CPAC: ISELLE - Post-Tropical

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#301 Postby Yellow Evan » Mon Aug 04, 2014 9:57 am

Kingarabian wrote:As I suspected, category 4. Can't under estimate that shear though.



SHIPS has shear diminishing even further within 6 to 12 hours.
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Re: EPAC: ISELLE - Hurricane

#302 Postby supercane » Mon Aug 04, 2014 10:00 am

Macrocane wrote:Beautiful hurricane, almost perfect annular.


Not quite, but much closer than before. From the 12Z SHIPS output:
## ANNULAR HURRICANE INDEX (AHI) EP092014 ISELLE 08/04/14 12 UTC ##
## PASSED SCREENING STEP, MIGHT BE ANNULAR, CALCULATE AHI FROM DISCRIMINANT ANALYSIS ##
## AHI= 36 (AHI OF 100 IS BEST FIT TO ANN. STRUC., 1 IS MARGINAL, 0 IS NOT ANNULAR) ##
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#303 Postby Yellow Evan » Mon Aug 04, 2014 10:35 am

Image
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Re: EPAC: ISELLE - Hurricane

#304 Postby Yellow Evan » Mon Aug 04, 2014 10:39 am

Image

oh my
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#305 Postby HurricaneRyan » Mon Aug 04, 2014 11:38 am

Iselle is awesome looking
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Re: EPAC: ISELLE - Hurricane

#306 Postby tolakram » Mon Aug 04, 2014 11:52 am

live visible loop: http://wwwghcc.msfc.nasa.gov/cgi-bin/get-goes?satellite=GOES-W%20PACUS&lat=17&lon=-138&info=vis&zoom=1&width=1024&height=768&type=Animation&quality=95&palette=ir1.pal&numframes=10

Image
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#307 Postby Yellow Evan » Mon Aug 04, 2014 11:57 am

Iselle IMO is the best major in this part (W of 120) of the globe since 2006.
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Re: EPAC: ISELLE - Hurricane

#308 Postby tolakram » Mon Aug 04, 2014 11:57 am

from the ftp site

16:30Z
Image

source: ftp://goes.gsfc.nasa.gov/pub/goeswest/overview2/vis/
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#309 Postby CrazyC83 » Mon Aug 04, 2014 12:37 pm

T6.5 at next update most likely? That would support 125 kt.
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#310 Postby Yellow Evan » Mon Aug 04, 2014 12:39 pm

Cloud tops warming and eye becoming smaller.

Wonder how strong this will be when I get back home at 1z.
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Re: EPAC: ISELLE - Hurricane

#311 Postby cycloneye » Mon Aug 04, 2014 12:43 pm

Missions to Iselle on Tuesday and Wednesday.

Code: Select all

PACIFIC REQUIREMENTS
   1.HURRICANE ISELLE
      FLIGHT ONE -- NOAA 49      FLIGHT TWO -- TEAL 71
      A. 06/0000Z                A. 06/0530Z
      B. NOAA9 0109C ISELLE      B. AFXXX 0209C ISELLE
      C. 05/1730Z                C. 06/0001Z
      D. NA                      D. 17.1N 142.9W
      E. NA                      E. 06/0515Z TO 06/0830Z
      F. 41,000 TO 45,000 FT     F. SFC TO 10,000 FT

   2. SUCCEEDING DAY OUTLOOK:
      A. BEGIN 6-HRLY FIXES AT 06/1800Z
      B. A G-IV MISSION DEPARTING PHNL AT 06/1730Z
         FOR 07/0000Z.
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#312 Postby CrazyC83 » Mon Aug 04, 2014 12:49 pm

NOAA9 is en route to Hawaii right now in a non-tasked mission.
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Re:

#313 Postby Kingarabian » Mon Aug 04, 2014 1:04 pm

CrazyC83 wrote:NOAA9 is en route to Hawaii right now in a non-tasked mission.


What would the dropnodes reveal.
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Re: Re:

#314 Postby CrazyC83 » Mon Aug 04, 2014 1:07 pm

Kingarabian wrote:
CrazyC83 wrote:NOAA9 is en route to Hawaii right now in a non-tasked mission.


What would the dropnodes reveal.


Nothing now since it is a transporting mission moving the plane.
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Re: EPAC: ISELLE - Hurricane

#315 Postby PTrackerLA » Mon Aug 04, 2014 1:26 pm

Beautiful storm! It will be interesting to see how much she weakens while approaching Hawaii.
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#316 Postby Kingarabian » Mon Aug 04, 2014 1:27 pm

Image

Beautiful.
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#317 Postby somethingfunny » Mon Aug 04, 2014 1:30 pm

Although there is still no guarantee that Iselle would look like this tomorrow, if it is still annular this would be the first recon mission into an annular storm since.... Isabel? Also I think this would be the first upper air Gonzo flight into annular-supportive conditions ever.
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#318 Postby galaxy401 » Mon Aug 04, 2014 1:34 pm

I'm surprised this hurricane hasn't gone under an EWRC yet. I suppose annular hurricanes don't do it as often.
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Re: EPAC: ISELLE - Hurricane

#319 Postby hawaiigirl » Mon Aug 04, 2014 1:35 pm

I'm getting really nervous about these back-to-back storms
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Re: EPAC: ISELLE - Hurricane

#320 Postby cycloneye » Mon Aug 04, 2014 1:54 pm

18z Best Track remains at 120kts.

EP, 09, 2014080418, , BEST, 0, 161N, 1370W, 120, 947, HU
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