Significant Severe Weather Outbreak Possible 04/26-30/2014

[Cyclenall]

the Georgia area is well away from the line. If we get true monsters, that is the location

They fizzled out extremely quickly, doesn't sound like they were true monsters. What's your take on that?



This is cool, storms and convection is just shooting (unzipping) from that point and training new severe storms. Then you can see the tail all the way to extreme southern Texas! Reminds me of 31/05/13.

From the cams that http://www.abc3340.com/category/220454/ ... -7-weather is showing, there is a ton of lightning with the line of embedded supercells. Still the same number of TOR warnings as 1.5 hours ago.

A TOR warned supercell in NC was not expected, currently severe warned but a slight hook remains. Also, are people suddenly forgetting you can get strong tornadoes in a quasi-line? Seems like Spann is on the "well, things are slowing transitioning, not classic anymore" stuff. No mention of the incredible parameters...

[Alyono]

kind of surprised that the Georgian storms fizzled out so much

[EF-5bigj]

They are becoming a line in my area.

[RL3AO]

TVS in Southern Tennessee

[RL3AO]

Very impressive cell in Lincoln Co, TN TVS with debris ball

[RL3AO]

Tornado emergency Lincoln County, TN

[CrazyC83]

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HUNTSVILLE AL
822 PM CDT MON APR 28 2014

TNC103-290145-
/O.CON.KHUN.TO.W.0018.000000T0000Z-140429T0145Z/
LINCOLN TN-
822 PM CDT MON APR 28 2014

...TORNADO EMERGENCY FOR EASTERN LINCOLN COUNTY...

...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 845 PM CDT FOR
SOUTHEASTERN LINCOLN COUNTY...

AT 821 PM CDT...DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING A CONFIRMED TORNADO. THIS
TORNADO LOCATED 7 MILES SOUTHEAST OF FAYETTEVILLE...MOVING NORTHEAST
AT 40 MPH.

THIS IS A TORNADO EMERGENCY FOR EASTERN LINCOLN COUNTY...INCLUDING THE
TOWNS OF CRYSTAL SPRINGS...FLINTVILLE...KELSO AND SMITHLAND. TAKE
COVER IMMEDIATELY!

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
LINCOLN...KELSO...SMITHLAND...FLINTVILLE...MOLINO AND CRYSTAL
SPRINGS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

THIS IS AN EXTREMELY DANGEROUS TORNADO WITH COMPLETE DEVASTATION
LIKELY. YOU COULD BE KILLED IF NOT UNDERGROUND OR IN A TORNADO
SHELTER. DO NOT DELAY...SEEK SHELTER NOW! IF NO UNDERGROUND SHELTER
IS AVAILABLE SEEK SHELTER IN AN INTERIOR ROOM OF THE LOWEST LEVEL OF
A STRUCTURE...OR IF TIME ALLOWS...CONSIDER MOVING TO AN UNDERGROUND
SHELTER ELSEWHERE. MOBILE HOMES AND OUTBUILDINGS WILL OFFER NO
SHELTER FROM THIS TORNADO.

TORNADOES ARE EXTREMELY DIFFICULT TO SEE AND CONFIRM AT NIGHT. DO NOT
WAIT TO SEE OR HEAR THE TORNADO. TAKE COVER NOW!

&&

LAT...LON 3518 8637 3513 8637 3515 8635 3513 8635
3512 8633 3511 8632 3504 8632 3499 8651
3502 8660 3523 8641
TIME...MOT...LOC 0121Z 233DEG 34KT 3509 8645

$$

DJN.83

[EF-5bigj]

It looks like a weak tornado might be heading through north Lauderdale county.

[windnrain]

They keep moving that moderate risk closer and closer to me in Baton Rouge, and yet still not a drop of rain.

[CrazyC83]

The debris ball is downright sickening. Looks for sure like a potential violent tornado.

[CrazyC83]

SPC AC 290059

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0759 PM CDT MON APR 28 2014

VALID 290100Z - 291200Z

...THERE IS A MDT RISK OF SVR TSTMS FROM SERN TN/NWRN GA SWWD TO
SWRN MS...

...THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS FROM THE MIDWEST SWD INTO THE
LOWER MS VALLEY/CENTRAL GULF COAST REGION...

...THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS ACROSS A SMALL PORTION OF SERN
NC/NERN SC...

...SUMMARY...
A SEVERE WEATHER OUTBREAK WILL CONTINUE THIS EVENING FROM PARTS OF
TENNESSEE SOUTHWESTWARD ACROSS PARTS OF NORTHWESTERN
GEORGIA...ALABAMA...AND MISSISSIPPI. SEVERAL ADDITIONAL TORNADOES
WILL BE POSSIBLE...SOME OF WHICH COULD BE STRONG. LARGE HAIL AND
DAMAGING STRAIGHT LINE WINDS ARE ALSO LIKELY.

...PARTS ERN TN AND NWRN GA SWWD ACROSS PARTS OF AL AND MS...
A BAND OF SEVERE/SUPERCELL STORMS IS ONGOING ATTM FROM SERN TN SWWD
INTO SWRN MS AND ADJACENT ERN LA. SEVERE STORMS WITHIN THIS BAND
HAVE PRODUCED LARGE/INTENSE TORNADOES OVER THE PAST FEW HOURS.
THOUGH THE RISK FOR VIOLENT TORNADOES HAS -- AND SHOULD CONTINUE TO
-- GRADUALLY DECREASE...LIKELIHOOD FOR STRONG TORNADOES CONTINUES
AND SHOULD PERSIST FOR SEVERAL HOURS THIS EVENING AS THE STORMS MOVE
EWD THROUGH AN AMPLY UNSTABLE/STRONGLY SHEARED ENVIRONMENT. IN
ADDITION...LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS WILL ALSO BE POSSIBLE WITH
THESE STORMS -- WITH THE RISK EXTENDING INTO THE WRN
CAROLINAS...GA...AND POSSIBLY THE WRN FL PANHANDLE OVERNIGHT.

...THE OH VALLEY REGION...
AN ARCING LINE OF STORMS CONTINUES MOVING EWD ACROSS IL ATTM...WITH
OTHER STORMS ONGOING OVER KY AND ADJACENT SRN INDIANA. WHILE
CONTINUED/GRADUAL WEAKENING OF THE STORMS ACROSS THIS REGION IS
EXPECTED DUE TO THE LOSS OF DIURNAL HEATING...HAIL AND PERHAPS A
LOCALLY DAMAGING GUST WILL REMAIN POSSIBLE OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF
HOURS...ALONG WITH AN ISOLATED TORNADO.

...THE CAROLINAS...
A LOCAL SEVERE RISK -- PRIMARILY IN THE FORM OF HAIL -- IS EXPECTED
TO GRADUALLY DIMINISH ACROSS SERN NC/NERN SC THIS EVENING.

..GOSS.. 04/29/2014

CLICK TO GET WUUS01 PTSDY1 PRODUCT

NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 1 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 0600Z
CURRENT UTC TIME: 0140Z (9:40PM), RELOAD THIS PAGE TO UPDATE THE TIME

[RL3AO]

Is it just me or are the cells in Alabama starting to become more isolated?

[RL3AO]

Watch cell nearing Chattanooga.

[BigB0882]

They keep moving that moderate risk closer and closer to me in Baton Rouge, and yet still not a drop of rain.

I thought everything was going to remain north of us save for a little rain and maybe a small thunderstorm. I guess they don't want to risk it? It has been misting for a while here now but no real rain to speak of.

[windnrain]

They keep moving that moderate risk closer and closer to me in Baton Rouge, and yet still not a drop of rain.

I thought everything was going to remain north of us save for a little rain and maybe a small thunderstorm. I guess they don't want to risk it? It has been misting for a while here now but no real rain to speak of.

We are well within the slight risk and have been all day today. Tomorrow will be the same. I wouldn't mind a nice thunderstorm, cool down some temperatures and stuff. Not looking for a tornado, but a light show wouldn't be so bad.

[Cyclenall]

Is it just me or are the cells in Alabama starting to become more isolated?

Its not just you, I just noticed that too. Still "unzipping" in LA with new storms. Looks like in far southern MS there is a branch-off of new storms from the constant line. Could be key.

The debris ball is downright sickening. Looks for sure like a potential violent tornado.

Which one?

[CrazyC83]

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0465
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0910 PM CDT MON APR 28 2014

AREAS AFFECTED...ERN TN

CONCERNING...TORNADO WATCH 111...

VALID 290210Z - 290315Z

THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR TORNADO WATCH 111 CONTINUES.

SUMMARY...THREAT FOR TORNADOES REMAIN WITH STORMS DEVELOPING NWD
THROUGH ERN TN. STORMS ARE APPROACHING THE NRN END OF WW 111 AND
COUNTIES CAN BE LOCALLY ADDED TO EXISTING WATCH.

DISCUSSION...STORMS INCLUDING A FEW SUPERCELLS ARE DEVELOPING NWD
THROUGH ERN TN WHERE WIND PROFILES REMAIN FAVORABLE FOR SUPERCELLS.
STORMS ARE APPROACHING THE NRN EDGE OF WW 111 AND LIFTING INTO NERN
TN. THE ATMOSPHERE IS NOT AS UNSTABLE WITH NWD EXTENT INTO NERN
TN...BUT DEWPOINTS HAVE COME UP SLIGHTLY AND SUFFICIENT INSTABILITY
/THOUGH MARGINAL/ MAY EXIST FOR A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM/TORNADO
THREAT.

..DIAL.. 04/29/2014


ATTN...WFO...MRX...JKL...OHX...

LAT...LON 36378489 36618375 36508311 36068345 36008473 36378489

[CrazyC83]

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0466
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0934 PM CDT MON APR 28 2014

AREAS AFFECTED...SRN MS...CNTRL THROUGH NERN AL...NWRN GA AND ERN TN

CONCERNING...TORNADO WATCH 111...113...

VALID 290234Z - 290400Z

THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR TORNADO WATCH 111...113...CONTINUES.

SUMMARY...THREAT FOR STRONG TORNADOES WILL PERSIST WELL INTO THE
OVERNIGHT FROM SERN MS...CNTRL AND NERN AL...NWRN GA AND ERN TN. IN
ADDITION...LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WIND REMAIN LIKELY WITH SOME OF
THE STORMS.

DISCUSSION...AT MID-EVENING A BROKEN BAND OF STORMS INCLUDING
EMBEDDED SUPERCELLS PERSIST FROM SRN MS THROUGH CNTRL AND NERN AL
AND ERN TN. NUMEROUS STORMS /MANY OF WHICH ARE TAKING ON SUPERCELL
STRUCTURES/ ARE DEVELOPING WITHIN WARM ADVECTION REGIME OVER NERN
AL...NWRN GA AND SERN TN AHEAD OF THE MAIN BAND. STORM MODES OVERALL
REMAIN DISCRETE OR SEMI-DISCRETE. DESPITE THE ONSET OF NOCTURNAL
COOLING...THE NEAR SFC LAYER IS MOIST AND VWPS WITH VERY LARGE 0-1
KM HODOGRAPHS ARE VERY FAVORABLE FOR SUPERCELLS WITH LOW-LEVEL
MESOCYCLONES AS ACTIVITY DEVELOPS EWD.

..DIAL.. 04/29/2014


ATTN...WFO...GSP...MRX...FFC...OHX...BMX...HUN...MOB...JAN...
LIX...

LAT...LON 30969120 34118672 35878486 35378359 32748594 30768905
30969120

[SeGaBob]

There does appear to be a cell intensifying well to the southeast of Jackson,MS
approaching the MS/AL line. It looks like it has the potential to be the next tornado warned storm...

[SeGaBob]

TORNADO WARNING
MSC153-290315-
/O.NEW.KMOB.TO.W.0016.140429T0237Z-140429T0315Z/

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
TORNADO WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
937 PM CDT MON APR 28 2014

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MOBILE HAS ISSUED A

* TORNADO WARNING FOR...
NORTHERN WAYNE COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI...

* UNTIL 1015 PM CDT

* AT 935 PM CDT...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A
TORNADO WAS LOCATED 3 MILES NORTH OF LAUREL...OR 7 MILES SOUTHWEST
OF SANDERSVILLE...MOVING EAST AT 50 MPH.

* LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
WAYNESBORO...

LAT...LON 3184 8889 3184 8873 3190 8847 3159 8846
3163 8895 3182 8895
TIME...MOT...LOC 0237Z 272DEG 42KT 3173 8912