Weak low in NE Gulf of Mexico: (Is Invest 95L)

hurricanedude · #581 Postby **hurricanedude** » Sun Aug 02, 2015 4:26 pm

so when could it possibly affect the Outer Banks if it were to do so?

NCSTORMMAN · #582 Postby **NCSTORMMAN** » Sun Aug 02, 2015 4:29 pm

I am wondering how long it can drift southward like it is now.

#583 Postby **NDG** » Sun Aug 02, 2015 4:31 pm

Keeps getting better and better.

#584 Postby **NDG** » Sun Aug 02, 2015 4:36 pm

Check out some of the webcams from Pinellas County Beaches.

http://www.baynews9.com/Sky9Cam.html?8

hurricanedude · #585 Postby **hurricanedude** » Sun Aug 02, 2015 4:37 pm

Cant they issue a Special Outlook instead of waiting until 8

#586 Postby **northjaxpro** » Sun Aug 02, 2015 4:38 pm

Yeah, those winds have to be gusting into the 30mph + range looking at those tree tops in that webcam.

caneman · #587 Postby **caneman** » Sun Aug 02, 2015 4:41 pm

Holy cow lpoking at the web cams, One of my fave beaches. Madeira beach is about wiped out.

caneman · #588 Postby **caneman** » Sun Aug 02, 2015 4:41 pm

Theyve been up to 40 sustained.

#589 Postby **psyclone** » Sun Aug 02, 2015 4:43 pm

The beach @ honeymoon is submerged/washed away. One of the boardwalks to the beach just drops off about 3 feet. There is some serious sand lurching around on our coast. It is impressive. I'm back home now but still covered in salt. This gradient wind escalated quickly today and without warning but it makes perfect sense since our low has become an overachiever.

#590 Postby **northjaxpro** » Sun Aug 02, 2015 4:44 pm

Another thing to point out how the Low is getting its act together is that it is beginning to get moist on the outer periphery of the system. Earlier today, there was no convection to the west and northwest of the circulation. Looking at the radar currently, you can see a band spiraling down out of SW GA south to the west of Tallahassee southward to the coast feeding into the circulation.

NCSTORMMAN · #591 Postby **NCSTORMMAN** » Sun Aug 02, 2015 4:45 pm

Should not be moving south much longer though correct?

caneman · #592 Postby **caneman** » Sun Aug 02, 2015 4:45 pm

Thank the Lord this a test run. Any storm moving from a westerly direction is bad for us. If and when ever get another high end storm.. you can see from just this that a low end hurricane would decimate this are moving that direction. By the way.look at the flooding from the tarpon springs web cam.

#593 Postby **psyclone** » Sun Aug 02, 2015 4:51 pm

High rivers are being met by high tides at the coast. Water water everywhere.

TheStormExpert · #594 Postby **TheStormExpert** » Sun Aug 02, 2015 4:51 pm

Wow! This board has really lit up like a Christmas tree! :lol:

#595 Postby **northjaxpro** » Sun Aug 02, 2015 4:58 pm

If you look at JAX and Tallahassee radar composites, check out the rather impressive convective band on the southern side of the circulation center. The most impressive band seen to this point. This system just keeps on looking better and better. Also, the last couple of frames on radar loop showed more of a due south drift in my estimation.

#596 Postby **NDG** » Sun Aug 02, 2015 5:07 pm

psyclone wrote:The beach @ honeymoon is submerged/washed away. One of the boardwalks to the beach just drops off about 3 feet. There is some serious sand lurching around on our coast. It is impressive. I'm back home now but still covered in salt. This gradient wind escalated quickly today and without warning but it makes perfect sense since our low has become an overachiever.

I hope no boaters got caught offguard this afternoon.

tropicwatch · #597 Postby **tropicwatch** » Sun Aug 02, 2015 5:07 pm

caneman wrote:Thank the Lord this a test run. Any storm moving from a westerly direction is bad for us. If and when ever get another high end storm.. you can see from just this that a low end hurricane would decimate this are moving that direction. By the way.look at the flooding from the tarpon springs web cam.

Do you have the link?

#598 Postby **NDG** » Sun Aug 02, 2015 5:09 pm

NCSTORMMAN wrote:Should not be moving south much longer though correct?

Yeah, the models keep insisting that the low will eventually move NE, the longer it stays over the water the higher the chances it will continue to organize.

NCSTORMMAN · #599 Postby **NCSTORMMAN** » Sun Aug 02, 2015 5:11 pm

NDG wrote:
NCSTORMMAN wrote:Should not be moving south much longer though correct?

Yeah, the models keep insisting that the low will eventually move NE, the longer it stays over the water the higher the chances it will continue to organize.

My thing is what is going to move it Northeast? Steering winds are weak and most of the maps show southward movement as far as I can tell (unprofessional computer programmer thinking) lol. I am no weatherman but not seeing what picks it up.

#600 Postby **psyclone** » Sun Aug 02, 2015 5:13 pm

NDG wrote:
psyclone wrote:The beach @ honeymoon is submerged/washed away. One of the boardwalks to the beach just drops off about 3 feet. There is some serious sand lurching around on our coast. It is impressive. I'm back home now but still covered in salt. This gradient wind escalated quickly today and without warning but it makes perfect sense since our low has become an overachiever.

I hope no boaters got caught offguard this afternoon.

For sure. We didn't even have a small craft advisory south of Tarpon until recently. It is perilous out there.

Weak low in NE Gulf of Mexico: (Is Invest 95L)

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