ATL: ARTHUR - Post-Tropical - Discussion

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#261 Postby artist » Mon Jun 30, 2014 9:10 am

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#262 Postby tropicwatch » Mon Jun 30, 2014 9:39 am

Cool sites:)
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#263 Postby SeGaBob » Mon Jun 30, 2014 9:48 am

When will we have word on if recon for today is a go or not? I personally think they won't go.
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Re: ATL: INVEST 91L - Discussion

#264 Postby MGC » Mon Jun 30, 2014 9:48 am

91L just don't want to put some clouds on. Nice tight circulation though and as soon as some convection fires near the center we'll have a TD.......MGC
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Re: ATL: INVEST 91L - Discussion

#265 Postby cycloneye » Mon Jun 30, 2014 9:49 am

Thanks to those who posted great cams.I would extend the request for cams to the Carolinas too as later this week things may be interesting up there.
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Re: ATL: INVEST 91L - Discussion

#266 Postby Frank2 » Mon Jun 30, 2014 9:54 am

Still just a swirl absent of convection with random convection to it's south - my guess is that they won't fly today...
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#267 Postby artist » Mon Jun 30, 2014 9:59 am

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Re: ATL: INVEST 91L - Discussion

#268 Postby TheAustinMan » Mon Jun 30, 2014 10:01 am

Shear from the north is still persistent and pretty efficient at halting convection from popping up near and over the center of Invest 91L this morning. Conditions are going to be better if this system gets itself a bit more west. At the moment there is a noticeable lack of any tropical overshooting cloud tops (TOTs) near 91L, and are pretty much all concentrated on that cell nearing the Northern Bahamas.

Source: http://tropic.ssec.wisc.edu/real-time/s ... 000&loop=0

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#269 Postby artist » Mon Jun 30, 2014 10:07 am

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#270 Postby SeGaBob » Mon Jun 30, 2014 10:09 am

Was 91L ever supposed to get this far south?
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Re:

#271 Postby NDG » Mon Jun 30, 2014 10:27 am

SeGaBob wrote:Was 91L ever supposed to get this far south?


Yes.
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Re: ATL: INVEST 91L - Discussion

#272 Postby crimi481 » Mon Jun 30, 2014 10:32 am

If sinks too far south, it may have trouble turning north and may loop di loop?
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Re: ATL: INVEST 91L - Discussion

#273 Postby alan1961 » Mon Jun 30, 2014 10:41 am

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Re: ATL: INVEST 91L - Discussion

#274 Postby adam0983 » Mon Jun 30, 2014 10:51 am

I want the rain here in South Florida we need it to end the drought and this system is perfect for that.
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Re: ATL: INVEST 91L - Discussion

#275 Postby SouthFLTropics » Mon Jun 30, 2014 10:55 am

Circulation on this system is very vigorous...Convection looks to be popping and trying to wrap as well. If the northerly shear lessens just a touch and with the Gulf Stream underneath we might be en route for lift off. To me it looks better in the last few visible frames.
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#276 Postby SeGaBob » Mon Jun 30, 2014 10:55 am

Convection appears to be increasing ever so slightly in general but not around the center. It has started to look a bit better to me in the last few frames of the visible satellite though.
Last edited by SeGaBob on Mon Jun 30, 2014 10:58 am, edited 2 times in total.
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#277 Postby Nimbus » Mon Jun 30, 2014 10:56 am

You can get some idea of the surface pressure gradient from the velocity of the low clouds. Near the very small center there is a circulation that could quickly go over tropical storm criteria IF it picks up some convection.

Tomorrow they should have an accurate track forecast and it might be smart to fly out then and declare a named storm. The public has attention span issues if a storm doesn't develop as forecast but they pay attention to named storms.

NHC gave early warning for this one, and any area of damaging winds is likely to be small so track is a little more important.
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Re: ATL: INVEST 91L - Discussion

#278 Postby WilmingtonSandbar » Mon Jun 30, 2014 10:57 am

Here is a link that has several cam link all along the NC/SC coast.

http://www.surfchex.com/
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Re: ATL: INVEST 91L - Discussion

#279 Postby tropicwatch » Mon Jun 30, 2014 11:02 am

Latest visible floater loop.

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Re: ATL: INVEST 91L - Discussion

#280 Postby StarmanHDB » Mon Jun 30, 2014 11:03 am

adam0983 wrote:I want the rain here in South Florida we need it to end the drought and this system is perfect for that.


There's a "drought" in South Florida?

http://droughtmonitor.unl.edu/Home/Stat ... or.aspx?FL
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