are NOT official forecasts and should not be used as such. Posts are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or STORM2K.org. For official information and forecasts, please refer to NHC and NWS products.

User avatar
Hurricane Cheese
Category 1
Category 1
Posts: 364
Joined: Thu Aug 12, 2004 12:40 am
Location: Green Bay, WI (UWGB Earth Science Alum)

Re: ATL: ERIKA - Models

#1856 Postby Hurricane Cheese » Thu Aug 27, 2015 11:00 am

Weaker system could be GOM bound correct??
0 likes   
"If we are afraid to be different...how can we make a difference in the world?"

- Rev. John I. Jenkins C.S.C, President, University of Notre Dame

User avatar
SouthFLTropics
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 4236
Age: 50
Joined: Thu Aug 14, 2003 8:04 am
Location: Port St. Lucie, Florida

Re: ATL: ERIKA - Models

#1857 Postby SouthFLTropics » Thu Aug 27, 2015 11:00 am

Looks like it's going to be a coastal rider or maybe up the spine. With that said, if this center adjustment doesn't start to resolve we may see the GOM come back in to play on subsequent runs.

SFT
0 likes   
Fourth Generation Florida Native

Personal Storm History: David 79, Andrew 92, Erin 95, Floyd 99, Irene 99, Frances 04, Jeanne 04, Wilma 05, Matthew 16, Irma 17, Ian 22, Nicole 22, Milton 24

User avatar
PTrackerLA
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 5277
Age: 41
Joined: Thu Oct 10, 2002 8:40 pm
Location: Lafayette, LA

#1858 Postby PTrackerLA » Thu Aug 27, 2015 11:00 am

Looks like south Florida this run.
0 likes   

User avatar
deltadog03
Professional-Met
Professional-Met
Posts: 3580
Joined: Tue Jul 05, 2005 6:16 pm
Location: Macon, GA

#1859 Postby deltadog03 » Thu Aug 27, 2015 11:01 am

Heading close to West Palm Beach on this run. Its weak though. HR96
0 likes   

tolakram
Admin
Admin
Posts: 20009
Age: 62
Joined: Sun Aug 27, 2006 8:23 pm
Location: Florence, KY (name is Mark)

Re: ATL: ERIKA - Models

#1860 Postby tolakram » Thu Aug 27, 2015 11:01 am

Image
0 likes   
M a r k
- - - - -
Join us in chat: Storm2K Chatroom Invite. Android and IOS apps also available.

The posts in this forum are NOT official forecasts and should not be used as such. Posts are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or STORM2K.org. For official information and forecasts, please refer to NHC and NWS products.


Return to “2015”

Who is online

Users browsing this forum: No registered users and 3 guests