ATL: BILL - Post-Tropical

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ROCK
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#521 Postby ROCK » Mon Jun 15, 2015 7:23 pm

Extratropical94 wrote:AL, 91, 2015061600, , BEST, 0, 268N, 939W, 45, 1005, DB

I just saw obs of 1002.4mb
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#522 Postby Extratropical94 » Mon Jun 15, 2015 7:23 pm

001600 2713N 09413W 9700 00281 0016 +235 +229 055012 018 025 004 00
001630 2713N 09411W 9701 00278 0013 +239 +226 178001 007 022 001 00

Come on. What else do you need?
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Re: Re:

#523 Postby Nederlander » Mon Jun 15, 2015 7:24 pm

Tireman4 wrote:
opticsguy wrote:Not a conspiracy theorist, but maybe Jade Helm has something to do with this.


There has to be some SERIOUS arguments going on in that room. My gracious....I wonder if they are picking straws as to what to do ( I kid..I think)


I would bet money that you are dead on..
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Re: ATL: INVEST 91L - Discussion

#524 Postby KatDaddy » Mon Jun 15, 2015 7:24 pm

Its has to be named shortly. 50MPH winds and very good organization visible on satellite.
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Re: Re:

#525 Postby Extratropical94 » Mon Jun 15, 2015 7:24 pm

ROCK wrote:
Extratropical94 wrote:AL, 91, 2015061600, , BEST, 0, 268N, 939W, 45, 1005, DB

I just saw obs of 1002.4mb


Latest pass found 1001.3 mb
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Re: ATL: INVEST 91L - Discussion

#526 Postby cycloneye » Mon Jun 15, 2015 7:24 pm

There is the closed center at 1001.5 mbs.

Image
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#527 Postby tropicwatch » Mon Jun 15, 2015 7:25 pm

Time: 00:16:30Z
Coordinates: 27.217N 94.183W
Acft. Static Air Press: 970.1 mb
Acft. Geopotential Hgt: 278 m
Extrap. Sfc. Press: 1001.3 mb (29.57 inHg)
Flt. Lvl. Wind (30s): From 178° at 1 kts (From the S at 1.2 mph)
Air Temp: 23.9°C (75.0°F)
Dew Pt: 22.6°C (72.7°F)
Peak (10s) Flt. Lvl. Wind: 7 kts (8.1 mph)
SFMR Peak (10s) Sfc. Wind: 22 kts (25.3 mph)
SFMR Rain Rate: 1 mm/hr (0.04 in/hr)
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Re:

#528 Postby Hammy » Mon Jun 15, 2015 7:28 pm

panamatropicwatch wrote:Time: 00:16:30Z
Coordinates: 27.217N 94.183W
Acft. Static Air Press: 970.1 mb
Acft. Geopotential Hgt: 278 m
Extrap. Sfc. Press: 1001.3 mb (29.57 inHg)
Flt. Lvl. Wind (30s): From 178° at 1 kts (From the S at 1.2 mph)
Air Temp: 23.9°C (75.0°F)
Dew Pt: 22.6°C (72.7°F)
Peak (10s) Flt. Lvl. Wind: 7 kts (8.1 mph)
SFMR Peak (10s) Sfc. Wind: 22 kts (25.3 mph)
SFMR Rain Rate: 1 mm/hr (0.04 in/hr)


VDM or dropsonde?
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Re: ATL: INVEST 91L - Discussion

#529 Postby Fego » Mon Jun 15, 2015 7:28 pm

hurricanekid416 wrote:
Fego wrote:
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...90 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent


Ummm... in five days it will be well over land, then, it would be a surprise, imho, if is clasified overland. Am I right?




Through 5 days not in 5 days :D :D

Ups, yes, through. :wink:
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Re: ATL: INVEST 91L - Discussion

#530 Postby ROCK » Mon Jun 15, 2015 7:28 pm

Finally...1001 not to shabby and still has time to strengthen...would
Like to see them do another pass...get this guy into 995 range... :lol:
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Re: ATL: INVEST 91L - Discussion

#531 Postby Sanibel » Mon Jun 15, 2015 7:29 pm

Looks good from here.
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Re: ATL: INVEST 91L - Discussion

#532 Postby cycloneye » Mon Jun 15, 2015 7:29 pm

AL, 91, 2015061600, , BEST, 0, 268N, 939W, 45, 1005, DB
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#533 Postby northjaxpro » Mon Jun 15, 2015 7:30 pm

Yeah, no question there is a closed off LLC. I expect the NHC to finally put out the advisories package...

I assume of course.
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Re: ATL: INVEST 91L - Discussion

#534 Postby Tireman4 » Mon Jun 15, 2015 7:31 pm

cycloneye wrote:AL, 91, 2015061600, , BEST, 0, 268N, 939W, 45, 1005, DB



How far is it from Galveston? What, less that 300 miles?
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Re: Re:

#535 Postby tropicwatch » Mon Jun 15, 2015 7:31 pm

Hammy wrote:
panamatropicwatch wrote:Time: 00:16:30Z
VDM or dropsonde?


dropsonde
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#536 Postby CrazyC83 » Mon Jun 15, 2015 7:35 pm

Latest data seems to support a 50 kt intensity.
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Re: ATL: INVEST 91L - Discussion

#537 Postby Evil Jeremy » Mon Jun 15, 2015 7:35 pm

I can't fathom why this system hasn't been upgraded yet. This is some Proenza-level dysfunction.
Last edited by Evil Jeremy on Mon Jun 15, 2015 7:42 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: ATL: INVEST 91L - Discussion

#538 Postby CrazyC83 » Mon Jun 15, 2015 7:38 pm

Evil Jeremy wrote:I can't fathom why this system hasn't been upgraded yet. This is some Porenza-level dysfunction.


Unless they rush a Special Advisory, it would be in 2 hours or so.
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#539 Postby wkwally » Mon Jun 15, 2015 7:39 pm

Not much you could do now if there is an advisory posted
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Re: ATL: INVEST 91L - Discussion

#540 Postby ozonepete » Mon Jun 15, 2015 7:40 pm

Evil Jeremy wrote:I can't fathom why this system hasn't been upgraded yet. This is some Porenza-level dysfunction.


Boy though I know who you mean, you really brutalized that name lol...
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