ATL: DANNY - Remnants - Discussion

Moderator: S2k Moderators

Message
Author
floridasun78
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 3755
Joined: Sun May 17, 2009 10:16 pm
Location: miami fl

Re: ATL: DANNY - Tropical Storm- Discussion

#1661 Postby floridasun78 » Sun Aug 23, 2015 12:34 pm

i like this site because the post people post here some say we see danny make it other say it going become tropical wave i cannot leave site because post people put it back and forward let see what happen the way i go
0 likes   

floridasun78
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 3755
Joined: Sun May 17, 2009 10:16 pm
Location: miami fl

#1662 Postby floridasun78 » Sun Aug 23, 2015 12:38 pm

soon wx going post it tropical wave put Star Trek(( jim it dead )) let look east my friend to 98l
0 likes   

User avatar
NDG
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 15446
Joined: Sun Jul 09, 2006 10:14 pm
Location: Orlando, FL

Re: ATL: DANNY - Tropical Storm- Discussion

#1663 Postby NDG » Sun Aug 23, 2015 12:40 pm

Image
0 likes   

User avatar
Gustywind
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 12334
Joined: Mon Sep 03, 2007 7:29 am
Location: Baie-Mahault, GUADELOUPE

Re: ATL: DANNY - Tropical Storm- Discussion

#1664 Postby Gustywind » Sun Aug 23, 2015 12:42 pm

msbee wrote:St Maarten is 18.1 63.1. Trying to figure out if Danny is going to come close enough to give us some rain?
Any guesses?

We will see Barbara :) Let's hope that the northern part of Danny could bring nice showers. Keeping our fingers crossed. If Danny could be a rain event most of the EC will be glad for sure. Interresting hours ahead.
0 likes   

floridasun78
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 3755
Joined: Sun May 17, 2009 10:16 pm
Location: miami fl

Re: ATL: DANNY - Tropical Storm- Discussion

#1665 Postby floridasun78 » Sun Aug 23, 2015 12:42 pm

what we looking at? with DANNY
0 likes   

NCSTORMMAN

Re: ATL: DANNY - Tropical Storm- Discussion

#1666 Postby NCSTORMMAN » Sun Aug 23, 2015 12:44 pm

His naked self to the southwest side.
0 likes   

User avatar
Gustywind
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 12334
Joined: Mon Sep 03, 2007 7:29 am
Location: Baie-Mahault, GUADELOUPE

#1667 Postby Gustywind » Sun Aug 23, 2015 12:47 pm

BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM DANNY INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 21A
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL042015
200 PM AST SUN AUG 23 2015

...DANNY HEADED FOR THE LEEWARD ISLANDS...


SUMMARY OF 200 PM AST...1800 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...15.8N 58.1W
ABOUT 215 MI...345 KM E OF GUADELOUPE
ABOUT 260 MI...420 KM ESE OF ANTIGUA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...50 MPH...85 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 270 DEGREES AT 15 MPH...24 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1004 MB...29.65 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

None.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for...
* Antigua, Barbuda, Montserrat, St. Kitts, Nevis, and Anguilla

A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for...
* Saba and St. Eustatius
* St. Maarten
* Puerto Rico
* Vieques
* Culebra
* U.S. Virgin Islands
0 likes   

User avatar
northjaxpro
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 8900
Joined: Mon Sep 27, 2010 11:21 am
Location: Jacksonville, FL

#1668 Postby northjaxpro » Sun Aug 23, 2015 12:54 pm

Nice image you posted NDG. Danny's exposed LLC in full view. Still although exposed, it is a vigorous LLC .
0 likes   
NEVER, EVER SAY NEVER in the tropics and weather in general, and most importantly, with life itself!!

________________________________________________________________________________________

Fay 2008 Beryl 2012 Debby 2012 Colin 2016 Hermine 2016 Julia 2016 Matthew 2016 Irma 2017 Dorian 2019

User avatar
NDG
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 15446
Joined: Sun Jul 09, 2006 10:14 pm
Location: Orlando, FL

Re: ATL: DANNY - Tropical Storm- Discussion

#1669 Postby NDG » Sun Aug 23, 2015 12:54 pm

HurriGuy wrote:Station 41300 moments before Danny passed over it. Nothing too impressive on the west side. 40 minutes till the next measurement and that will likely be on the east side.


Too bad there is no report of it from 16z which is when Danny was closer to the buoy.
0 likes   

floridasun78
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 3755
Joined: Sun May 17, 2009 10:16 pm
Location: miami fl

#1670 Postby floridasun78 » Sun Aug 23, 2015 12:59 pm

0 likes   

TheStormExpert

#1671 Postby TheStormExpert » Sun Aug 23, 2015 1:01 pm

New Video Discussion By Tropical Tidbits Levi Cowan.

@TropicalTidbits: Weekend video update on #Danny, Invest 98L, and #Kilo: http://t.co/Ql9chnB89v
0 likes   

User avatar
Nimbus
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 5300
Joined: Mon Jul 19, 2004 10:54 am

Re: ATL: DANNY - Tropical Storm- Discussion

#1672 Postby Nimbus » Sun Aug 23, 2015 1:03 pm

Racing west it will find a lot more shear in the Caribbean, the models that were forecasting rapid intensification tracked north of the islands.
0 likes   

tolakram
Admin
Admin
Posts: 20009
Age: 62
Joined: Sun Aug 27, 2006 8:23 pm
Location: Florence, KY (name is Mark)

Re: ATL: DANNY - Tropical Storm- Discussion

#1673 Postby tolakram » Sun Aug 23, 2015 1:05 pm

0 likes   
M a r k
- - - - -
Join us in chat: Storm2K Chatroom Invite. Android and IOS apps also available.

The posts in this forum are NOT official forecasts and should not be used as such. Posts are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or STORM2K.org. For official information and forecasts, please refer to NHC and NWS products.

xironman
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 2522
Joined: Sun Jun 10, 2007 4:53 pm
Location: NoVA

Re: ATL: DANNY - Tropical Storm- Discussion

#1674 Postby xironman » Sun Aug 23, 2015 1:07 pm

Danny held out well for a while, but that llc better develop some convection or he is going to be a goner.
0 likes   

User avatar
Ntxw
Storm2k Moderator
Storm2k Moderator
Posts: 22784
Joined: Wed Oct 21, 2009 6:34 pm
Location: DFW, Texas

#1675 Postby Ntxw » Sun Aug 23, 2015 1:07 pm

Public indecency :darrow:. He's going one way, his convection wants to go another. He had a great run though, one of the bigger surprises of the past few years.

Image
0 likes   
The above post and any post by Ntxw is NOT an official forecast and should not be used as such. It is just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is NOT endorsed by any professional institution including Storm2k. For official information, please refer to NWS products.

  Help support Storm2K!
Help Support Storm2K

User avatar
AJC3
Admin
Admin
Posts: 3999
Age: 61
Joined: Tue Aug 31, 2004 7:04 pm
Location: Ballston Spa, New York
Contact:

Re: ATL: DANNY - Tropical Storm- Discussion

#1676 Postby AJC3 » Sun Aug 23, 2015 1:14 pm

Even though Danny still has a low level vortex (which is becoming more diffuse) , it probably doesn't have a closed ground-relative low level wind center anymore, or if it still has one, it's tiny. You probably won't see any of the METAR sites in the NE Caribbrean switch around to NW as Danny's vortex passes.

I'm sure the system will be maintained well into tonight, given the T.S. watches and warning up, which is prudent, because of the strong winds still ongoing on the north and east sides of the low level vortex.
0 likes   

xironman
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 2522
Joined: Sun Jun 10, 2007 4:53 pm
Location: NoVA

#1677 Postby xironman » Sun Aug 23, 2015 1:14 pm

Is the dew point really 68 at 41300? Must be a bad sensor.
0 likes   

User avatar
tropicwatch
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 3383
Age: 61
Joined: Sat Jun 02, 2007 10:01 am
Location: Panama City Florida
Contact:

#1678 Postby tropicwatch » Sun Aug 23, 2015 1:24 pm

Current Reporting from that station

Station 41300
Meteo France
Location: 15.850N 57.467W
Date: Sun, 23 Aug 2015 18:00:00 UTC

Winds: S (170°) at 28.0 kt
Significant Wave Height: 8.2 ft
Dominant Wave Period: 7 sec
Atmospheric Pressure: 29.75 in and falling rapidly
Air Temperature: 77.2 F
Dew Point: 67.8 F
Water Temperature: 82.4 F
0 likes   
Tropicwatch


Agnes 72', Eloise 75, Elena 85', Kate 85', Charley 86', Florence 88', Beryl 94', Dean 95', Erin 95', Opal 95', Earl 98', Georges 98', Ivan 2004', Arlene 2005', Dennis 2005', Ida 2009' Debby 2012' Irma 2017' Michael 2018'

xironman
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 2522
Joined: Sun Jun 10, 2007 4:53 pm
Location: NoVA

Re: ATL: DANNY - Tropical Storm- Discussion

#1679 Postby xironman » Sun Aug 23, 2015 1:29 pm

I was wondering if he could make it to some moister air and pop new convection during dmax, but that dew point seemed really low for the area

Image
0 likes   

User avatar
tailgater
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 3339
Joined: Sun Jul 11, 2004 9:13 pm
Location: St. Amant La.

Re: ATL: DANNY - Tropical Storm- Discussion

#1680 Postby tailgater » Sun Aug 23, 2015 1:31 pm

close up
Image
0 likes   
The following post is NOT an official forecast and should not be used as such. It is just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is NOT endorsed by any professional institution including storm2k.org For Official Information please refer to the NHC and NWS products.


Return to “2015”

Who is online

Users browsing this forum: No registered users and 3 guests