Deep South Winterwx Discussion 2015-2016

Janie2006 · #5001 Postby **Janie2006** » Tue Jan 28, 2014 9:50 am

Current ob: Light rain + 32*F = light freezing rain at the old homestead.

hurricanehunter69 · #5002 Postby **hurricanehunter69** » Tue Jan 28, 2014 9:59 am

36 and a cold rain here on the MS coast ( Bay St Louis ).......sigh! If I remember correctly, we were supposed to be colder than this...( 31 )? No evaporative cooling from the rain band that just moved through. As a matter of fact, we rose from a low of 34. Off to work I go.....sigh!

#5003 Postby **Frank P** » Tue Jan 28, 2014 10:05 am

Photo from the beach front in Biloxi Ms... 9:00am, temp 35 deg, elevation 33 ft asl, light intermittent drizzle..

#5004 Postby **HurriGuy** » Tue Jan 28, 2014 10:14 am

Looking at current conditions, everyone still think the moisture will last to 6:00pm in BTR?

hurricanehunter69 · #5005 Postby **hurricanehunter69** » Tue Jan 28, 2014 10:17 am

Check out the second low in the east Pacific. It's moving very close to and in tandem with the Baja low. I gotta believe this thing will also be a player, although I do not recall any mention of it? Maybe it will fuel the Baja low into a stronger system and an overall longer lasting event? http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/west/tpac/flash-wv.html

#5006 Postby **cycloneye** » Tue Jan 28, 2014 10:19 am

Pic from WestCentral Louisiana of heavy snow falling. Let's keep posting images of this event.

#5007 Postby **HurriGuy** » Tue Jan 28, 2014 10:19 am

Has the wave over Mexico turned more east than expected? Or am I still sleepy?

SeGaBob · #5008 Postby **SeGaBob** » Tue Jan 28, 2014 10:24 am

44 here with occasional sprinkles...dewpoint is 25. Both are not really coming down that fast at all.

windnrain · #5009 Postby **windnrain** » Tue Jan 28, 2014 10:30 am

This whole thing is supposed to move south tonight, definitely still game.

#5010 Postby **HurriGuy** » Tue Jan 28, 2014 10:32 am

Does anyone thing the overall field of moisture is moving south too fast? I mean BTR looking like a bust if the moisture keeps sinking this fast. Opinions?

Alacane2 · #5011 Postby **Alacane2** » Tue Jan 28, 2014 10:34 am

Tweet from NWS Mobile

NWS Mobile ✔ @NWSMobile
Light freezing rain and sleet is now occurring at the NWS office in West Mobile. Already some slight ice accumulation on automobiles.

#5012 Postby **MississippiWx** » Tue Jan 28, 2014 10:44 am

We are in the middle of a heavy sleet storm. Freezing rain from earlier has transitioned to all sleet. Come on, snow line!

#5013 Postby **northjaxpro** » Tue Jan 28, 2014 10:47 am

HurriGuy wrote:Has the wave over Mexico turned more east than expected? Or am I still sleepy?

Taking a look at the WV loop, the shortwave is still moving eastward across the Northern portions of Mexico. Another feature is the base of the deep upper level trough now moving across extreme Northern Texas. Impressive jet streak from southern TX east- northeast to off the DELMARVA region.

#5014 Postby **HurriGuy** » Tue Jan 28, 2014 10:48 am

Yeah the jet stream is sticking out like a sore thumb.

#5015 Postby **Steve** » Tue Jan 28, 2014 10:51 am

>>Does anyone thing the overall field of moisture is moving south too fast? I mean BTR looking like a bust if the moisture keeps sinking this fast. Opinions?

Hard to say, and it's also hard to say what, if anything, forms behind it. Best I could tell from some of the morning model runs was that the baja low would enhance potential snow and ice in the Gulf of Mexico (as a secondary burst) and possibly to points further east. Some of the models (radar based and globals) they showed on tv last night didn't really have much in New Orleans after 4:00pm, and even then, it was all rain before. I tend to discount the outliers, but they were of note. As I mentioned yesterday on some thread here, winter storms for the Gulf Coast are near next to impossible to forecast - particularly for specific locations. You think you're under the gun and get nothing, or you think you might get a little sleet and end up with 3 inches of snow. It's a lot different from other parts of the country, as there is generally much historical precedent. Not so much down here. Best thing is just wait and watch and don't get your hopes up too high or too low. What you'll get, you'll get. And in the end, you can probably drive 50 miles in any random direction and see what you wanted, if you don't get it where you are.

SeGaBob · #5016 Postby **SeGaBob** » Tue Jan 28, 2014 10:52 am

What's supposed to cause the temperature to fall? It just seems stuck here.

windnrain · #5017 Postby **windnrain** » Tue Jan 28, 2014 10:56 am

Wow, things ARE looking a little weird for Baton Rouge. Its like it's just disintegrating all around us.

windnrain · #5018 Postby **windnrain** » Tue Jan 28, 2014 10:58 am

Too much radar watching for me now. One frame later and it looks like it's filling back in again lol.

#5019 Postby **BigB0882** » Tue Jan 28, 2014 11:02 am

You will make yourself go mad doing that. Once we get into the good stuff we just should enjoy it while it lasts. Whether that is 1 hour or 10.

bella_may · #5020 Postby **bella_may** » Tue Jan 28, 2014 11:09 am

Light sleet an freezing rain now falling here

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