ATL: BILL - Post-Tropical

Moderator: S2k Moderators

Post Reply
Message
Author
hurricanekid416
Tropical Storm
Tropical Storm
Posts: 179
Joined: Wed Oct 24, 2012 2:43 pm

Re: ATL: INVEST 91L - Discussion

#501 Postby hurricanekid416 » Mon Jun 15, 2015 7:09 pm

Fego wrote:
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...90 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent


Ummm... in five days it will be well over land, then, it would be a surprise, imho, if is clasified overland. Am I right?




Through 5 days not in 5 days :D :D
0 likes   
Personal Forecast Disclaimer:
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
Top
User avatar
ROCK
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 9484
Age: 54
Joined: Tue Aug 17, 2004 7:30 am
Location: Kemah, Texas

Re: ATL: INVEST 91L - Discussion

#502 Postby ROCK » Mon Jun 15, 2015 7:09 pm

the best looking invest I have ever seen with 50MPH winds....I just don't get it. The plane is in there at the right time more towers firing up around the center.

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/floater ... -long.html
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
HURAKAN
Professional-Met
Professional-Met
Posts: 46086
Age: 38
Joined: Thu May 20, 2004 4:34 pm
Location: Key West, FL
Contact:
Contact HURAKAN

Re: ATL: INVEST 91L - Discussion

#503 Postby HURAKAN » Mon Jun 15, 2015 7:11 pm

Fego wrote:
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...90 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent


Ummm... in five days it will be well over land, then, it would be a surprise, imho, if is clasified overland. Am I right?


5 days include the time between now and 48 hours .. thus 90 + 0 = 90
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
loon
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 655
Joined: Mon Aug 30, 2004 4:50 pm
Location: Downtown Houston

#504 Postby loon » Mon Jun 15, 2015 7:12 pm

steering winds retreating east as the models predicted

http://tropic.ssec.wisc.edu/real-time/a ... g8dlm1.GIF
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
TeamPlayersBlue
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 3445
Joined: Tue Feb 02, 2010 1:44 am
Location: Denver/Applewood, CO

#505 Postby TeamPlayersBlue » Mon Jun 15, 2015 7:13 pm

It seems to have slowed down. Either that or the convection is throwing me off a bit.
0 likes   
Personal Forecast Disclaimer:
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
Top
User avatar
KatDaddy
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 2815
Joined: Mon Oct 21, 2002 6:23 pm
Location: League City, Texas

Re: ATL: INVEST 91L - Discussion

#506 Postby KatDaddy » Mon Jun 15, 2015 7:15 pm

I can't believe it was not upgraded to a TS. As Rock said…..50MPH Invest!
0 likes   
The following post is NOT an official forecast and should not be used as such. It is just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is NOT endorsed by any professional institution including storm2k.org For Official Information please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
Top
User avatar
wkwally
Category 1
Category 1
Posts: 279
Joined: Sun Jun 27, 2010 9:18 pm
Location: Humble, Texas

#507 Postby wkwally » Mon Jun 15, 2015 7:16 pm

I guess my name is now mud
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
Tireman4
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 5853
Age: 59
Joined: Fri Jun 30, 2006 1:08 pm
Location: Humble, Texas
Contact:
Contact Tireman4

Re: ATL: INVEST 91L - Discussion

#508 Postby Tireman4 » Mon Jun 15, 2015 7:16 pm

ROCK wrote:the best looking invest I have ever seen with 50MPH winds....I just don't get it. The plane is in there at the right time more towers firing up around the center.

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/floater ... -long.html



I am at a loss for words. Just, I have nothing. I have never in my born life seen the NHC skip an advisory period (5 PM) and then see a 50 MPH, well whatever it is, not be named, then spend forever and a day trying to find some semblance of a defined center of whatever it is. Man, this is one weird storm.

The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
TeamPlayersBlue
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 3445
Joined: Tue Feb 02, 2010 1:44 am
Location: Denver/Applewood, CO

#509 Postby TeamPlayersBlue » Mon Jun 15, 2015 7:16 pm

Seems the recon has crossed a COC of some sort...
0 likes   
Personal Forecast Disclaimer:
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
Top
CrazyC83
Professional-Met
Professional-Met
Posts: 34002
Joined: Tue Mar 07, 2006 11:57 pm
Location: Deep South, for the first time!

#510 Postby CrazyC83 » Mon Jun 15, 2015 7:16 pm

Recon seems to have found an LLC at 27.1N 94.2W?
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
wkwally
Category 1
Category 1
Posts: 279
Joined: Sun Jun 27, 2010 9:18 pm
Location: Humble, Texas

#511 Postby wkwally » Mon Jun 15, 2015 7:17 pm

OK maybe one of the pro mets can chime in here and explain what happened as I thought for sure with that data it would have been at least upgraded to a depression
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
Tireman4
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 5853
Age: 59
Joined: Fri Jun 30, 2006 1:08 pm
Location: Humble, Texas
Contact:
Contact Tireman4

Re: ATL: INVEST 91L - Discussion

#512 Postby Tireman4 » Mon Jun 15, 2015 7:19 pm

HURAKAN wrote:
Fego wrote:
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...90 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent


Ummm... in five days it will be well over land, then, it would be a surprise, imho, if is clasified overland. Am I right?


5 days include the time between now and 48 hours .. thus 90 + 0 = 90


Sir, do you not work close around the NHC? :)
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
ROCK
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 9484
Age: 54
Joined: Tue Aug 17, 2004 7:30 am
Location: Kemah, Texas

Re: ATL: INVEST 91L - Discussion

#513 Postby ROCK » Mon Jun 15, 2015 7:19 pm

Hey Kat long time....yeah I think it will be named soon but sheesh why the wait....looks like it's slowed down also...rounding the retreating ridge. Maybe so...
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
NDG
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 15446
Joined: Sun Jul 09, 2006 10:14 pm
Location: Orlando, FL

#514 Postby NDG » Mon Jun 15, 2015 7:19 pm

They should had upgraded it at 0z, recon finds a well defined LLC.
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
opticsguy
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 230
Joined: Wed Jan 05, 2011 9:27 pm
Location: McKinney, TX

#515 Postby opticsguy » Mon Jun 15, 2015 7:20 pm

Not a conspiracy theorist, but maybe Jade Helm has something to do with this.
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
Extratropical94
Professional-Met
Professional-Met
Posts: 3538
Age: 30
Joined: Wed Oct 20, 2010 6:36 am
Location: Hamburg, Germany
Contact:
Contact Extratropical94

#516 Postby Extratropical94 » Mon Jun 15, 2015 7:22 pm

AL, 91, 2015061600, , BEST, 0, 268N, 939W, 45, 1005, DB
0 likes   
54° 11' 59'' N, 9° 9' 20'' E
Boomer Sooner!
Go Broncos! Go Cards! Go Niners!
- Daniel
Top
User avatar
Tireman4
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 5853
Age: 59
Joined: Fri Jun 30, 2006 1:08 pm
Location: Humble, Texas
Contact:
Contact Tireman4

Re:

#517 Postby Tireman4 » Mon Jun 15, 2015 7:22 pm

opticsguy wrote:Not a conspiracy theorist, but maybe Jade Helm has something to do with this.


There has to be some SERIOUS arguments going on in that room. My gracious....I wonder if they are picking straws as to what to do ( I kid..I think)
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
MGC
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 5899
Joined: Sun Mar 23, 2003 9:05 pm
Location: Pass Christian MS, or what is left.

Re: ATL: INVEST 91L - Discussion

#518 Postby MGC » Mon Jun 15, 2015 7:22 pm

Maybe NHC is waiting on a VDM.....MGC
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
EquusStorm
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 1649
Age: 34
Joined: Thu Nov 07, 2013 1:04 pm
Location: Jasper, AL
Contact:
Contact EquusStorm

#519 Postby EquusStorm » Mon Jun 15, 2015 7:22 pm

I'm really finding it hard to believe they're waiting this long to initiate advisories. Like, genuinely shocked. I think I can understand in nearly every other case of delayed classification, but this has me absolutely mystified. Either they know something no one else does, or they lost the key to the big red "Initiate Advisories" switch two days ago.

This thing almost looks better than Hurricane Carlos does at the moment! What gives??
Last edited by EquusStorm on Mon Jun 15, 2015 7:24 pm, edited 1 time in total.
0 likes   
Colors of lost purpose on the canvas of irrelevance

Not a meteorologist, in fact more of an idiot than anything. You should probably check with the NHC or a local NWS office for official information.
Top
User avatar
Tireman4
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 5853
Age: 59
Joined: Fri Jun 30, 2006 1:08 pm
Location: Humble, Texas
Contact:
Contact Tireman4

Re: ATL: INVEST 91L - Discussion

#520 Postby Tireman4 » Mon Jun 15, 2015 7:23 pm

ROCK wrote:the best looking invest I have ever seen with 50MPH winds....I just don't get it. The plane is in there at the right time more towers firing up around the center.

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/floater ... -long.html


At least it is not a Naked Swirl at 50 MPH!!!
0 likes   
Top
Post Reply

Return to “2015”

Who is online

Users browsing this forum: No registered users and 2 guests