ATL: DANNY - Remnants - Discussion

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floridasun78
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Re: Re:

#1541 Postby floridasun78 » Sat Aug 22, 2015 10:06 pm

AutoPenalti wrote:
panamatropicwatch wrote:Putting up one hell of a fight.

Image

This goes for anyone who are down in life, if this storm can go through shear and dry air and still generate convection, you can do anything in life.

This storm is motivational. :lol:

best post of night award :wink:
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#1542 Postby NCSTORMMAN » Sat Aug 22, 2015 10:18 pm

Ole Danny boy the shear the shear is calling....
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#1543 Postby tropicwatch » Sat Aug 22, 2015 10:25 pm

Convection continues to expand. Impressive!

Image
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Re:

#1544 Postby Bocadude85 » Sat Aug 22, 2015 10:43 pm

panamatropicwatch wrote:Convection continues to expand. Impressive!

Image


Danny is putting up a good fight. These bursts of deep convection should help keep the circulation going.
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Re: ATL: DANNY - Tropical Storm- Discussion

#1545 Postby Sanibel » Sat Aug 22, 2015 10:51 pm

Re-burst. Might be reacting to SST's.
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Re: ATL: DANNY - Tropical Storm- Discussion

#1546 Postby wxman57 » Sat Aug 22, 2015 11:57 pm

I believe that the center remains exposed to the west of the convection. It will be hard for Danny to maintain its circulation without convection over the center.
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Re: ATL: DANNY - Tropical Storm- Discussion

#1547 Postby WilmingtonSandbar » Sun Aug 23, 2015 12:00 am

Should Danny be renamed to Rocky?
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Diana X2 (look it up), Bertha, Fran, Bonnie, Floyd, Dennis, Charley, Ophelia, Ernesto, Irene, Matthew, And Florence

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Re: ATL: DANNY - Tropical Storm- Discussion

#1548 Postby txwatcher91 » Sun Aug 23, 2015 1:14 am

wxman57 wrote:I believe that the center remains exposed to the west of the convection. It will be hard for Danny to maintain its circulation without convection over the center.


Center is not west of convection but mostly south and southwest of it. Shortwave IR does a great job picking out LLC's at night, almost as good as visible during the day. You can clearly see the LLC under the southern side of the convection mostly exposed which makes sense with 20-30kts of SSW shear.

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Re: ATL: DANNY - Tropical Storm- Discussion

#1549 Postby N2FSU » Sun Aug 23, 2015 4:53 am

Looks like Danny hung tough overnight.

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Re: ATL: DANNY - Tropical Storm- Discussion

#1550 Postby Nimbus » Sun Aug 23, 2015 5:29 am

Recon found lowest surface pressure was 1002 mb with the center exposed earlier.
Latest convective burst probably brought that down a little but still plenty of dry air to keep him in check for a while.
The recent model runs are a little further south with more land interaction which would further inhibit any chances he had for reintensification later.
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#1551 Postby Gustywind » Sun Aug 23, 2015 6:03 am

ZCZC MIATCPAT4 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM

BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM DANNY ADVISORY NUMBER 20
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL042015
500 AM AST SUN AUG 23 2015

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING ISSUED FOR PORTIONS OF THE LEEWARD
ISLANDS...


SUMMARY OF 500 AM AST...0900 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...15.8N 56.0W
ABOUT 360 MI...580 KM E OF GUADELOUPE
ABOUT 395 MI...635 KM ESE OF ANTIGUA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...50 MPH...85 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 275 DEGREES AT 15 MPH...24 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1001 MB...29.56 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

The Meteorological Service of Antigua has issued a Tropical Storm
Warning for Antigua, Barbuda, Montserrat, St. Kitts, Nevis, and
Anguilla.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for...
* Antigua, Barbuda, Montserrat, St. Kitts, Nevis, and Anguilla

A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for...
* Saba and St. Eustatius
* St. Maarten
* Guadeloupe, St. Barthelemy, and St. Martin

A Tropical Storm Watch means that tropical storm conditions are
possible within the watch area, in this case within 36 to 48 hours.

Interests elsewhere in the U. S. and British Virgin Islands, Puerto
Rico, and the Dominican Republic should monitor the progress of
Danny. Additional watches or warnings could be required for
portions of these areas later this morning.

For storm information specific to your area in the United
States, including possible inland watches and warnings, please
monitor products issued by your local National Weather Service
forecast office. For storm information specific to your area outside
the United States, please monitor products issued by your national
meteorological service.
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Re: ATL: DANNY - Tropical Storm- Discussion

#1552 Postby OURAGAN » Sun Aug 23, 2015 6:09 am

Latest position by airplaine, more South 15,34N / 56,08W
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Re: ATL: DANNY - Tropical Storm- Discussion

#1553 Postby Gustywind » Sun Aug 23, 2015 6:14 am

OURAGAN wrote:Latest position by airplaine, more South 15,34N / 56,08W

Thanks for this info. Could you give us that link to share this important info please.
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Re: ATL: DANNY - Tropical Storm- Discussion

#1554 Postby OURAGAN » Sun Aug 23, 2015 6:19 am

Wind shear is decreasing a little bit, convection is increasing
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Re: ATL: DANNY - Tropical Storm- Discussion

#1555 Postby OURAGAN » Sun Aug 23, 2015 6:22 am

On Google, the adress is Atlantic wind shear tendency
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Re: ATL: DANNY - Tropical Storm- Discussion

#1556 Postby Gustywind » Sun Aug 23, 2015 6:24 am

OURAGAN wrote:On Google, the adress is Atlantic wind shear tendency

do you have the link, post that link thanks :)
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Re: ATL: DANNY - Tropical Storm- Discussion

#1557 Postby OURAGAN » Sun Aug 23, 2015 6:25 am

You Have to go at Danny recon.
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Re: ATL: DANNY - Tropical Storm- Discussion

#1558 Postby Gustywind » Sun Aug 23, 2015 6:39 am

OURAGAN wrote:You Have to go at Danny recon.

Thanks. This is important because of this could have big implications in terms of possible impacts near the Leewards.
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Re: ATL: DANNY - Tropical Storm- Discussion

#1559 Postby OURAGAN » Sun Aug 23, 2015 6:42 am

I am the feeling is for us in Guadeloupe, the path forecast is more South
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Re: ATL: DANNY - Tropical Storm- Discussion

#1560 Postby OURAGAN » Sun Aug 23, 2015 6:44 am

I Have the feeling
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