AJC3 wrote:Hammy wrote:Radar seems to confirm the circulation is currently closed, with all rain elements directly south of the center going (albeit slowly) to the east.
Actually, radar pretty much confirms the opposite. There's a vigorous vort center east of Dominica, but it's at the cusp of an open wave. Look at the motion of the cells to it's NW and W. There is nothing in that quadrant that's moving NW to SE, which could indicate a closed ground relative wind circulation.
Recon appears to confirm it's closed back up, large area of 5-10kt westerly winds (and a few a bit stronger) which is quite a change from six hours ago, with zero westerly winds. Likely down to a TD at the moment though.