Texas Winter 2014-2015
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The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or STORM2K.
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or STORM2K.
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Rockets420
- Tropical Low
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- Joined: Sat Feb 20, 2010 5:24 pm
- Location: Northwest Austin
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Portastorm
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Re: Texas Winter 2014-2015
As of 8 pm, we have 38 blustery degrees at the Portastorm Weather Center in scenic southwest Travis County. Champ the Charger, the official PWC chase mobile, is gassed up and ready for action. Video cameras ready. All we need now is frozen precipitation.
Guidance earlier today suggested Austin would be around 35 at midnight. I suspect temps are running several degrees colder than progged by guidance given what I'm seeing around town at the moment. That obviously could have large implications with precip if we end up at or below freezing earlier than thought.
Guidance earlier today suggested Austin would be around 35 at midnight. I suspect temps are running several degrees colder than progged by guidance given what I'm seeing around town at the moment. That obviously could have large implications with precip if we end up at or below freezing earlier than thought.
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Any forecasts under my name are to be taken with a grain of salt. Get your best forecasts from the National Weather Service and National Hurricane Center.
Re: Texas Winter 2014-2015
My dry slot curse continues amazingly strong. What's SW of me moving NE? NOTHING! 
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The above post and any post by dhweather is NOT an official forecast and should not be used as such. It is just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is NOT endorsed by any professional institution including storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to NWS products.
Re: Texas Winter 2014-2015
Radar is pretty wicked looking from Wichita Falls back into old Mexico. All training to the NE. Could be some epic sleet accumulations overnight.
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Re: Texas Winter 2014-2015
You might want to consider yourself lucky right now, Dhweather! It's nothing pretty. Sleet and a freezing rain mix here. The trees do not sound comforting.
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TXdaddy217
- S2K Supporter
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- Location: Abilene,TX
Transition in Abilene now to big blowing snow flakes. Quickly covering the cars and the ground. NWS still only saying Mist and Fog. Hmmm 
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I am not a meteorologist. Anything posted by me should not be taken as an official forecast. Get your information from respected sources such as NWS and NOAA. I get my weather information the same way Hank Hill does ..... I look out the window and say ... "YUP".
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high_lander
- Tropical Low
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- Joined: Tue Jan 01, 2013 7:02 pm
- Location: Little Elm, TX
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weatherdude1108
- Category 5
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- Location: Northwest Austin/Cedar Park, TX
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Portastorm
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- Location: Round Rock, TX
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Re: Texas Winter 2014-2015
I don't know if this will be a trend or not but it seems the HRRR is trending drier and drier for Austin after midnight. Should it verify we wouldn't get much freezing rain or sleet at all. Things that make me go "hmmm..."
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Any forecasts under my name are to be taken with a grain of salt. Get your best forecasts from the National Weather Service and National Hurricane Center.
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longhornweather
- Tropical Depression
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- Joined: Sat Feb 01, 2014 5:13 pm
- Location: Georgetown, TX
Re: Texas Winter 2014-2015
Portastorm wrote:I don't know if this will be a trend or not but it seems the HRRR is trending drier and drier for Austin after midnight. Should it verify we wouldn't get much freezing rain or sleet at all. Things that make me go "hmmm..."
Seems hard to believe the way the radar looks to the west and southwest but I guess you never know...
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This post is NOT AN OFFICIAL FORECAST and should not be used as such. It is just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is NOT endorsed by any professional institution including storm2k.org. For Official Information please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
Re: Texas Winter 2014-2015
Portastorm wrote:I don't know if this will be a trend or not but it seems the HRRR is trending drier and drier for Austin after midnight. Should it verify we wouldn't get much freezing rain or sleet at all. Things that make me go "hmmm..."
HRRR dries things out extremely quick
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Anything I post is my personal opinion and should not used for any type of planning or lifesaving reasons. Please refer to National Weather Service forecasts.
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Portastorm
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Re: Texas Winter 2014-2015
longhornweather wrote:Portastorm wrote:I don't know if this will be a trend or not but it seems the HRRR is trending drier and drier for Austin after midnight. Should it verify we wouldn't get much freezing rain or sleet at all. Things that make me go "hmmm..."
Seems hard to believe the way the radar looks to the west and southwest but I guess you never know...
Well, never let it be said that Portastorm only focused on computer models which promised him something.
I hope the HRRR is wrong but at this point it's real time ... radar and surface obs.
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Any forecasts under my name are to be taken with a grain of salt. Get your best forecasts from the National Weather Service and National Hurricane Center.
Re: Texas Winter 2014-2015
Portastorm wrote:I don't know if this will be a trend or not but it seems the HRRR is trending drier and drier for Austin after midnight. Should it verify we wouldn't get much freezing rain or sleet at all. Things that make me go "hmmm..."
My dry slot extends all the way to Austin, eh?
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The above post and any post by dhweather is NOT an official forecast and should not be used as such. It is just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is NOT endorsed by any professional institution including storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to NWS products.
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Portastorm
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Re: Texas Winter 2014-2015
dhweather wrote:Portastorm wrote:I don't know if this will be a trend or not but it seems the HRRR is trending drier and drier for Austin after midnight. Should it verify we wouldn't get much freezing rain or sleet at all. Things that make me go "hmmm..."
My dry slot extends all the way to Austin, eh?
I was just thinking that! Keep your bad luck to yourself, buddy.
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Any forecasts under my name are to be taken with a grain of salt. Get your best forecasts from the National Weather Service and National Hurricane Center.
Re: Texas Winter 2014-2015
Looks like the models are not handling what is going on presently well at all. RGEM still holds solid on precip well after midnight. SREF still holds solid with the event as well.
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This is not an official forecast, follow the NWS for official products!!!
I don't mind missing freezing rain - but sleet is ok.
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The above post and any post by dhweather is NOT an official forecast and should not be used as such. It is just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is NOT endorsed by any professional institution including storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to NWS products.
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weatherdude1108
- Category 5
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- Joined: Tue Dec 13, 2011 1:04 pm
- Location: Northwest Austin/Cedar Park, TX
Re: Texas Winter 2014-2015
longhornweather wrote:Portastorm wrote:I don't know if this will be a trend or not but it seems the HRRR is trending drier and drier for Austin after midnight. Should it verify we wouldn't get much freezing rain or sleet at all. Things that make me go "hmmm..."
Seems hard to believe the way the radar looks to the west and southwest but I guess you never know...
There is a lot of convection out west moving this way.
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The preceding post is NOT an official forecast, and should not be used as such. It is only the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is NOT endorsed by any professional institution including storm2k.org. For Official Information please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
Re: Texas Winter 2014-2015
That low has a look of still digging a bit, and its moving kinda slow. The water vapor loop is amazing!
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