ATL: ARTHUR - Post-Tropical - Discussion

[pgoss11]

Is there a decent chance of this system getting big enough to give areas on the GA and SC coasts some rain even though it will be offshore a ways?

Our local met here in Charleston SC just said we could have some backlash rain and wind but as of right now thought the effects would be minimal.

[hurricanekid416]

I don't know which one is more exciting, Arthur or the USA/Belgium game? We should had scored at the last minute, oh well.

Haha I'm watching both lol

[SeGaBob]

Is there a decent chance of this system getting big enough to give areas on the GA and SC coasts some rain even though it will be offshore a ways?

Our local met here in Charleston SC just said we could have some backlash rain and wind but as of right now thought the effects would be minimal.

Our local met out of Savannah said just beach erosion and rip currents. I think it's still too early for them to be so sure.

[xironman]

ship report well to the ne where recon did not sample has sustained winds of 51kt

Looks like it has consolidated well since the environmental conditions got better.

[Aric Dunn]

There appears to a old vort to the nw... if thats the case eventually the new center is going to come back to the wes pretty abruptly.. later tonight..

[SeGaBob]

I'd estimate the actual intensity of the storm to be around 60-65 mph.



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[chaser1]

Aric, i‘m seeing one thing on satellite that would depict a northeast motion....or another cyclonic moving eddy about to be spit out. How are you seeing motion as depicted by radar (am using a new tablet and need to figure how to download flash or java for radar)

[TheAustinMan]

It's long range radar, but we should be keeping an eye at the convective cell of this system over the next few hours...

[hurricanefloyd5]

Will it move westward closer to the coast?

[Aric Dunn]

Aric, i‘m seeing one thing on satellite that would depict a northeast motion....or another cyclonic moving eddy about to be spit out. How are you seeing motion as depicted by radar (am using a new tablet and need to figure how to download flash or java for radar)

im looking at both radar and sat.. yeah the new center (which the convection is following not spitting out) is moving the NNE while if you look at both radar and sat you can see a small vort approaching the coast.. I was trying to say that later on since they are rotating the new one will begin to move back in the direction of the coast.

[hurricanefloyd5]

AMZ111-020930-
ATLANTIC FROM 27N TO 31N W OF 77W-
605 PM EDT TUE JUL 1 2014

...HURRICANE WARNING...

.TONIGHT...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS. N OF 29N W OF 79W...E TO
SE WINDS 20 TO 25 KT...INCREASING TO 25 TO 30 KT LATE.
ELSEWHERE...SE TO S WINDS 35 TO 40 KT...INCREASING TO 45 TO
50 KT LATE. SEAS 10 TO 15 FT. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND ISOLATED
TSTMS.
.WED...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS EXPECTED. SE TO S WINDS 45 TO 50
KT...INCREASING TO 50 TO 55 KT LATE. SEAS 14 FT... BUILDING TO 17
FT LATE. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND ISOLATED TSTMS.
.WED NIGHT...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS EXPECTED. S TO SW WINDS
50 TO 55 KT. SEAS 16 TO 26 FT. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND ISOLATED
TSTMS.
.THU...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS EXPECTED. SW WINDS 55 TO 65 KT.
N OF 29N W OF 79W...SEAS 20 FT...SUBSIDING TO 14 FT LATE.
ELSEWHERE...SEAS 17 TO 27 FT. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND ISOLATED
TSTMS.
.THU NIGHT...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS POSSIBLE. SW WINDS 20 TO
25 KT...BECOMING S TO SW 15 TO 20 KT LATE. SEAS 8 TO
11 FT. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND ISOLATED TSTMS.
.FRI...S TO SW WINDS 15 TO 20 KT. SEAS 7 TO 10 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...S TO SW WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 5 TO 7 FT.
.SAT...S TO SW WINDS 5 TO 10 KT. SEAS 4 TO 6 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...SE TO S WINDS 5 TO 10 KT. SEAS 3 TO 5 FT.
.SUN...SE TO S WINDS 5 TO 10 KT. SEAS 2 TO 4 FT.

$$

[viberama]

If and when that blob of t-storms in the the S, SE and E quads wraps around....BAM!, off to the races. Everyone stay safe.

[TJRE]

Goes Science
SAT Shot
bet we have some real nice images this week.....




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http://goes.gsfc.nasa.gov/

[chaser1]

AMZ111-020930-
ATLANTIC FROM 27N TO 31N W OF 77W-
605 PM EDT TUE JUL 1 2014

...HURRICANE WARNING...

.TONIGHT...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS. N OF 29N W OF 79W...E TO
SE WINDS 20 TO 25 KT...INCREASING TO 25 TO 30 KT LATE.
ELSEWHERE...SE TO S WINDS 35 TO 40 KT...INCREASING TO 45 TO
50 KT LATE. SEAS 10 TO 15 FT. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND ISOLATED
TSTMS.
.WED...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS EXPECTED. SE TO S WINDS 45 TO 50
KT...INCREASING TO 50 TO 55 KT LATE. SEAS 14 FT... BUILDING TO 17
FT LATE. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND ISOLATED TSTMS.
.WED NIGHT...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS EXPECTED. S TO SW WINDS
50 TO 55 KT. SEAS 16 TO 26 FT. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND ISOLATED
TSTMS.
.THU...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS EXPECTED. SW WINDS 55 TO 65 KT.
N OF 29N W OF 79W...SEAS 20 FT...SUBSIDING TO 14 FT LATE.
ELSEWHERE...SEAS 17 TO 27 FT. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND ISOLATED
TSTMS.
.THU NIGHT...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS POSSIBLE. SW WINDS 20 TO
25 KT...BECOMING S TO SW 15 TO 20 KT LATE. SEAS 8 TO
11 FT. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND ISOLATED TSTMS.
.FRI...S TO SW WINDS 15 TO 20 KT. SEAS 7 TO 10 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...S TO SW WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 5 TO 7 FT.
.SAT...S TO SW WINDS 5 TO 10 KT. SEAS 4 TO 6 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...SE TO S WINDS 5 TO 10 KT. SEAS 3 TO 5 FT.
.SUN...SE TO S WINDS 5 TO 10 KT. SEAS 2 TO 4 FT.

$$

WHAT?? Issued for "who"?? Marine interests?

[hurricanefloyd5]

AMZ111-020930-
ATLANTIC FROM 27N TO 31N W OF 77W-
605 PM EDT TUE JUL 1 2014

...HURRICANE WARNING...

.TONIGHT...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS. N OF 29N W OF 79W...E TO
SE WINDS 20 TO 25 KT...INCREASING TO 25 TO 30 KT LATE.
ELSEWHERE...SE TO S WINDS 35 TO 40 KT...INCREASING TO 45 TO
50 KT LATE. SEAS 10 TO 15 FT. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND ISOLATED
TSTMS.
.WED...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS EXPECTED. SE TO S WINDS 45 TO 50
KT...INCREASING TO 50 TO 55 KT LATE. SEAS 14 FT... BUILDING TO 17
FT LATE. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND ISOLATED TSTMS.
.WED NIGHT...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS EXPECTED. S TO SW WINDS
50 TO 55 KT. SEAS 16 TO 26 FT. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND ISOLATED
TSTMS.
.THU...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS EXPECTED. SW WINDS 55 TO 65 KT.
N OF 29N W OF 79W...SEAS 20 FT...SUBSIDING TO 14 FT LATE.
ELSEWHERE...SEAS 17 TO 27 FT. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND ISOLATED
TSTMS.
.THU NIGHT...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS POSSIBLE. SW WINDS 20 TO
25 KT...BECOMING S TO SW 15 TO 20 KT LATE. SEAS 8 TO
11 FT. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND ISOLATED TSTMS.
.FRI...S TO SW WINDS 15 TO 20 KT. SEAS 7 TO 10 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...S TO SW WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 5 TO 7 FT.
.SAT...S TO SW WINDS 5 TO 10 KT. SEAS 4 TO 6 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...SE TO S WINDS 5 TO 10 KT. SEAS 3 TO 5 FT.
.SUN...SE TO S WINDS 5 TO 10 KT. SEAS 2 TO 4 FT.

$$

WHAT?? Issued for "who"?? Marine interests?

Yes marine interest

[TheAustinMan]

Latest closeup vis, per http://rammb.cira.colostate.edu/product ... r=AL012014

[weathernerdguy]

i see the vertices on radar are finally getting rejected from the convection i see

[Pack11]

Looks like I picked a bad week to move to Hatteras Island....

[ozonepete]

Wow, very impressive strengthening and visible presentation and it came on so rapidly just in the last few hours. This looks like it's really ready to take off.

[JtSmarts]

Wow, very impressive strengthening and visible presentation and it came on so rapidly just in the last few hours. This looks like it's really ready to take off.

I agree! It's always so fascinating to watch tc generate from just a mass of clouds to an organized system, one of the best parts of watching tropical storms.