CPAC: ISELLE - Post-Tropical

Moderator: S2k Moderators

Post Reply
Message
Author
supercane4867
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 4966
Joined: Wed Nov 14, 2012 10:43 am

Re: CPAC: ISELLE - Hurricane

#821 Postby supercane4867 » Wed Aug 06, 2014 10:39 pm

The central pacific is primed

Image

Image
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
Yellow Evan
Professional-Met
Professional-Met
Posts: 16143
Age: 27
Joined: Fri Jul 15, 2011 12:48 pm
Location: Henderson, Nevada/Honolulu, HI
Contact:
Contact Yellow Evan

#822 Postby Yellow Evan » Wed Aug 06, 2014 10:40 pm

With Genevieve bombing out, We forgot about Iselle. Still appears to have a shot to hit Hawaii as a hurricane.
0 likes   
Top
Equilibrium

#823 Postby Equilibrium » Wed Aug 06, 2014 10:58 pm

http://www.surfline.com/surfdata/chart_ ... 5&zone=-10
0 likes   
Top
TheStormExpert

#824 Postby TheStormExpert » Wed Aug 06, 2014 11:05 pm

Seems as of lately the CPAC has been way more than the EPAC, why so?
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
Kingarabian
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 15980
Joined: Sat Aug 08, 2009 3:06 am
Location: Honolulu, Hawaii

Re:

#825 Postby Kingarabian » Wed Aug 06, 2014 11:07 pm

TheStormExpert wrote:Seems as of lately the CPAC has been way more than the EPAC, why so?

It's not like the CPAC had any decent homebrews. The EPAC is its supplier.
0 likes   
RIP Kobe Bryant
Top
TheStormExpert

Re: Re:

#826 Postby TheStormExpert » Wed Aug 06, 2014 11:10 pm

Kingarabian wrote:
TheStormExpert wrote:Seems as of lately the CPAC has been way more than the EPAC, why so?

It's not like the CPAC had any decent homebrews. The EPAC is its supplier.

Yeah, why does anything seem to rarely originate in the CPAC? A few weeks ago there was an invest in the CPAC and it busted.
0 likes   
Top
Equilibrium

#827 Postby Equilibrium » Wed Aug 06, 2014 11:14 pm

The way this storm has behaved over the last 48 hours it must be a absolute nightmare for pro-forecasters. This system does my head in.
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
Kingarabian
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 15980
Joined: Sat Aug 08, 2009 3:06 am
Location: Honolulu, Hawaii

Re: Re:

#828 Postby Kingarabian » Wed Aug 06, 2014 11:16 pm

TheStormExpert wrote:
Kingarabian wrote:
TheStormExpert wrote:Seems as of lately the CPAC has been way more than the EPAC, why so?

It's not like the CPAC had any decent homebrews. The EPAC is its supplier.

Yeah, why does anything seem to rarely originate in the CPAC? A few weeks ago there was an invest in the CPAC and it busted.


This region usually has high shear levels, waters that are not warm enough. I don't know. Lack of waves and lows?
0 likes   
RIP Kobe Bryant
Top
User avatar
Kingarabian
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 15980
Joined: Sat Aug 08, 2009 3:06 am
Location: Honolulu, Hawaii

#829 Postby Kingarabian » Wed Aug 06, 2014 11:19 pm

Eye is now open, and warming. Decent blow up from the north.
0 likes   
RIP Kobe Bryant
Top
User avatar
Yellow Evan
Professional-Met
Professional-Met
Posts: 16143
Age: 27
Joined: Fri Jul 15, 2011 12:48 pm
Location: Henderson, Nevada/Honolulu, HI
Contact:
Contact Yellow Evan

Re: Re:

#830 Postby Yellow Evan » Wed Aug 06, 2014 11:20 pm

TheStormExpert wrote:
Kingarabian wrote:
TheStormExpert wrote:Seems as of lately the CPAC has been way more than the EPAC, why so?

It's not like the CPAC had any decent homebrews. The EPAC is its supplier.

Yeah, why does anything seem to rarely originate in the CPAC? A few weeks ago there was an invest in the CPAC and it busted.


The Great Hawaiian Shear and cold SST's. Both factors are gone to some extent for this storm.
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
somethingfunny
ChatStaff
ChatStaff
Posts: 3926
Age: 37
Joined: Thu May 31, 2007 10:30 pm
Location: McKinney, Texas

Re:

#831 Postby somethingfunny » Wed Aug 06, 2014 11:25 pm

TheStormExpert wrote:Seems as of lately the CPAC has been way more than the EPAC, why so?


Well - Iselle became a major hurricane in the EPAC, and Julio is from the EPAC too. But I know what you mean, the traditional EPAC hurricane alley just offshore of Mexico is oddly quiet for this time of year. We have Invest 98E way over there with a 30% chance of development within 5 days though, and who knows what else might pop up. The Eastern Pacific is currently keeping pace (in named storms at least, not in ACE) with 1992 which was its' busiest season ever.
Last edited by somethingfunny on Wed Aug 06, 2014 11:26 pm, edited 1 time in total.
0 likes   
I am not a meteorologist, and any posts made by me are not official forecasts or to be interpreted as being intelligent. These posts are just my opinions and are probably silly opinions.
Top
Alyono
Professional-Met
Professional-Met
Posts: 6961
Joined: Fri Apr 26, 2013 3:52 pm
Location: Texas Coast

#832 Postby Alyono » Wed Aug 06, 2014 11:25 pm

Looks like it may be intensifying again, unfortunately
0 likes   
Top
supercane4867
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 4966
Joined: Wed Nov 14, 2012 10:43 am

Re: CPAC: ISELLE - Hurricane

#833 Postby supercane4867 » Wed Aug 06, 2014 11:27 pm

Fresh microwave pass

Image
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
Kingarabian
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 15980
Joined: Sat Aug 08, 2009 3:06 am
Location: Honolulu, Hawaii

Re: CPAC: ISELLE - Hurricane

#834 Postby Kingarabian » Wed Aug 06, 2014 11:29 pm

supercane4867 wrote:Fresh microwave pass

Image

Been a while! All the passes have had bad luck for the past 10 hours. Well intact.
0 likes   
RIP Kobe Bryant
Top
User avatar
somethingfunny
ChatStaff
ChatStaff
Posts: 3926
Age: 37
Joined: Thu May 31, 2007 10:30 pm
Location: McKinney, Texas

Re:

#835 Postby somethingfunny » Wed Aug 06, 2014 11:29 pm

Kingarabian wrote:Eye is now open, and warming. Decent blow up from the north.


Alyono wrote:Looks like it may be intensifying again, unfortunately


Image
0 likes   
I am not a meteorologist, and any posts made by me are not official forecasts or to be interpreted as being intelligent. These posts are just my opinions and are probably silly opinions.
Top
User avatar
somethingfunny
ChatStaff
ChatStaff
Posts: 3926
Age: 37
Joined: Thu May 31, 2007 10:30 pm
Location: McKinney, Texas

Re: CPAC: ISELLE - Hurricane

#836 Postby somethingfunny » Wed Aug 06, 2014 11:34 pm

I'm having significant second thoughts about my earlier prediction/guess that Iselle would weaken before landfall. Look at how it's shrugging off the dry air, and how the environment ahead of it is moistening too.

Image
0 likes   
I am not a meteorologist, and any posts made by me are not official forecasts or to be interpreted as being intelligent. These posts are just my opinions and are probably silly opinions.
Top
User avatar
Kingarabian
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 15980
Joined: Sat Aug 08, 2009 3:06 am
Location: Honolulu, Hawaii

#837 Postby Kingarabian » Wed Aug 06, 2014 11:38 pm

:uarrow: Made quite a climb today.
0 likes   
RIP Kobe Bryant
Top
supercane4867
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 4966
Joined: Wed Nov 14, 2012 10:43 am

Re: CPAC: ISELLE - Hurricane

#838 Postby supercane4867 » Wed Aug 06, 2014 11:38 pm

ADT raw T# suddenly jumped back up to 5.0
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
Kingarabian
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 15980
Joined: Sat Aug 08, 2009 3:06 am
Location: Honolulu, Hawaii

Re: CPAC: ISELLE - Hurricane

#839 Postby Kingarabian » Wed Aug 06, 2014 11:40 pm

supercane4867 wrote:ADT raw T# suddenly jumped back up to 5.0


Been doing that all day. Eye opens, jumps to 5.0. Eye closes, drops to 2.3.
0 likes   
RIP Kobe Bryant
Top
CrazyC83
Professional-Met
Professional-Met
Posts: 34002
Joined: Tue Mar 07, 2006 11:57 pm
Location: Deep South, for the first time!

#840 Postby CrazyC83 » Wed Aug 06, 2014 11:41 pm

Maybe Recon will find a Cat 2 storm?

I'd be thinking a Hurricane Watch might be needed soon for Maui if it trends northward...
0 likes   
Top
Post Reply

Return to “2014”

Who is online

Users browsing this forum: No registered users and 1 guest