EPAC: AMANDA - Post-Tropical
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hurricanes1234
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T numbers of 6.0? Wow. Wouldn't be surprised to see this stronger than 85 knots by the next update. But I think they'll keep it around 80-85 knots.
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Kingarabian
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hurricanes1234
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Re:
Kingarabian wrote:I think we have Major Hurricane Amanda from the look of things.
A jump from 80 mph to at least 115 mph would be quite rare. Maybe a Category 2 but probably not a Category 3 as yet.
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Steve820
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Re: EPAC: AMANDA - Hurricane
cycloneye wrote:Eye clearing.
It looks almost like a major hurricane already! I think it'll be a Category 2 (or at least a strong 90 mph C1) on the next advisory.
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Hurricanes are an amazing natural phenomena. While many are spiraling pits of evil that kill people or cause devastation, some are tame and stay clear of land.
I wish for you to
I wish for you to
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WeatherGuesser
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Re: Re:
Steve820 wrote:Possibly, but only if it continues ...
I was trying to figure out why the pages were loading so slowly. Then I checked the file sizes of the animations in your signature.
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hurricanes1234
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Even 90 mph is conservative in my opinion. I don't think it's often you get a Category 1 hurricane with a well-defined eye on IR imagery and a perfect ring of cold cloudtops surrounding the eye.
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tolakram
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Re: EPAC: AMANDA - Hurricane
23:30Z
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M a r k
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Yellow Evan
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Re:
Nimbus wrote:The SST's probably wouldn't support a major hurricane for much further north though.
Disagreed, given the warm oceanic heat content and above average SST's.
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HurricaneBill
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Yellow Evan
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Re:
hurricanes1234 wrote:Even 90 mph is conservative in my opinion. I don't think it's often you get a Category 1 hurricane with a well-defined eye on IR imagery and a perfect ring of cold cloudtops surrounding the eye.
I'd go with 85 knts. I think it could possibly be a major early tomorrow.
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cycloneye
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Re: EPAC: AMANDA - Hurricane
Up to 85kts.
EP, 01, 2014052500, , BEST, 0, 115N, 1105W, 85, 978, HU
EP, 01, 2014052500, , BEST, 0, 115N, 1105W, 85, 978, HU
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Visit the Caribbean-Central America Weather Thread where you can find at first post web cams,radars
and observations from Caribbean basin members Click Here
and observations from Caribbean basin members Click Here
yeah cat2
Best Track Position and Intensity as of:
Sunday, May 25, 2014 0:00 Z
Location at the time:
787 statue miles (1,267 km) to the S (183°) from Cabo San Lucas, Baja California Sur, México.
Wind (1 min. avg.):
85 knots (~98 mph | 44 m/s | 157 km/h)
However looking at the micro wave above JTWC intensity looks more realistic atm
01E AMANDA 140524 1800 11.3N 110.1W EPAC 70 987
Best Track Position and Intensity as of:
Sunday, May 25, 2014 0:00 Z
Location at the time:
787 statue miles (1,267 km) to the S (183°) from Cabo San Lucas, Baja California Sur, México.
Wind (1 min. avg.):
85 knots (~98 mph | 44 m/s | 157 km/h)
However looking at the micro wave above JTWC intensity looks more realistic atm
01E AMANDA 140524 1800 11.3N 110.1W EPAC 70 987
Last edited by stormkite on Sat May 24, 2014 8:12 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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CrazyC83
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Dvorak suggests 100 kt.
TXPZ21 KNES 250030
TCSENP
A. 01E (AMANDA)
B. 25/0000Z
C. 11.5N
D. 110.5W
E. ONE/GOES-W
F. T5.5/5.5/D3.0/24HRS
G. IR/EIR/VIS
H. REMARKS...SYSTEM HAS DEVELOPED RAPIDLY WITH DT=6.0 BASED ON LIGHT GRAY
EYE SURROUNDED BY WHITE AND EMBEDDED IN WHITE. MET=4.0 AND PAT=4.5. DUE
TO RAPID INTENSIFICATION DID 6 HR AVERAGE FOR A DT=5.5. WHICH SERVES AS
THE BASIS FOR THE FT OF 5.5.
I. ADDL POSITIONS
NIL
...SWANSON
TXPZ21 KNES 250030
TCSENP
A. 01E (AMANDA)
B. 25/0000Z
C. 11.5N
D. 110.5W
E. ONE/GOES-W
F. T5.5/5.5/D3.0/24HRS
G. IR/EIR/VIS
H. REMARKS...SYSTEM HAS DEVELOPED RAPIDLY WITH DT=6.0 BASED ON LIGHT GRAY
EYE SURROUNDED BY WHITE AND EMBEDDED IN WHITE. MET=4.0 AND PAT=4.5. DUE
TO RAPID INTENSIFICATION DID 6 HR AVERAGE FOR A DT=5.5. WHICH SERVES AS
THE BASIS FOR THE FT OF 5.5.
I. ADDL POSITIONS
NIL
...SWANSON
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2014MAY25 010000 4.6 980.6 79.6
no shape or form is that 100 knots
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no shape or form is that 100 knots
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Kingarabian
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Kingarabian
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Re:
stormkite wrote:2014MAY25 010000 4.6 980.6 79.6
no shape or form is that 100 knots
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Well, Microwave imagery continues to improve:
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RIP Kobe Bryant
Re: Re:
Kingarabian wrote:stormkite wrote:2014MAY25 010000 4.6 980.6 79.6
no shape or form is that 100 knots
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Well, Microwave imagery continues to improve:
Call a spade a spade its still a 70 knot system the ring is incomplete
01E AMANDA 140524 1800 11.3N 110.1W EPAC 70 987
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