ATL: GONZALO - Post-Tropical - Discussion

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Re: ATL: GONZALO - Hurricane - Discussion

#1061 Postby cycloneye » Fri Oct 17, 2014 3:22 pm

HURRICANE GONZALO TROPICAL CYCLONE UPDATE
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL082014
400 PM AST WED OCT 17 2014

...400 PM POSITION UPDATE...
...DANGEROUS HURRICANE GONZALO APPROACHING BERMUDA...

SUMMARY OF 400 PM AST...2000 UTC...INFORMATION
--------------------------------------------------
LOCATION...31.4N 65.5W
ABOUT 75 MI...120 KM SSW OF BERMUDA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...115 MPH...185 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNE OR 025 DEGREES AT 16 MPH...26 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...951 MB...28.08 INCHES

$$
FORECASTER AVILA
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Re:

#1062 Postby chaser1 » Fri Oct 17, 2014 3:23 pm

panamatropicwatch wrote:Latest radar image which has the whole eye.

Image


Wondering if that NW quadrant of the eye is truly attempting to wrap that convection into and around itself, and into a smaller tighter eye. At least to me, looking on satellite, the eye seems to appear tighter than the radar display is indicating. Im assuming that has more to do with the declination or angle of the radar view?
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Re: Re:

#1063 Postby Sanibel » Fri Oct 17, 2014 3:26 pm

chaser1 wrote:
Wondering if that NW quadrant of the eye is truly attempting to wrap that convection into and around itself, and into a smaller tighter eye. At least to me, looking on satellite, the eye seems to appear tighter than the radar display is indicating. Im assuming that has more to do with the declination or angle of the radar view?



My guess would be reverse stadium effect from top to bottom.
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Re: ATL: GONZALO - Hurricane - Discussion

#1064 Postby EquusStorm » Fri Oct 17, 2014 3:27 pm

cycloneye wrote:HURRICANE GONZALO TROPICAL CYCLONE UPDATE
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL082014
400 PM AST WED OCT 17 2014

...400 PM POSITION UPDATE...
...DANGEROUS HURRICANE GONZALO APPROACHING BERMUDA...

SUMMARY OF 400 PM AST...2000 UTC...INFORMATION
--------------------------------------------------
LOCATION...31.4N 65.5W
ABOUT 75 MI...120 KM SSW OF BERMUDA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...115 MPH...185 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNE OR 025 DEGREES AT 16 MPH...26 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...951 MB...28.08 INCHES

$$
FORECASTER AVILA



Well, looks like it's not going to be quite as intense as Fabian then. Might tie in the wind speed though. Either way, the worst isn't that far from the island...
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#1065 Postby brunota2003 » Fri Oct 17, 2014 3:28 pm

Mark's anemometer is recording sustained winds of 40 mph with gusts to 65 mph. Not quite certain where on the island it is located.
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Re: ATL: GONZALO - Hurricane - Discussion

#1066 Postby ronjon » Fri Oct 17, 2014 3:31 pm

Looks like the storm surge will be coming right into that port with the wind blowing on that camera shot.

http://portbermudawebcam.com/
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Re:

#1067 Postby chaser1 » Fri Oct 17, 2014 3:31 pm

brunota2003 wrote:Mark's anemometer is recording sustained winds of 40 mph with gusts to 65 mph. Not quite certain where on the island it is located.


Seems he must be using a hand held, and just not safely able to get the exposure (or height) to get a better reading
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Re: ATL: GONZALO - Hurricane - Discussion

#1068 Postby chaser1 » Fri Oct 17, 2014 3:33 pm

ronjon wrote:Looks like the storm surge will be coming right into that port with the wind blowing on that camera shot.

http://portbermudawebcam.com/


Yeah, i keep stepping away , then returning to look at the cam.... and for a few clips, noticed some ocean spray fully envelope the tops of those palms that are farthest out on that dock
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Re: ATL: GONZALO - Hurricane - Discussion

#1069 Postby Sanibel » Fri Oct 17, 2014 3:33 pm

Webcam palms starting to get rag-dolled...
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Re: Re:

#1070 Postby brunota2003 » Fri Oct 17, 2014 3:33 pm

chaser1 wrote:
brunota2003 wrote:Mark's anemometer is recording sustained winds of 40 mph with gusts to 65 mph. Not quite certain where on the island it is located.


Seems he must be using a hand held, and just not safely able to get the exposure (or height) to get a better reading

No, this is from his tower set up near a contractor's house. The wind reading is from an RM Young anemometer...not sure about it's exposure, but the webcam image on his app looked pretty exposed (at least in the one direction).
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Re: ATL: GONZALO - Hurricane - Discussion

#1071 Postby chaser1 » Fri Oct 17, 2014 3:38 pm

hmmmmmm, looking at the "funktop" imagery satellite, it appears to me that the island is now just within the core of the storm.
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Re: ATL: GONZALO - Hurricane - Discussion

#1072 Postby Sanibel » Fri Oct 17, 2014 3:39 pm

No doubt sustained hurricane force at webcam!
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#1073 Postby floridasun78 » Fri Oct 17, 2014 3:40 pm

i supprise cam still got power and still working next few hour will tell
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Re: ATL: GONZALO - Hurricane - Discussion

#1074 Postby brunota2003 » Fri Oct 17, 2014 3:41 pm

Here's an image of the app earlier:

Image
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#1075 Postby ScottNAtlanta » Fri Oct 17, 2014 3:42 pm

8552 viewers on the port webcam currently
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Re: ATL: GONZALO - Hurricane - Discussion

#1076 Postby chaser1 » Fri Oct 17, 2014 3:43 pm

brunota2003 wrote:Here's an image of the app earlier:

Image


Your right, doesnt seem to be any obvious obstruction but then again hard to see enough of a panoramic view to tell
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#1077 Postby Alyono » Fri Oct 17, 2014 3:45 pm

Looks like this is going to pass EAST of Bermuda
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Re:

#1078 Postby chaser1 » Fri Oct 17, 2014 3:45 pm

ScottNAtlanta wrote:8552 viewers on the port webcam currently


I'd guess 1/3 of them are those hunkered down on the island, wanting a peek to see whats going on outside. Wonder how many are from S2K watching presently?? The board is pretty quite, so assume many are on and just watching.
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#1079 Postby ScottNAtlanta » Fri Oct 17, 2014 3:47 pm

Looks like the water has submerged the wall now. This is the worst whiteout yet...I see nothing through the rain
Last edited by ScottNAtlanta on Fri Oct 17, 2014 3:51 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: ATL: GONZALO - Hurricane - Discussion

#1080 Postby CrazyC83 » Fri Oct 17, 2014 3:47 pm

EquusStorm wrote:
cycloneye wrote:HURRICANE GONZALO TROPICAL CYCLONE UPDATE
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL082014
400 PM AST WED OCT 17 2014

...400 PM POSITION UPDATE...
...DANGEROUS HURRICANE GONZALO APPROACHING BERMUDA...

SUMMARY OF 400 PM AST...2000 UTC...INFORMATION
--------------------------------------------------
LOCATION...31.4N 65.5W
ABOUT 75 MI...120 KM SSW OF BERMUDA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...115 MPH...185 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNE OR 025 DEGREES AT 16 MPH...26 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...951 MB...28.08 INCHES

$$
FORECASTER AVILA



Well, looks like it's not going to be quite as intense as Fabian then. Might tie in the wind speed though. Either way, the worst isn't that far from the island...


Also interesting they are doing position estimates for non-US storms, never seen that before when not on a NWS radar.
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