Hey chad & MF check this out my friends

[Amanzi]

http://www.srh.noaa.gov/mlb/hwofiles/svr_threat.html

I was under my first thunderstorm warning last night (WHOO) spent the evening watching the clouds and lightning

BRING EM ON!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

[chadtm80]

ME TOOOOOOOOOO> BRING IT ON

[Amanzi]

Hey Chad, I got the same storms you had last night! they migrated from your house to mine...hehehe.

Getting pretty windy here right now, 16mph gusting to 30mph. Whats up down that end by you?

[chadtm80]

Ya. that was a pretty nasty storm last nigt. Worst ive seen for the season. It was nice. Bring on the next batch

[mf_dolphin]

Nothing but sun here yesterday and this mornig but it looks like it's headed my way this afternoon! I feel left out..

Bring it on!!!!!!!!!!!

[Rob-TheStormChaser]

lol guys be careful out there! Most of the action is north of ya though.

[Amanzi]

Hey Chad, do you think this line will loose most of it's punch by the time it reaches us????

[chadtm80]

dont know. it looks pretty strong. Stormsfury or Rob.. what do you think?

http://www.srh.noaa.gov/radar/loop/DS.p ... ktbw.shtml

[Rob-TheStormChaser]

I'm willing to bet that once it reaches across the state to the eastern sides, that it'll lose some punch. This line over the open waters looks ominous and the west coast will surely get much more violent weather than the eastern edges. The heating of the day will be waning and you'll see a nice fireworks display to your west for sure....but will have to watch as this progresses NE and E across the state. I'm watching this area in FL close as well since most of the northern storms and squall lines have died out and lost a little.

[Rob-TheStormChaser]

I just also noticed on radars...a few smaller cells racing SE of this initial line and could strengthen into a few areas of isolated hail/tornadic/wind sectors. Thay are traveling right up I-4 and will be north of Orlando in the next hour and racing to Daytona....watch out for these renegade cells before the main line comes in.

[chadtm80]

Im right in the line of fire on those

[chadtm80]

They are Growing quick

[chadtm80]

When should all the rain be cleared out Rob? Brother was planning a camping trip. was going to be leaving the house at about 7... still going to be around then?

[Rob-TheStormChaser]

Yep...I think this will last even a few hours past that! Around 7pm will be the time when all this is right on top of you and passing over.

[Rob-TheStormChaser]

Chad you're about to get hit buddy! There's a nice couple of storms in smaller cells racing ahead of this line and the back edge of this whole mess is still way NW of you. With temps in the mid 80s you could have a few good sized storms aside from the main event which will hit you in all its might, in about 2 hours. Stay tuned!

[chadtm80]

Ya. i was just watching that. Got real black here all of a sudden too

[Rob-TheStormChaser]

lol damn buddy you LIVE there...watch out! lol its coming in pieces...you have these smaller cells and then the whopper of the line (sorry...said whopper! lol)



MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0130
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1155 AM CST SAT FEB 22 2003

AREAS AFFECTED...FL PEN

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL

VALID 221755Z - 222030Z

THREAT FOR DAMAGING WIND GUSTS...IN ADDITION TO SOME MARGINALLY
SEVERE HAIL...WILL INCREASE ACROSS THE CENTRAL FLORIDA PENINSULA
WITHIN THE NEXT 2-3 HOURS.

PRE-FRONTAL LOW-LEVEL CONFLUENT BAND HAS PROVIDED FOCUS FOR
INTENSE SQUALL LINE...WHICH EXTENDS ACROSS THE CROSS CITY FL AREA
DEEP INTO THE EASTERN GULF OF MEXICO...ROUGHLY 300 W OF KEY WEST.
ACTIVITY IS STILL MORE THAN 100 MILES WEST OF TAMPA...BUT MODELS
SUGGEST SOME ACCELERATION IS POSSIBLE LATE THIS AFTERNOON AS
ANOTHER STRONG MID/UPPER JET STREAK...IN BASE OF LARGE-SCALE
TROUGH OVER THE NORTH CENTRAL GULF...PROPAGATES INTO NORTHERN
FLORIDA. ETA POINT FORECAST SOUNDINGS SUGGEST INCREASINGLY
CYCLONIC MID-LEVEL FLOW/WEAKENING CAP BY THE 21-22Z TIME ACROSS
THE NORTH CENTRAL FLORIDA PENINSULA BETWEEN TAMPA AND DAYTONA
BEACH...GRADUALLY SPREADING EASTWARD THROUGH THE EARLY EVENING
HOURS.

SURFACE TEMPERATURES HAVE HEATED INTO THE LOWER 80S ACROSS MUCH
OF THE FLORIDA PENINSULA...AND...IN CONJUNCTION WITH DRY AIR AT
MID-LEVELS...WILL CONTRIBUTE TO FAVORABLE THERMODYNAMIC
ENVIRONMENT FOR VIGOROUS DOWNDRAFTS. THIS WILL AID DOWNWARD
TRANSFER OF 40 KT FLOW ALONG SOUTHERLY LOW-LEVEL JET
AXIS...ENHANCING THREAT FOR DAMAGING WIND GUSTS IN EXCESS OF
SEVERE LIMITS.

[chadtm80]

ROB WE HAVE A LOT OF FLORIDIANS IN THE CHAT ROOM REQUSTING YOUR PRESENCE.. : )

[Amanzi]

blah.....well that was a rather uneventful event for me if I do say so! Hopefully our seabreeze storms will be a little more exciting this spring.

[Rob-TheStormChaser]

lol yeah kinda fizzled out into showers and storms...all the maps are quiet!