ATL: GONZALO - Post-Tropical - Discussion

[hurricaneCW]

I wonder if this could at least maintain intensity once EWRC is complete. I see the shear coming so I know timing is everything.

[NDG]

Here's latest microwave pass showing the huge outer eyewall, wow.

[floridasun78]

Question....

From my 9th floor perch on Federal Highway in Fort Lauderdale overlooking the ocean I am currently seeing a beautiful pinkish / reddish hue encompassing the entire eastern sky. I know Gonzalo is a pretty good distance out there (pretty much directly east of here), but is this amazing coloring the result of the western sunset reflecting off high altitude ice particles blown out from the storm's outflow? By the way, today's sky has been crystal clear blue the entire day and South Florida's relentless humidity has been suddenly tolerable.

Thanks!

that cloud from front pass by

[cycloneye]

SUMMARY OF 800 PM AST...0000 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...27.4N 67.8W
ABOUT 385 MI...615 KM SSW OF BERMUDA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...145 MPH...230 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNE OR 20 DEGREES AT 9 MPH...15 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...943 MB...27.85 INCHES

[abajan]

SUMMARY OF 800 PM AST...0000 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...27.4N 67.8W
ABOUT 385 MI...615 KM SSW OF BERMUDA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...145 MPH...230 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNE OR 20 DEGREES AT 9 MPH...15 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...943 MB...27.85 INCHES

Still 145 mph! That was not expected.
Pressure's up by 1 MB though

[TheStormExpert]

Pressure has been increasing by 1-2mb since the 5pm advisory.

[cycloneye]

Let's see how strong the NE quadrant is as plane makes shortly NE to SW pass.

[EquusStorm]

That's... not good at all. At this point I wonder if it will have time to drop much below category four intensity before closest approach... might well give Fabian a run for his money.

[TheStormExpert]

That's... not good at all. At this point I wonder if it will have time to drop much below category four intensity before closest approach... might well give Fabian a run for his money.

Could very well be stronger than Fabian!

Hope Bermuda is well prepared at this point and preparations are done.

[cycloneye]

All is good now so in this important moment for Bermuda,the discussions are not derailed by clowns or trolls so let's return to the civil discussions.

[NDG]

Saved image:

[EquusStorm]

That's... not good at all. At this point I wonder if it will have time to drop much below category four intensity before closest approach... might well give Fabian a run for his money.

Could very well be stronger than Fabian!

Hope Bermuda is well prepared at this point and preparations are done.

It will have to drop all the way to below 105kt in less than a day to be weaker than Fabian, and frankly given its solid organization and decent conditions currently, I think it won't drop that far in time. Probably gonna set some records... very bad situation for Bermuda. Also that CIMSS shot... WOW. Bigger is NOT better in this case. Will also increase surge height.

[NDG]

NE quadrant is not any stronger than the SE quadrant, perhaps a little weaker.

[CrazyC83]

It seems that there is good agreement on a 110 kt intensity right now.

[NDG]

Perhaps weaker because of EWR. Question is when it is done, will it be as strong, will be over or close to Bermuda? Tough forecast, IMO.

[supercane4867]

A larger eye is quite helpful in terms of maintaining intensity in high latitudes. Gonzalo should weaken only slowly at most as it approaches Bermuda

[cycloneye]

00z Best Track is slightly down to 120kts.

AL, 08, 2014101700, , BEST, 0, 274N, 678W, 120, 943, HU

[msbee]

Hurricane Gonzalo as seen form the International Space Station

http://www.accuweather.com/en/weather-v ... 2788328001

[tropicwatch]

During the pass where they found such high winds look at the cloud tops in that area.

[ftolmsteen]

Saved image:

Strange looking loop. What is that?